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The AES Corporation AES | NYSE

$14.90 $0.04 | 0.27%

SIGNAL:

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|2026-08-24 |F&G 65 |RSI 65.6

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $10.60B

Trailing PE: 5.7x

FWD PE *: 7.7x

Payout Ratio (TTM): 26.3%

52-Week Range: $12.97 - $17.65

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year AES Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 68.7% (5.37% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 63.0% (5.01% CAGR)

Share Price: 16.0% (1.49% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 7.97%

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $16,869

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $6,869

Dividend Increase: 46.6% (4.00% CAGR)

Dividend Yield (FWD): 4.72% ($0.70)

AES 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

AES Share Price

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

AES Price CAGR:1Y: 13.22%2Y: -13.82%5Y: -8.18%10Y: 1.49%

AES Dividend Charts

AES - Dividends

AES Dividend CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 1.00%5Y: 3.17%10Y: 4.81%

AES - Dividend Payout Ratio

AES Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -35.90%5Y: -1.65%10Y: -4.22%

AES - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio

AES Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

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AES Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

AES - Revenue

AES Revenue CAGR:1Y: 19.86%2Y: 7.85%5Y: 2.42%10Y: -0.34%

AES - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

AES EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 49.07%5Y: 4.56%10Y: 8.72%

AES - Net Income

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AES Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 58.54%5Y: 6.28%10Y: 10.27%

AES - EBITDA

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AES EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 102.30%2Y: 37.39%5Y: 7.32%10Y: 3.51%

AES - Free Cash Flow

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AES Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

AES - Free Cash Flow / Share

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AES Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

AES - Operating Income

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AES Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 55.56%2Y: 14.21%5Y: 2.75%10Y: -0.28%

AES - Gross Profit

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AES Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 52.42%2Y: 11.86%5Y: -1.86%10Y: 0.06%

AES - Shares Outstanding

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AES Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.42%2Y: 0.14%5Y: 0.11%10Y: 0.77%

AES - Share Buybacks

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AES Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

AES - Stock-Based Comp

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AES Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

AES - Expenses

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AES Expenses CAGR:1Y: 23.35%2Y: -1.25%5Y: 25.16%10Y: 12.30%

AES - Revenue vs Net Income

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AES - EPS vs FCF / Share

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AES - EPS vs PE Ratio

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AES - FCF vs FCF / Share

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AES - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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AES - Cash & Debt

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AES - Revenue by Segment

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AES Revenue CAGR:1Y: 19.86%2Y: 7.85%5Y: 2.42%10Y: -0.34%

AES - Revenue by Region

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AES Revenue CAGR:1Y: 19.86%2Y: 7.85%5Y: 2.42%10Y: -0.34%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

AES - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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AES Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 19.86%2Y: 7.85%5Y: 2.42%10Y: -0.34%

AES - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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AES Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 49.07%5Y: 4.56%10Y: 8.72%

AES - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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AES Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 58.54%5Y: 6.28%10Y: 10.27%

AES - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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AES Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 102.30%2Y: 37.39%5Y: 7.32%10Y: 3.51%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

AES - Net Profit Margin

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AES Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 46.99%5Y: 3.76%10Y: 10.65%

AES - Gross Profit Margin

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AES Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 27.17%2Y: 3.71%5Y: -4.18%10Y: 0.40%

AES - Price to Earnings

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AES Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -39.47%5Y: -11.26%10Y: -6.61%

AES - Price To Sales Ratio

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AES Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 16.59%2Y: -14.65%5Y: -9.44%10Y: 2.48%

AES - Return on Capital Employed

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AES Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 39.21%2Y: 4.07%5Y: -5.29%10Y: -3.95%

AES - Return on Invested Capital

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AES Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 35.01%5Y: -7.92%10Y: -5.02%

AES Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $0.7038

Forward Yield: 4.72%

Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-07-31

Lifetime Dividends / Share: $7.34

AES Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all AES dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date	Payment Date	Amount	Yield	Forward Yield	Price on Ex-Date
07/31/2026	08/14/2026	$0.176	4.79%	4.78%	$14.73
05/01/2026	05/15/2026	$0.176	4.93%	4.86%	$14.47
01/30/2026	02/13/2026	$0.176	4.8%	4.32%	$16.28
10/31/2025	11/14/2025	$0.176	5.07%	5.09%	$13.82
08/01/2025	08/15/2025	$0.176	5.32%	5.29%	$13.31
05/01/2025	05/15/2025	$0.176	7.07%	5.68%	$12.40
01/31/2025	02/14/2025	$0.176	6.4%	7.09%	$9.93
11/01/2024	11/15/2024	$0.173	4.69%	4.94%	$13.97
08/01/2024	08/15/2024	$0.173	3.85%	4%	$17.27
04/30/2024	05/15/2024	$0.173	3.85%	3.27%	$21.13
01/31/2024	02/15/2024	$0.173	4.14%	4.11%	$16.78
10/31/2023	11/15/2023	$0.166	4.45%	3.9%	$17.01
07/31/2023	08/15/2023	$0.166	3.07%	3.69%	$18.00
04/28/2023	05/15/2023	$0.166	2.8%	3.02%	$21.99
01/31/2023	02/15/2023	$0.166	2.42%	2.49%	$26.69
10/31/2022	11/15/2022	$0.158	2.42%	2.28%	$27.78
07/29/2022	08/15/2022	$0.158	2.84%	2.51%	$25.18
04/28/2022	05/13/2022	$0.158	3%	3.12%	$20.24
01/31/2022	02/15/2022	$0.158	2.85%	2.93%	$21.56
11/01/2021	11/15/2021	$0.151	2.37%	2.41%	$25.03
07/30/2021	08/16/2021	$0.151	2.54%	2.47%	$24.36
04/29/2021	05/14/2021	$0.151	2.16%	2.37%	$25.37
01/28/2021	02/12/2021	$0.151	2.45%	2.11%	$28.53
10/29/2020	11/16/2020	$0.143	2.94%	2.69%	$21.33
07/31/2020	08/18/2020	$0.143	3.76%	3.23%	$17.74
04/30/2020	05/15/2020	$0.143	4.33%	4.88%	$11.75
01/30/2020	02/14/2020	$0.143	2.84%	2.74%	$20.93
10/31/2019	11/15/2019	$0.137	3.2%	2.96%	$18.45
07/31/2019	08/15/2019	$0.137	3.25%	3.7%	$14.77
04/30/2019	05/15/2019	$0.137	3.19%	3.37%	$16.22
01/31/2019	02/15/2019	$0.137	3.33%	3.23%	$16.92
10/31/2018	11/15/2018	$0.130	3.57%	3.37%	$15.42
08/02/2018	08/17/2018	$0.130	3.84%	3.73%	$13.94
04/30/2018	05/15/2018	$0.130	4.25%	4.23%	$12.30
01/31/2018	02/15/2018	$0.130	4.5%	4.94%	$10.52
10/31/2017	11/15/2017	$0.120	4.52%	4.42%	$10.87
08/01/2017	08/17/2017	$0.120	4.29%	4.36%	$11.01
04/27/2017	05/15/2017	$0.120	4.25%	4.21%	$11.40
01/30/2017	02/15/2017	$0.120	4.28%	4.15%	$11.56
10/28/2016	11/15/2016	$0.110	3.78%	3.81%	$11.54
07/28/2016	08/15/2016	$0.110	3.59%	3.64%	$12.09
04/28/2016	05/16/2016	$0.110	3.96%	3.96%	$11.11
01/29/2016	02/16/2016	$0.110	4.63%	4.69%	$9.38
10/29/2015	11/16/2015	$0.100	3.64%	4.08%	$9.81
07/30/2015	08/17/2015	$0.100	3.15%	3.11%	$12.87
05/01/2015	05/15/2015	$0.100	3.01%	2.92%	$13.70
01/30/2015	02/17/2015	$0.100	3.27%	3.44%	$11.64
10/30/2014	11/17/2014	$0.050	1.43%	1.45%	$13.76
07/30/2014	08/15/2014	$0.050	1.33%	1.35%	$14.81
04/29/2014	05/15/2014	$0.050	1.4%	1.41%	$14.20
01/30/2014	02/18/2014	$0.050	1.43%	1.36%	$14.76
10/30/2013	11/15/2013	$0.040	1.12%	1.05%	$15.28
07/30/2013	08/15/2013	$0.040	1.29%	1.25%	$12.81
04/29/2013	05/15/2013	$0.040	1.17%	1.22%	$13.08
01/30/2013	02/15/2013	$0.040	1.47%	1.43%	$11.17
10/26/2012	11/15/2012	$0.040	1.53%	1.65%	$9.72
11/04/1994	11/09/1994	$0.042	3.4%	3.44%	$4.88
11/04/1993	11/08/1993	$0.040	3.12%	3.2%	$5.06
07/19/1993	07/21/1993	$0.040	3.22%	3.2%	$5.06
02/23/1993	02/25/1993	$0.024	2.2%	2.11%	$4.61
09/02/1992	09/04/1992	$0.016	1.84%	1.9%	$3.40

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for AES

Based on past 10-year performance, here are AES growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +1.49%
Dividend CAGR of +4.81%

Using AES CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	AES (DRIP)	AES - No DRIP
Current Price	$14.90	$14.90
Start Shares	671.14	671.14
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	1,156.94	671.14
Dividends Payment	$0.28	$0.28
Annual Dividends	$1,303	$756
Yield on cost	13.03%	7.56%
Share Price	$17.28	$17.28
Total Dividends	$7,825	$5,889
Final Value	$19,989	$17,484

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - AES

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on AES's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

The AES Corporation (AES) had its IPO on 1991-06-26, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

The AES Corporation operates as an international enterprise primarily focused on electricity generation and distribution. Its activities involve both the ownership and management of power plants, producing and supplying electricity to a diverse clientele that includes other utility companies, large industrial consumers, and various intermediate purchasers. Beyond generation, AES also functions as a utility provider, managing infrastructure to either produce or acquire, then transmit, distribute, and ultimately sell power directly to end-users across residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors. The company is also an active participant in the wholesale electricity market. For power production, AES utilizes a broad spectrum of energy sources and advanced technologies. This includes conventional fuels like coal and natural gas, as well as a significant commitment to renewables such as hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass. Its renewable portfolio further incorporates energy storage solutions and landfill gas. With an operational generation capacity of approximately 31,459 megawatts, the company maintains a substantial global presence, conducting business in the United States, Puerto Rico, various nations across Central and South America (including El Salvador, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico), the Caribbean, Europe, and Asia. Founded in 1981, the company was initially named Applied Energy Services, Inc., before officially rebranding to The AES Corporation in April 2000. Its corporate headquarters are located in Arlington, Virginia.

AES website: https://www.aes.com

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DCF Model — AES

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $14.90

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →

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