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ALRM | NASDAQ

$55.93 $0.28 | 0.50%

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|2026-10-09

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $2.76B

Trailing PE: 24.7x

FWD PE *: 19.5x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $41.49 - $58.15

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year ALRM Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 91.5% (6.72% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 91.5% (6.72% CAGR)

Share Price: 91.5% (6.72% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $19,154

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $9,154

ALRM Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

ALRM Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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ALRM Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

ALRM - Revenue

ALRM Revenue CAGR:1Y: 9.21%2Y: 7.46%5Y: 7.63%10Y: 15.14%

ALRM - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

ALRM EPS CAGR:1Y: -23.81%2Y: -15.36%5Y: 13.05%10Y: 25.38%

ALRM - Net Income

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ALRM Net Income CAGR:1Y: -29.83%2Y: -18.70%5Y: 12.36%10Y: 25.19%

ALRM - EBITDA

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ALRM EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -21.18%2Y: -3.37%5Y: 9.99%10Y: 24.64%

ALRM - Free Cash Flow

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ALRM Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 387.05%2Y: 8.26%5Y: 19.02%10Y: 0.00%

ALRM - Free Cash Flow / Share

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ALRM Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 391.77%2Y: 8.21%5Y: 19.32%10Y: 0.00%

ALRM - Operating Income

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ALRM Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 1.44%2Y: -1.08%5Y: 11.22%10Y: 27.62%

ALRM - Gross Profit

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ALRM Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 9.13%2Y: 8.12%5Y: 10.22%10Y: 15.94%

ALRM - Shares Outstanding

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ALRM Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -7.01%2Y: -3.28%5Y: 1.53%10Y: 1.47%

ALRM - Share Buybacks

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ALRM Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 781.36%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 161.59%

ALRM - Stock-Based Comp

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ALRM Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 74.89%2Y: 30.36%5Y: 10.66%10Y: 30.56%

ALRM - Expenses

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ALRM Expenses CAGR:1Y: 17.48%2Y: 32.02%5Y: 29.88%10Y: 6.23%

ALRM - Revenue vs Net Income

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ALRM - EPS vs FCF / Share

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ALRM - EPS vs PE Ratio

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ALRM - FCF vs FCF / Share

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ALRM - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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ALRM - Cash & Debt

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ALRM - Revenue by Segment

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ALRM Revenue CAGR:1Y: 9.21%2Y: 7.46%5Y: 7.63%10Y: 15.14%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

ALRM - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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ALRM Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 9.21%2Y: 7.46%5Y: 7.63%10Y: 15.14%

ALRM - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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ALRM Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -23.81%2Y: -15.36%5Y: 13.05%10Y: 25.38%

ALRM - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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ALRM Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: -29.83%2Y: -18.70%5Y: 12.36%10Y: 25.19%

ALRM - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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ALRM Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -21.18%2Y: -3.37%5Y: 9.99%10Y: 24.64%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

ALRM - Net Profit Margin

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ALRM Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -35.76%2Y: -24.34%5Y: 4.40%10Y: 8.73%

ALRM - Gross Profit Margin

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ALRM Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -0.08%2Y: 0.62%5Y: 2.41%10Y: 0.70%

ALRM - Price to Earnings

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ALRM Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 16.30%2Y: 13.94%5Y: -19.86%10Y: -15.51%

ALRM - Price To Sales Ratio

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ALRM Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -25.10%2Y: -13.94%5Y: -16.39%10Y: -8.16%

ALRM - Return on Capital Employed

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ALRM Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: -2.60%2Y: 8.77%5Y: 4.22%10Y: 5.03%

ALRM - Return on Invested Capital

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ALRM Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 18.35%2Y: 4.37%5Y: 1.19%10Y: 2.59%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for ALRM

Based on past 10-year performance, here are ALRM growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +6.75%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using ALRM CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	ALRM (DRIP)	ALRM - No DRIP
Current Price	$55.93	$55.93
Start Shares	178.79	178.79
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	178.79	178.79
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$55.93	$55.93
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$10,000	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - ALRM

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on ALRM's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) had its IPO on 2015-06-26, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. delivers a comprehensive suite of cloud-enabled services tailored for intelligent residential and commercial properties, serving clients across the United States and internationally. The company's operations are divided into two primary divisions: Alarm.com and Other. Its core offerings include interactive security platforms, empowering users to manage and oversee their security systems alongside various connected devices. These integrated security components encompass smart door locks, motion sensors, garage door openers, a range of Internet of Things (IoT) devices, smart thermostats, and advanced video cameras. Furthermore, the company specializes in sophisticated video surveillance capabilities, incorporating features such as video analytics, live streaming, video doorbells, recorded video clips, automated video alerts, continuous high-definition recording, and dedicated commercial video monitoring systems. Beyond security, Alarm.com provides intelligent automation and energy management solutions. These include custom "scenes" buttons, programmable smart thermostat schedules, responsive energy-saving features, precision climate control, real-time energy usage monitoring, HVAC system monitoring, comprehensive whole-home water safety systems, geo-fencing services, and demand response programs. For its business clients, Alarm.com offers a specialized array of commercial solutions designed for daily protection, commercial-grade video surveillance, energy cost reduction, safeguarding valuable assets and inventory, temperature tracking, multi-site management, and access control. These systems are lauded for their early detection capabilities, ease of use, professional support, and straightforward maintenance. The company also extends its reach to service providers, offering a permission-based online portal equipped with tools for account management, sales, marketing, training, and support. Additionally, it provides direct sales, marketing, and training services, alongside dedicated programs for home builders and holistic wellness solutions. Alarm.com caters to both individual homeowners and diverse commercial enterprises. Established in 2000, Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Tysons, Virginia.

ALRM website: https://www.alarm.com

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DCF Model — ALRM

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $55.93

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →

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