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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated CAKE | NASDAQ

$108.50 $0.55 | 0.51%
SIGNAL:Signal available — unlock to view |2026-09-30 |F&G 58 |RSI 58.4

Company Overview:

Market Cap: $5.37B
Trailing PE: 29.4x
FWD PE *: 23.2x
Payout Ratio (TTM): 31.0%
52-Week Range: $43.07 - $118.46

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year CAKE Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 171.5% (10.51% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP): 135.6% (8.95% CAGR)
Share Price: 117.2% (8.06% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 3.00%
Total Invested: $10,000
Total Value (with DRIP): $27,154
Total Return $ (with DRIP): $17,154
Dividend Increase: 25.0% (2.31% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD): 1.11% ($1.20)
CAKE 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
CAKE Share Price
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All
CAKE Price CAGR:1Y: 96.66%2Y: 61.77%5Y: 17.05%10Y: 8.06%
CAKE Dividend Charts
CAKE - Dividends
CAKE Dividend CAGR:1Y: 8.85%2Y: 4.85%5Y: 13.22%10Y: 2.25%
CAKE - Dividend Payout Ratio
CAKE Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -12.26%2Y: -6.88%5Y: -14.40%10Y: -0.86%
CAKE - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio
CAKE Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: -65.83%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 10.17%10Y: 6.66%

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CAKE Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

CAKE - Revenue
CAKE Revenue CAGR:1Y: 7.72%2Y: 6.72%5Y: 6.01%10Y: 6.30%
CAKE - Earnings Per Share (EPS)
CAKE EPS CAGR:1Y: 23.68%2Y: 14.26%5Y: 30.68%10Y: 6.10%
CAKE - Net Income
CAKE Net Income CAGR:1Y: 24.78%2Y: 14.20%5Y: 15.20%10Y: 5.89%
CAKE - EBITDA
CAKE EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 26.56%2Y: 12.73%5Y: 9.27%10Y: 4.26%
CAKE - Free Cash Flow
CAKE Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 220.39%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -10.49%10Y: -1.57%
CAKE - Free Cash Flow / Share
CAKE Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 228.10%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -10.42%10Y: -0.95%
CAKE - Operating Income
CAKE Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 34.10%2Y: 14.23%5Y: 16.15%10Y: 4.65%
CAKE - Gross Profit
CAKE Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: -39.42%2Y: 93.76%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CAKE - Shares Outstanding
CAKE Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.81%2Y: -0.29%5Y: 0.72%10Y: -0.23%
CAKE - Share Buybacks
CAKE Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 8,267.94%2Y: 68.32%5Y: -52.31%10Y: -8.48%
CAKE - Stock-Based Comp
CAKE Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 21.87%2Y: 13.29%5Y: 9.79%10Y: 3.65%
CAKE - Expenses
CAKE Expenses CAGR:1Y: 3.32%2Y: 20.35%5Y: 12.80%10Y: 9.04%
CAKE - Revenue by Segment
CAKE Revenue CAGR:1Y: 7.72%2Y: 6.72%5Y: 6.01%10Y: 6.30%
CAKE - Revenue by Region
CAKE Revenue CAGR:1Y: 7.72%2Y: 6.72%5Y: 6.01%10Y: 6.30%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

CAKE - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates
CAKE Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 7.72%2Y: 6.72%5Y: 6.01%10Y: 6.30%
CAKE - EPS: Actual + Estimates
CAKE Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 23.68%2Y: 14.26%5Y: 30.68%10Y: 6.10%
CAKE - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates
CAKE Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 24.78%2Y: 14.20%5Y: 15.20%10Y: 5.89%
CAKE - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates
CAKE Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 26.56%2Y: 12.73%5Y: 9.27%10Y: 4.26%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

CAKE - Net Profit Margin
CAKE Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 15.88%2Y: 7.00%5Y: 8.68%10Y: -0.38%
CAKE - Gross Profit Margin
CAKE Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -77.52%2Y: 14.78%5Y: -16.04%10Y: -8.77%
CAKE - Price to Earnings
CAKE Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 0.23%2Y: 25.40%5Y: -5.22%10Y: -0.83%
CAKE - Price To Sales Ratio
CAKE Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 16.51%2Y: 34.33%5Y: 3.04%10Y: -1.19%
CAKE - Return on Capital Employed
CAKE Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 13.48%2Y: 1.13%5Y: 9.50%10Y: -6.76%
CAKE - Return on Invested Capital
CAKE Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 17.12%2Y: 1.93%5Y: 6.90%10Y: -9.29%

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CAKE Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $1.2
Forward Yield: 1.11%
Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-08-11
Lifetime Dividends / Share: $11.97

CAKE Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all CAKE dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date Payment Date Amount Yield Forward Yield Price on Ex-Date
08/11/202608/13/2026$0.3001.06%1.07%$111.88
05/13/202605/15/2026$0.3002.12%2.02%$59.49
03/04/202603/06/2026$0.3001.87%1.94%$61.71
11/10/202511/12/2025$0.2702.35%2.35%$46.01
08/12/202508/14/2025$0.2701.73%1.7%$63.37
05/14/202505/16/2025$0.2701.99%1.93%$56.06
03/05/202503/07/2025$0.2702.16%2.2%$49.16
11/13/202411/15/2024$0.2702.24%2.25%$48.06
08/14/202408/16/2024$0.2703.05%2.9%$37.19
05/21/202405/23/2024$0.2702.87%2.93%$36.82
03/05/202403/07/2024$0.2703.01%2.94%$36.71
11/14/202311/16/2023$0.2703.32%3.36%$32.16
08/15/202308/17/2023$0.2703.13%3.32%$32.53
05/23/202305/25/2023$0.2703.27%3.32%$32.54
03/07/202303/09/2023$0.2702.95%3%$36.02
11/14/202211/28/2022$0.2701.48%1.48%$36.38
08/09/202208/23/2022$0.2701.8%1.68%$32.12
05/10/202205/24/2022$0.2701.57%1.93%$27.98
03/06/202003/20/2020$0.3604.58%9.09%$15.84
11/08/201911/26/2019$0.3603.34%3.31%$43.51
08/13/201908/27/2019$0.3603.68%3.96%$36.38
05/15/201905/29/2019$0.3302.79%3.04%$43.45
03/01/201903/19/2019$0.3302.82%2.88%$45.83
11/13/201811/27/2018$0.3302.58%2.74%$48.24
08/14/201808/28/2018$0.3302.62%2.5%$52.86
05/09/201805/22/2018$0.2902.18%2.3%$50.49
02/27/201803/20/2018$0.2902.45%2.39%$48.44
11/14/201711/28/2017$0.2902.58%2.46%$47.18
08/14/201708/29/2017$0.2902.58%2.87%$40.38
05/15/201705/30/2017$0.2401.64%1.62%$59.11
03/06/201703/21/2017$0.2401.55%1.56%$61.57
11/07/201611/22/2016$0.2401.82%1.61%$59.48
08/08/201608/23/2016$0.2401.89%1.83%$52.52
05/09/201605/24/2016$0.2001.55%1.62%$49.51
02/26/201603/14/2016$0.2001.59%1.49%$53.69
11/05/201511/23/2015$0.2001.67%1.69%$47.32
08/03/201508/18/2015$0.2001.39%1.42%$56.49
05/04/201505/19/2015$0.1651.31%1.26%$52.39
02/23/201503/10/2015$0.1651.34%1.39%$47.56
11/03/201411/18/2014$0.1651.43%1.42%$46.38
08/04/201408/19/2014$0.1651.53%1.47%$45.04
05/05/201405/20/2014$0.1401.24%1.27%$44.22
02/24/201403/11/2014$0.1401.2%1.16%$48.40
11/04/201311/19/2013$0.1401.18%1.17%$47.83
08/05/201308/20/2013$0.1401.28%1.29%$43.41
05/06/201305/21/2013$0.1200.61%0.59%$40.72
03/04/201303/19/2013$0.1200.69%0.67%$35.95
11/05/201211/20/2012$0.1200.71%0.71%$33.95
08/06/201208/21/2012$0.1200.73%0.72%$33.50

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for CAKE

Based on past 10-year performance, here are CAKE growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +8.06%
Dividend CAGR of +2.31%

Using CAKE CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

CAKE (DRIP)CAKE - No DRIP
Current Price$108.50$108.50
Start Shares92.1792.17
Start Value$10,000$10,000
  
After 10 years:
Final Share Count100.5992.17
Dividends Payment$0.38$0.38
Annual Dividends$152$139
Yield on cost1.52%1.39%
Share Price$235.63$235.63
Total Dividends$1,290$1,229
Final Value$23,702$22,946

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - CAKE

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on CAKE's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) had its IPO on 1992-09-18, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated primarily operates restaurants. The company also maintains two bakeries that produce its signature cheesecakes and other baked goods. These products are distributed to its own restaurant network, international licensees, external foodservice operators, third-party bakery customers, retailers, and distributors. The Cheesecake Factory operates 306 restaurants across the United States and Canada, featuring brands such as 208 The Cheesecake Factory locations, 29 North Italia outlets, and various Fox Restaurant Concepts. Furthermore, 29 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants are run internationally under licensing agreements. Founded in 1972, the company's headquarters are located in Calabasas, California.

CAKE website: https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com


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DCF Model — CAKE

Value from:
Pay up to today
—
vs current price $108.50
—
Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
YearFCFImplied price
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →