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Dover Corporation DOV | NYSE

$188.10 $1.05 | 0.56%

SIGNAL:

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|2026-07-02 |F&G 27 |RSI 41.5

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $25.33B

Trailing PE: 22.7x

FWD PE *: 16.7x

Payout Ratio (TTM): 24.8%

52-Week Range: $158.97 - $237.54

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year DOV Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 271.0% (14.01% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 248.3% (13.29% CAGR)

Share Price: 216.7% (12.22% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 4.14%

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $37,095

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $27,095

Dividend Increase: 46.3% (3.98% CAGR)

Dividend Yield (FWD): 1.12% ($2.10)

DOV 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

DOV Share Price

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

DOV Price CAGR:1Y: 13.04%2Y: -0.61%5Y: 3.70%10Y: 12.20%

DOV Dividend Charts

DOV - Dividends

DOV Dividend CAGR:1Y: 0.96%2Y: 0.97%5Y: 0.98%10Y: 3.98%

DOV - Dividend Payout Ratio

DOV Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -11.42%2Y: -5.14%5Y: -3.63%10Y: -8.62%

DOV - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio

DOV Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: -19.73%2Y: -7.09%5Y: 2.62%10Y: -0.17%

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DOV Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

DOV - Revenue

DOV Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.85%2Y: 0.27%5Y: 1.51%10Y: 2.65%

DOV - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

DOV EPS CAGR:1Y: 13.86%2Y: 6.18%5Y: 4.79%10Y: 11.71%

DOV - Net Income

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DOV Net Income CAGR:1Y: 11.89%2Y: 5.26%5Y: 3.37%10Y: 10.19%

DOV - EBITDA

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DOV EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -17.22%2Y: -8.83%5Y: -1.45%10Y: 3.18%

DOV - Free Cash Flow

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DOV Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 23.47%2Y: 7.47%5Y: -2.93%10Y: 0.87%

DOV - Free Cash Flow / Share

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DOV Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 25.73%2Y: 8.53%5Y: -1.64%10Y: 2.30%

DOV - Operating Income

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DOV Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 10.49%2Y: 2.99%5Y: 2.63%10Y: 7.29%

DOV - Gross Profit

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DOV Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 7.62%2Y: 3.53%5Y: 2.66%10Y: 3.39%

DOV - Shares Outstanding

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DOV Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -1.75%2Y: -1.04%5Y: -1.35%10Y: -1.43%

DOV - Share Buybacks

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DOV Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: -94.61%2Y: 48.05%5Y: -3.45%10Y: -1.71%

DOV - Stock-Based Comp

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DOV Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -2.91%2Y: -9.94%5Y: -0.21%10Y: 8.62%

DOV - Expenses

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DOV Expenses CAGR:1Y: -21.58%2Y: 8.12%5Y: 2.63%10Y: 3.04%

DOV - Revenue vs Net Income

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DOV - EPS vs FCF / Share

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DOV - EPS vs PE Ratio

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DOV - FCF vs FCF / Share

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DOV - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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DOV - Cash & Debt

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DOV - Revenue by Segment

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DOV Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.85%2Y: 0.27%5Y: 1.51%10Y: 2.65%

DOV - Revenue by Region

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DOV Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.85%2Y: 0.27%5Y: 1.51%10Y: 2.65%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

DOV - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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DOV Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.85%2Y: 0.27%5Y: 1.51%10Y: 2.65%

DOV - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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DOV Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 13.86%2Y: 6.18%5Y: 4.79%10Y: 11.71%

DOV - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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DOV Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 11.89%2Y: 5.26%5Y: 3.37%10Y: 10.19%

DOV - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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DOV Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -17.22%2Y: -8.83%5Y: -1.45%10Y: 3.18%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

DOV - Net Profit Margin

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DOV Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 4.70%2Y: 4.98%5Y: 1.84%10Y: 7.36%

DOV - Gross Profit Margin

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DOV Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.73%2Y: 3.25%5Y: 1.13%10Y: 0.72%

DOV - Price to Earnings

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DOV Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 7.10%2Y: 5.83%5Y: 3.36%10Y: 2.79%

DOV - Price To Sales Ratio

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DOV Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 12.50%2Y: 11.17%5Y: 5.28%10Y: 10.36%

DOV - Return on Capital Employed

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DOV Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 8.55%2Y: -6.84%5Y: -4.70%10Y: 2.86%

DOV - Return on Invested Capital

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DOV Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 7.45%2Y: -8.04%5Y: -8.38%10Y: 2.44%

DOV Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $2.1

Forward Yield: 1.12%

Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-08-31

Lifetime Dividends / Share: $33.82

DOV Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all DOV dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date	Payment Date	Amount	Yield	Forward Yield	Price on Ex-Date
08/31/2026	09/02/2026	$0.525	1.08%	1.11%	$188.90
05/29/2026	06/01/2026	$0.520	0.98%	1%	$207.54
02/27/2026	03/02/2026	$0.520	0.92%	0.92%	$226.40
11/28/2025	12/01/2025	$0.520	1.12%	1.12%	$184.89
08/29/2025	09/01/2025	$0.520	1.16%	1.21%	$171.94
05/30/2025	06/02/2025	$0.515	1.16%	1.17%	$176.08
02/28/2025	03/03/2025	$0.515	1.04%	1.07%	$193.29
11/29/2024	12/02/2024	$0.515	1%	1.01%	$204.70
08/30/2024	09/02/2024	$0.515	1.11%	1.1%	$186.77
05/30/2024	06/14/2024	$0.510	1.12%	1.15%	$177.25
05/31/2024	06/03/2024	$0.510	1.11%	1.13%	$181.29
02/28/2024	03/01/2024	$0.510	1.24%	1.22%	$167.30
11/29/2023	12/01/2023	$0.510	1.45%	1.42%	$143.21
08/30/2023	09/01/2023	$0.510	1.38%	1.37%	$148.70
05/30/2023	06/01/2023	$0.505	1.48%	1.5%	$135.06
02/27/2023	03/01/2023	$0.505	1.35%	1.35%	$150.12
11/29/2022	12/15/2022	$0.505	1.45%	1.5%	$134.68
08/30/2022	09/15/2022	$0.505	1.6%	1.65%	$122.50
05/27/2022	06/15/2022	$0.500	1.49%	1.61%	$124.06
02/25/2022	03/15/2022	$0.500	1.26%	1.31%	$152.19
11/29/2021	12/14/2021	$0.500	1.16%	1.19%	$168.07
08/30/2021	09/15/2021	$0.500	1.14%	1.19%	$167.70
05/27/2021	06/15/2021	$0.495	1.32%	1.31%	$151.37
02/25/2021	03/15/2021	$0.495	1.59%	1.46%	$135.76
11/27/2020	12/14/2020	$0.495	1.6%	1.65%	$120.13
08/28/2020	09/15/2020	$0.495	1.78%	1.74%	$113.98
05/28/2020	06/15/2020	$0.490	2.02%	2.01%	$97.36
02/27/2020	03/16/2020	$0.490	1.86%	2.58%	$75.95
11/27/2019	12/16/2019	$0.490	1.75%	1.73%	$113.13
08/29/2019	09/16/2019	$0.490	2.12%	1.97%	$99.25
05/30/2019	06/17/2019	$0.480	2.13%	2.01%	$95.41
02/27/2019	03/15/2019	$0.480	2.12%	2.12%	$90.69
11/29/2018	12/17/2018	$0.480	2.28%	2.58%	$74.33
08/30/2018	09/17/2018	$0.480	2.25%	2.17%	$88.53
05/30/2018	06/15/2018	$0.470	2.39%	2.45%	$76.82
02/27/2018	03/15/2018	$0.380	1.84%	1.9%	$80.06
11/29/2017	12/15/2017	$0.380	1.96%	1.93%	$78.74
08/29/2017	09/15/2017	$0.380	2.24%	2.09%	$72.54
05/26/2017	06/15/2017	$0.355	2.13%	2.14%	$66.54
02/24/2017	03/15/2017	$0.355	2.2%	2.22%	$64.08
11/28/2016	12/15/2016	$0.355	2.49%	2.31%	$61.41
08/29/2016	09/15/2016	$0.355	2.39%	2.57%	$55.41
05/26/2016	06/15/2016	$0.339	2.52%	2.41%	$56.28
02/25/2016	03/15/2016	$0.339	2.78%	2.73%	$49.67
11/25/2015	12/15/2015	$0.339	2.58%	2.7%	$50.17
08/27/2015	09/15/2015	$0.339	2.8%	2.74%	$49.53
05/27/2015	06/15/2015	$0.323	2.08%	2.23%	$58.07
02/25/2015	03/16/2015	$0.323	2.18%	2.24%	$57.65
11/25/2014	12/15/2014	$0.323	1.93%	2.36%	$54.73
08/27/2014	09/15/2014	$0.323	1.81%	1.88%	$68.69
05/28/2014	06/16/2014	$0.303	1.73%	1.68%	$72.01
03/12/2014	03/31/2014	$0.303	1.84%	1.83%	$66.03
11/26/2013	12/16/2013	$0.251	1.64%	1.64%	$61.48
08/28/2013	09/16/2013	$0.251	1.75%	1.67%	$60.29
05/29/2013	06/17/2013	$0.235	1.8%	1.77%	$53.05
02/26/2013	03/15/2013	$0.235	1.94%	1.89%	$49.66
11/28/2012	12/17/2012	$0.235	2.21%	2.18%	$43.07
08/29/2012	09/17/2012	$0.235	2.43%	2.32%	$40.49
05/29/2012	06/15/2012	$0.211	2.15%	2.28%	$37.08
02/27/2012	03/15/2012	$0.211	1.94%	1.96%	$43.02
11/28/2011	12/15/2011	$0.211	2.42%	2.25%	$37.51
08/29/2011	09/15/2011	$0.211	2.24%	2.38%	$35.47
05/26/2011	06/15/2011	$0.184	1.71%	1.79%	$41.22
02/24/2011	03/15/2011	$0.184	1.73%	1.76%	$41.90
11/26/2010	12/15/2010	$0.184	1.97%	1.91%	$38.56
08/27/2010	09/15/2010	$0.184	2.43%	2.19%	$33.65
05/26/2010	06/15/2010	$0.174	2.38%	2.22%	$31.47
02/24/2010	03/15/2010	$0.174	2.33%	2.25%	$31.00
11/25/2009	12/15/2009	$0.174	2.5%	2.51%	$27.73
08/27/2009	09/15/2009	$0.174	2.9%	2.73%	$25.53
05/27/2009	06/15/2009	$0.168	3.24%	2.88%	$23.31
02/25/2009	03/16/2009	$0.168	3.89%	4%	$16.74
11/25/2008	12/15/2008	$0.168	3.65%	3.42%	$19.59
08/27/2008	09/15/2008	$0.168	2.08%	2.21%	$30.29
05/28/2008	06/16/2008	$0.134	1.5%	1.55%	$34.62
02/27/2008	03/14/2008	$0.134	1.86%	1.97%	$27.17
11/28/2007	12/17/2007	$0.134	1.7%	1.79%	$29.88
08/29/2007	09/17/2007	$0.134	1.65%	1.66%	$32.23
05/29/2007	06/15/2007	$0.124	1.51%	1.39%	$35.77
02/26/2007	03/15/2007	$0.124	1.51%	1.55%	$32.00
11/28/2006	12/15/2006	$0.124	1.51%	1.49%	$33.20
08/29/2006	09/15/2006	$0.124	1.55%	1.55%	$31.98
05/26/2006	06/15/2006	$0.114	1.39%	1.48%	$30.87
02/24/2006	03/15/2006	$0.114	1.41%	1.43%	$31.96
11/28/2005	12/15/2005	$0.114	1.66%	1.63%	$27.91
08/29/2005	09/15/2005	$0.114	1.69%	1.68%	$27.16
05/26/2005	06/15/2005	$0.107	1.73%	1.75%	$24.56
02/24/2005	03/15/2005	$0.107	1.68%	1.62%	$26.49
11/26/2004	12/15/2004	$0.107	1.57%	1.52%	$28.21
08/27/2004	09/15/2004	$0.101	1.55%	1.56%	$25.81
05/26/2004	06/15/2004	$0.101	1.56%	1.45%	$27.68
02/25/2004	03/15/2004	$0.101	1.53%	1.56%	$25.84
11/25/2003	12/12/2003	$0.101	1.55%	1.57%	$25.64
08/27/2003	09/12/2003	$0.101	1.6%	1.64%	$24.47
05/28/2003	06/13/2003	$0.090	1.81%	1.7%	$21.27
02/26/2003	03/14/2003	$0.090	2.14%	2.24%	$16.13
11/26/2002	12/13/2002	$0.090	1.81%	1.89%	$19.16
08/28/2002	09/13/2002	$0.090	1.85%	1.96%	$18.50
05/29/2002	06/14/2002	$0.090	1.52%	1.62%	$22.41
02/26/2002	03/15/2002	$0.090	1.36%	1.27%	$28.54
11/28/2001	12/14/2001	$0.090	1.44%	1.48%	$24.44
08/29/2001	09/14/2001	$0.090	1.48%	1.7%	$21.30
05/29/2001	06/15/2001	$0.084	1.18%	1.23%	$27.32
02/26/2001	03/15/2001	$0.084	1.27%	1.34%	$25.10
11/28/2000	12/15/2000	$0.084	1.17%	1.26%	$26.56
08/29/2000	09/15/2000	$0.084	1%	1.01%	$33.31
05/24/2000	06/15/2000	$0.077	0.92%	0.96%	$32.18
02/25/2000	03/15/2000	$0.077	1.24%	1.09%	$28.36
11/26/1999	12/15/1999	$0.077	1.07%	1.02%	$30.33
08/27/1999	09/15/1999	$0.077	1.16%	1.16%	$26.48
05/26/1999	06/14/1999	$0.070	1.1%	1.04%	$27.11
02/25/1999	03/15/1999	$0.070	1.26%	1.19%	$23.67
11/25/1998	12/15/1998	$0.070	1.18%	1.28%	$22.00
08/27/1998	09/15/1998	$0.070	1.41%	1.47%	$19.10
05/27/1998	06/15/1998	$0.064	1.03%	1.06%	$23.92
02/25/1998	03/13/1998	$0.064	1.01%	1%	$25.51
11/25/1997	12/15/1997	$0.064	1.14%	1.1%	$23.17
08/27/1997	09/15/1997	$0.064	1.09%	1.15%	$22.23
05/28/1997	06/16/1997	$0.057	1.2%	1.14%	$19.94
02/26/1997	03/17/1997	$0.057	1.34%	1.25%	$18.18
11/26/1996	12/16/1996	$0.057	1.26%	1.4%	$16.30
08/28/1996	09/16/1996	$0.057	1.51%	1.49%	$15.29
05/29/1996	06/17/1996	$0.050	1.26%	1.31%	$15.33
02/27/1996	03/15/1996	$0.050	1.3%	1.26%	$15.92
11/24/1995	12/15/1995	$0.050	1.54%	1.66%	$12.15
08/29/1995	09/15/1995	$0.050	1.51%	1.49%	$13.53
05/22/1995	06/15/1995	$0.044	1.56%	1.52%	$11.46
02/22/1995	03/15/1995	$0.044	1.72%	1.74%	$9.99
11/21/1994	12/15/1994	$0.044	2.01%	1.98%	$8.80
08/24/1994	09/15/1994	$0.044	1.84%	1.82%	$9.59
05/23/1994	06/15/1994	$0.039	1.73%	1.6%	$9.62
02/22/1994	03/15/1994	$0.039	1.48%	1.45%	$10.62
11/19/1993	12/15/1993	$0.039	1.57%	1.5%	$10.26
08/24/1993	09/15/1993	$0.039	1.8%	1.68%	$9.15
05/24/1993	06/15/1993	$0.037	1.85%	1.86%	$7.92
02/22/1993	03/15/1993	$0.037	1.87%	1.8%	$8.19
11/20/1992	12/15/1992	$0.037	2.01%	1.94%	$7.60
08/24/1992	09/15/1992	$0.037	2.09%	2.05%	$7.21
05/21/1992	06/15/1992	$0.035	2.15%	2.04%	$6.91
02/24/1992	03/16/1992	$0.035	2.1%	2.09%	$6.75
12/04/1991	12/31/1991	$0.035	2.31%	2.01%	$7.00
08/22/1991	09/16/1991	$0.035	2.2%	2.2%	$6.41
05/21/1991	06/14/1991	$0.034	2.06%	1.91%	$7.02
02/25/1991	03/15/1991	$0.034	2%	1.96%	$6.85
12/04/1990	12/31/1990	$0.034	2.25%	2.01%	$6.66
08/22/1990	09/17/1990	$0.034	2.42%	2.46%	$5.45
05/22/1990	06/15/1990	$0.030	1.77%	1.83%	$6.60
02/22/1990	03/15/1990	$0.030	1.97%	1.95%	$6.18
12/04/1989	01/01/1990	$0.030	2.17%	1.98%	$6.10
08/22/1989	09/15/1989	$0.030	1.97%	2.07%	$5.84
05/22/1989	06/15/1989	$0.028	2.16%	2.13%	$5.36
02/22/1989	03/15/1989	$0.028	2.39%	2.33%	$4.90
12/05/1988	01/02/1989	$0.028	2.45%	2.38%	$4.78
08/22/1988	09/15/1988	$0.028	2.3%	2.23%	$5.07
05/23/1988	06/15/1988	$0.023	1.72%	1.6%	$5.87
02/23/1988	03/15/1988	$0.023	1.82%	1.8%	$5.20
12/04/1987	12/31/1987	$0.023	2.19%	1.79%	$5.25
08/24/1987	09/15/1987	$0.023	1.54%	1.53%	$6.12
05/21/1987	06/15/1987	$0.019	1.5%	1.43%	$5.38
02/23/1987	03/16/1987	$0.019	1.64%	1.51%	$5.09
12/04/1986	12/31/1986	$0.019	2.01%	2.07%	$3.73
08/22/1986	09/15/1986	$0.019	2.13%	2.24%	$3.44
05/21/1986	06/16/1986	$0.018	2.1%	2.23%	$3.31
02/24/1986	03/17/1986	$0.018	1.9%	1.86%	$3.96
12/04/1985	12/31/1985	$0.018	2.33%	2.18%	$3.38
08/22/1985	09/16/1985	$0.018	2.37%	2.53%	$2.91
05/28/1985	06/13/1985	$0.017	2.11%	2.23%	$3.08
02/26/1985	03/15/1985	$0.017	2.11%	2.21%	$3.11
12/06/1984	12/31/1984	$0.017	2.48%	2.39%	$2.87
08/24/1984	09/17/1984	$0.017	2.17%	2.25%	$3.05
12/07/1983	12/30/1983	$0.016	0%	2.3%	$2.70
08/25/1983	09/15/1983	$0.016	0%	2.3%	$2.70
02/24/1983	02/28/1983	$0.015	0%	2.17%	$2.70
12/08/1982	12/10/1982	$0.015	0%	2.17%	$2.70
08/25/1982	08/27/1982	$0.015	0%	2.17%	$2.70
05/26/1982	05/28/1982	$0.014	0%	2.05%	$2.70
02/24/1982	02/26/1982	$0.014	0%	2.05%	$2.70

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for DOV

Based on past 10-year performance, here are DOV growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +12.2%
Dividend CAGR of +3.99%

Using DOV CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	DOV (DRIP)	DOV - No DRIP
Current Price	$188.10	$188.10
Start Shares	53.16	53.16
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	57.66	53.16
Dividends Payment	$0.78	$0.78
Annual Dividends	$179	$165
Yield on cost	1.79%	1.65%
Share Price	$594.85	$594.85
Total Dividends	$1,405	$1,340
Final Value	$34,297	$32,964

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - DOV

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on DOV's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Dover Corporation (DOV) had its IPO on 1980-03-17, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Dover Corporation operates as a global enterprise, supplying a wide array of industrial equipment, essential components, consumable products, replacement parts, software and digital platforms, and comprehensive support services. Its Engineered Products division delivers diverse machinery, parts, software, and solutions tailored for various industries, including automotive aftermarket service, waste management, industrial automation, aerospace and defense, heavy-duty winching and hoisting, and fluid dispensing. This segment also manufactures specific items such as manual and power clamps, rotary and linear mechanical indexers, conveyors, robotic pick-and-place units, glove ports, manipulators, and end-of-arm tooling like grippers, slides, and end effectors. The Clean Energy & Fueling segment focuses on providing components, equipment, software, and services crucial for the secure transportation of both traditional and sustainable fuels, along with other hazardous materials, throughout the supply chain. It further supports the operations of convenience retail outlets, fuel stations, and vehicle wash establishments. Through its Imaging and Identification segment, Dover offers solutions for precision marking and coding, intelligent packaging, product traceability, brand protection, and digital textile printing equipment. These offerings, along with associated consumables, software, and services, cater to markets like packaged and consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, industrial manufacturing, and fashion and apparel. The Pumps and Process Solutions segment is responsible for producing specialized pumps, connectors, flow meters, fluid connection systems, plastics and polymer processing machinery, and custom-engineered components for rotating and reciprocating equipment. Finally, the Climate & Sustainability Technologies segment manufactures advanced refrigeration systems, commercial refrigeration display cases, glass doors for refrigerators and freezers, and brazed plate heat exchangers, serving applications in industrial heating and cooling as well as residential climate control. Dover distributes its extensive product portfolio through both direct sales channels and a broad network of distributors. The company was founded in 1947 and maintains its headquarters in Downers Grove, Illinois.

DOV website: https://www.dovercorporation.com

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DCF Model — DOV

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $188.10

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →

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