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Edison International EIX | NYSE

$53.65 $0.09 | 0.17%

SIGNAL:

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|2026-08-31 |F&G 14 |RSI 33.2

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $20.72B

Trailing PE: 5.5x

FWD PE *: 8.5x

Payout Ratio (TTM): 35.1%

52-Week Range: $51.10 - $81.62

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year EIX Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 13.3% (1.26% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 12.4% (1.17% CAGR)

Share Price: -25.7% (-2.93% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 7.41%

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $11,330

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $1,330

Dividend Increase: 61.8% (5.04% CAGR)

Dividend Yield (FWD): 6.54% ($3.51)

EIX 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

EIX Share Price

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

EIX Price CAGR:1Y: -2.95%2Y: -21.51%5Y: -0.66%10Y: -2.93%

EIX Dividend Charts

EIX - Dividends

EIX Dividend CAGR:1Y: 6.04%2Y: 6.07%5Y: 5.78%10Y: 6.22%

EIX - Dividend Payout Ratio

EIX Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -30.05%2Y: -7.58%5Y: -6.37%10Y: -0.03%

EIX - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio

EIX Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

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EIX Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

EIX - Revenue

EIX Revenue CAGR:1Y: -4.09%2Y: 0.24%5Y: 5.62%10Y: 4.61%

EIX - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EIX EPS CAGR:1Y: 55.06%2Y: 10.51%5Y: 10.44%10Y: 4.97%

EIX - Net Income

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EIX Net Income CAGR:1Y: 34.42%2Y: 7.84%5Y: 10.96%10Y: 6.69%

EIX - EBITDA

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EIX EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 18.03%2Y: 6.16%5Y: 11.65%10Y: 8.20%

EIX - Free Cash Flow

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EIX Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

EIX - Free Cash Flow / Share

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EIX Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

EIX - Operating Income

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EIX Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 40.90%2Y: 10.15%5Y: 13.30%10Y: 11.10%

EIX - Gross Profit

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EIX Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 18.99%2Y: 8.75%5Y: 10.95%10Y: 8.04%

EIX - Shares Outstanding

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EIX Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.52%2Y: -0.13%5Y: 0.37%10Y: 1.61%

EIX - Share Buybacks

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EIX Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -89.44%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

EIX - Stock-Based Comp

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EIX Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

EIX - Expenses

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EIX Expenses CAGR:1Y: 7.83%2Y: 13.98%5Y: 8.37%10Y: 7.73%

EIX - Revenue vs Net Income

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EIX - EPS vs FCF / Share

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EIX - EPS vs PE Ratio

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EIX - FCF vs FCF / Share

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EIX - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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EIX - Cash & Debt

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EIX - Revenue by Segment

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EIX Revenue CAGR:1Y: -4.09%2Y: 0.24%5Y: 5.62%10Y: 4.61%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

EIX - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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EIX Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: -4.09%2Y: 0.24%5Y: 5.62%10Y: 4.61%

EIX - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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EIX Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 55.06%2Y: 10.51%5Y: 10.44%10Y: 4.97%

EIX - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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EIX Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 34.42%2Y: 7.84%5Y: 10.96%10Y: 6.69%

EIX - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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EIX Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 18.03%2Y: 6.16%5Y: 11.65%10Y: 8.20%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

EIX - Net Profit Margin

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EIX Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 40.18%2Y: 7.58%5Y: 5.07%10Y: 1.99%

EIX - Gross Profit Margin

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EIX Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 24.08%2Y: 8.49%5Y: 5.05%10Y: 3.28%

EIX - Price to Earnings

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EIX Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -7.62%2Y: -5.19%5Y: -4.97%10Y: -5.10%

EIX - Price To Sales Ratio

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EIX Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 50.44%2Y: 2.02%5Y: -0.15%10Y: -3.21%

EIX - Return on Capital Employed

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EIX Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 33.90%2Y: 4.48%5Y: 6.81%10Y: 4.49%

EIX - Return on Invested Capital

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EIX Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 9.15%2Y: -0.35%5Y: -2.81%10Y: -6.11%

EIX Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $3.51

Forward Yield: 6.54%

Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-10-07

Lifetime Dividends / Share: $69.75

EIX Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all EIX dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date	Payment Date	Amount	Yield	Forward Yield	Price on Ex-Date
10/07/2026	11/02/2026	$0.878	6.55%	0%	$0.00
07/07/2026	07/31/2026	$0.878	4.63%	4.78%	$73.37
04/07/2026	04/30/2026	$0.878	4.83%	5.05%	$69.49
01/07/2026	02/02/2026	$0.878	6%	5.78%	$60.75
10/07/2025	10/31/2025	$0.828	6.17%	5.98%	$55.38
07/07/2025	07/31/2025	$0.828	6.55%	6.35%	$52.12
04/07/2025	04/30/2025	$0.828	6.17%	6.19%	$53.51
01/07/2025	01/31/2025	$0.828	4.28%	6.13%	$54.00
10/07/2024	10/31/2024	$0.780	3.69%	3.79%	$82.40
07/08/2024	07/31/2024	$0.780	4.36%	3.9%	$80.01
03/27/2024	04/30/2024	$0.780	4.5%	4.39%	$71.06
12/28/2023	01/31/2024	$0.780	4.36%	4.62%	$67.48
09/28/2023	10/31/2023	$0.738	4.64%	4.68%	$63.06
07/03/2023	07/31/2023	$0.738	4.27%	4.1%	$71.96
03/30/2023	05/01/2023	$0.738	4.21%	3.99%	$73.95
12/29/2022	01/31/2023	$0.738	4.58%	4.28%	$68.90
09/29/2022	10/31/2022	$0.700	4.87%	4.66%	$60.04
07/01/2022	08/01/2022	$0.700	4.39%	4.18%	$66.99
03/30/2022	05/02/2022	$0.700	4.03%	4.12%	$67.91
12/30/2021	01/31/2022	$0.700	4.14%	4.46%	$62.79
09/29/2021	11/01/2021	$0.663	4.7%	4.19%	$63.30
07/02/2021	08/02/2021	$0.663	4.65%	4.81%	$55.10
03/30/2021	04/30/2021	$0.663	4.46%	4.46%	$59.45
12/30/2020	02/01/2021	$0.663	4.3%	4.57%	$58.01
09/29/2020	11/02/2020	$0.638	5%	4.43%	$57.55
07/02/2020	07/31/2020	$0.638	4.59%	4.58%	$55.67
03/30/2020	04/30/2020	$0.638	4.53%	4.34%	$58.71
12/30/2019	01/31/2020	$0.638	3.41%	3.33%	$76.55
09/27/2019	10/31/2019	$0.613	3.23%	3.9%	$62.90
07/05/2019	07/31/2019	$0.613	3.65%	3.29%	$74.54
03/28/2019	04/30/2019	$0.613	3.94%	3.84%	$63.77
12/28/2018	01/31/2019	$0.613	4.28%	4.3%	$56.97
09/27/2018	10/31/2018	$0.605	3.63%	3.49%	$69.39
06/29/2018	07/31/2018	$0.605	3.82%	3.63%	$66.63
03/28/2018	04/30/2018	$0.605	3.84%	3.69%	$65.52
12/28/2017	01/31/2018	$0.605	3.78%	3.87%	$62.53
09/28/2017	10/31/2017	$0.543	2.8%	2.71%	$79.95
06/28/2017	07/31/2017	$0.543	2.78%	2.76%	$78.68
03/29/2017	05/01/2017	$0.543	2.72%	2.74%	$79.24
12/28/2016	01/31/2017	$0.543	3.05%	2.98%	$72.88
09/28/2016	10/31/2016	$0.480	2.61%	2.61%	$73.48
06/28/2016	08/01/2016	$0.480	2.53%	2.49%	$77.05
03/29/2016	05/02/2016	$0.480	2.66%	2.69%	$71.44
12/29/2015	02/01/2016	$0.480	3.18%	3.09%	$62.23
09/28/2015	11/02/2015	$0.418	2.71%	2.74%	$60.89
06/26/2015	07/31/2015	$0.418	2.97%	2.78%	$60.01
03/27/2015	04/30/2015	$0.417	2.68%	2.74%	$60.94
12/29/2014	02/02/2015	$0.417	2.44%	2.44%	$68.29
09/26/2014	10/31/2014	$0.355	2.55%	2.27%	$62.58
06/26/2014	07/31/2014	$0.355	2.47%	2.59%	$54.80
03/27/2014	04/30/2014	$0.355	2.64%	2.51%	$56.56
12/27/2013	01/31/2014	$0.355	3.09%	2.95%	$48.16
09/26/2013	10/31/2013	$0.338	2.94%	2.75%	$49.03
06/26/2013	07/31/2013	$0.338	2.86%	2.71%	$49.85
03/26/2013	04/30/2013	$0.338	2.67%	2.51%	$53.80
12/27/2012	01/31/2013	$0.338	3%	2.8%	$48.19
09/26/2012	10/31/2012	$0.325	2.86%	2.77%	$46.92
06/27/2012	07/31/2012	$0.325	2.83%	2.82%	$46.18
03/28/2012	04/30/2012	$0.325	3.06%	2.95%	$44.01
12/28/2011	01/31/2012	$0.325	3.16%	3.17%	$41.04
09/28/2011	10/31/2011	$0.320	3.42%	3.15%	$40.60
06/28/2011	08/01/2011	$0.320	3.31%	3.37%	$37.94
03/29/2011	05/02/2011	$0.320	3.52%	3.26%	$39.25
12/29/2010	01/31/2011	$0.320	3.3%	3.53%	$36.28
09/28/2010	11/01/2010	$0.315	3.62%	3.4%	$37.04
06/28/2010	08/02/2010	$0.315	3.85%	3.7%	$34.04
03/29/2010	04/30/2010	$0.315	3.68%	3.67%	$34.37
12/29/2009	02/01/2010	$0.315	3.55%	3.74%	$33.66
09/28/2009	11/02/2009	$0.310	3.64%	3.89%	$31.89
06/26/2009	07/31/2009	$0.310	3.96%	3.84%	$32.32
03/27/2009	04/30/2009	$0.310	4.28%	4.35%	$28.51
12/29/2008	02/02/2009	$0.310	4.03%	3.76%	$32.97
09/26/2008	10/31/2008	$0.305	3.04%	3.43%	$35.59
06/26/2008	07/31/2008	$0.305	2.42%	2.52%	$48.34
03/27/2008	04/30/2008	$0.305	2.48%	2.34%	$52.17
12/27/2007	01/31/2008	$0.305	2.28%	2.35%	$52.00
09/26/2007	10/31/2007	$0.290	2.02%	1.99%	$58.15
06/27/2007	07/31/2007	$0.290	2.08%	2.19%	$52.89
03/28/2007	04/30/2007	$0.290	2.34%	2.22%	$52.35
12/27/2006	01/31/2007	$0.290	2.53%	2.58%	$44.98
09/27/2006	10/31/2006	$0.270	2.54%	2.43%	$44.44
06/28/2006	07/31/2006	$0.270	2.75%	2.61%	$41.38
03/29/2006	05/01/2006	$0.270	2.54%	2.74%	$39.35
12/28/2005	01/31/2006	$0.270	2.51%	2.46%	$43.82
09/28/2005	10/31/2005	$0.250	2.15%	2.29%	$43.76
06/28/2005	08/01/2005	$0.250	2.48%	2.49%	$40.23
03/29/2005	05/02/2005	$0.250	2.97%	2.73%	$36.67
12/28/2004	01/31/2005	$0.250	3.11%	3.08%	$32.47
09/28/2004	11/01/2004	$0.200	3.02%	2.64%	$30.27
06/28/2004	08/02/2004	$0.200	3.11%	3.07%	$26.05
03/29/2004	04/30/2004	$0.200	3.34%	3.42%	$23.40
01/02/2004	02/02/2004	$0.200	3.65%	3.62%	$22.12
10/03/2000	10/31/2000	$0.280	5.6%	4.69%	$23.88
06/30/2000	07/31/2000	$0.280	5.46%	5.69%	$19.69
04/03/2000	05/01/2000	$0.280	6.64%	5.8%	$19.31
01/03/2000	01/31/2000	$0.270	4.31%	3.71%	$29.13
10/01/1999	11/01/1999	$0.270	4.38%	3.73%	$28.94
06/30/1999	08/02/1999	$0.270	4.04%	4.17%	$25.88
03/31/1999	04/30/1999	$0.270	4.85%	4.41%	$24.50
12/31/1998	02/01/1999	$0.260	3.73%	3.82%	$27.19
10/01/1998	11/02/1998	$0.260	4.05%	3.82%	$27.25
06/30/1998	07/31/1998	$0.260	3.52%	3.75%	$27.75
04/01/1998	04/30/1998	$0.260	3.56%	3.49%	$29.81
12/31/1997	02/02/1998	$0.250	3.68%	3.7%	$27.00
10/01/1997	10/31/1997	$0.250	3.91%	3.9%	$25.63
07/01/1997	07/31/1997	$0.250	4.09%	3.96%	$25.25
04/02/1997	04/30/1997	$0.250	4.55%	4.76%	$21.00
12/31/1996	01/31/1997	$0.250	5.03%	4.68%	$21.38
10/02/1996	10/31/1996	$0.250	5.59%	5.09%	$19.63
07/02/1996	07/31/1996	$0.250	5.75%	6.5%	$15.38
04/02/1996	04/30/1996	$0.250	6.01%	6.25%	$16.00
01/03/1996	01/31/1996	$0.250	5.59%	5.41%	$18.50
10/03/1995	10/31/1995	$0.250	5.8%	5.88%	$17.00
06/30/1995	07/31/1995	$0.250	5.84%	5.84%	$17.13
03/30/1995	05/01/1995	$0.250	6.4%	6.01%	$16.63
12/29/1994	01/31/1995	$0.250	6.67%	6.15%	$16.25
09/29/1994	10/31/1994	$0.250	7.76%	7.2%	$13.88
06/28/1994	08/01/1994	$0.250	7.69%	7.27%	$13.75
03/29/1994	05/02/1994	$0.460	11.06%	11.87%	$15.50
12/30/1993	01/31/1994	$0.355	6.93%	7.28%	$19.50
09/29/1993	11/01/1993	$0.355	6.01%	6.76%	$21.00
06/28/1993	08/02/1993	$0.355	5.8%	5.8%	$24.50
03/30/1993	04/30/1993	$0.350	5.91%	5.86%	$23.88
12/29/1992	02/01/1993	$0.350	6.24%	6.21%	$22.56
09/29/1992	11/02/1992	$0.350	6.24%	6.31%	$22.19
06/26/1992	07/31/1992	$0.350	6.24%	5.92%	$23.63
03/30/1992	04/30/1992	$0.202	3.96%	3.79%	$21.31
12/27/1991	01/31/1992	$0.340	5.91%	6.61%	$20.56
09/30/1991	10/31/1991	$0.340	6.13%	6.11%	$22.25
06/28/1991	07/31/1991	$0.340	7%	6.51%	$20.88
04/01/1991	04/30/1991	$0.330	6.84%	6.75%	$19.56
12/28/1990	01/31/1991	$0.330	6.93%	7.02%	$18.81
10/01/1990	10/31/1990	$0.330	7.11%	6.79%	$19.44
06/28/1990	07/31/1990	$0.330	6.99%	6.97%	$18.94
03/30/1990	04/30/1990	$0.320	6.87%	7.13%	$17.94
12/29/1989	01/31/1990	$0.320	6.5%	6.78%	$18.88
09/29/1989	10/31/1989	$0.320	7.16%	6.94%	$18.44
06/28/1989	07/31/1989	$0.320	7.34%	6.78%	$18.88
03/30/1989	05/01/1989	$0.310	8%	7.52%	$16.50
12/29/1988	01/31/1989	$0.310	7.66%	7.46%	$16.63
09/29/1988	10/31/1988	$0.310	7.49%	7.29%	$17.00
03/29/1988	05/02/1988	$0.298	7.77%	7.65%	$15.56
12/29/1987	02/01/1988	$0.298	7.87%	7.13%	$16.69
09/29/1987	11/02/1987	$0.298	7.56%	7.35%	$16.19
06/26/1987	07/31/1987	$0.298	7.58%	7.68%	$15.50
03/30/1987	04/30/1987	$0.285	7.13%	7.27%	$15.69
12/29/1986	02/02/1987	$0.285	6.71%	6.2%	$18.38
09/29/1986	10/01/1986	$0.285	7.04%	6.99%	$16.31
06/27/1986	07/02/1986	$0.285	7.24%	7.33%	$15.56
12/27/1985	01/01/1986	$0.270	8.04%	8.19%	$13.19
09/30/1985	10/02/1985	$0.270	9.29%	9.29%	$11.63
06/28/1985	07/03/1985	$0.270	8.07%	8.15%	$13.25
03/29/1985	04/03/1985	$0.255	8.5%	8.5%	$12.00
12/28/1984	01/02/1985	$0.255	8.96%	8.96%	$11.38
10/01/1984	10/03/1984	$0.255	9.71%	9.49%	$10.75
06/28/1984	07/02/1984	$0.255	11.06%	11.03%	$9.25
03/30/1984	04/04/1984	$0.238	10.7%	10.66%	$8.91
12/29/1983	01/02/1984	$0.238	0%	9.68%	$9.81
09/29/1983	10/03/1983	$0.238	0%	9.68%	$9.81
06/28/1983	06/30/1983	$0.220	0%	8.97%	$9.81
03/29/1983	03/31/1983	$0.220	0%	8.97%	$9.81
12/30/1982	01/03/1983	$0.220	0%	8.97%	$9.81
09/29/1982	10/01/1982	$0.220	0%	8.97%	$9.81
06/28/1982	06/30/1982	$0.203	0%	8.26%	$9.81
12/29/1981	12/31/1981	$0.203	0%	8.26%	$9.81
09/29/1981	10/01/1981	$0.203	0%	8.26%	$9.81
06/26/1981	07/01/1981	$0.185	0%	7.54%	$9.81
03/30/1981	04/01/1981	$0.185	0%	7.54%	$9.81
12/29/1980	12/31/1980	$0.185	0%	7.54%	$9.81
09/29/1980	10/01/1980	$0.185	0%	7.54%	$9.81
06/27/1980	07/02/1980	$0.170	0%	6.93%	$9.81
03/28/1980	04/02/1980	$0.170	0%	6.93%	$9.81
12/28/1979	01/02/1980	$0.170	0%	6.93%	$9.81
10/01/1979	10/03/1979	$0.170	0%	6.93%	$9.81
06/28/1979	07/02/1979	$0.155	0%	6.32%	$9.81
03/30/1979	04/04/1979	$0.155	0%	6.32%	$9.81
12/29/1978	01/03/1979	$0.155	0%	6.32%	$9.81
09/29/1978	10/04/1978	$0.140	0%	5.71%	$9.81
06/28/1978	06/30/1978	$0.140	0%	5.71%	$9.81
03/30/1978	04/03/1978	$0.140	0%	5.71%	$9.81
12/29/1977	01/02/1978	$0.140	0%	5.71%	$9.81
09/29/1977	10/03/1977	$0.125	0%	5.1%	$9.81
06/28/1977	06/30/1977	$0.125	0%	5.1%	$9.81
03/30/1977	04/01/1977	$0.125	0%	5.1%	$9.81
12/30/1976	01/03/1977	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
09/29/1976	10/01/1976	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
06/28/1976	06/30/1976	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
03/30/1976	04/01/1976	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
12/29/1975	12/31/1975	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
09/29/1975	10/01/1975	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
06/27/1975	07/02/1975	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
03/31/1975	04/02/1975	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
12/27/1974	01/01/1975	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
09/30/1974	10/02/1974	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
06/28/1974	07/03/1974	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
04/01/1974	04/03/1974	$0.105	0%	4.28%	$9.81
12/28/1973	01/02/1974	$0.098	0%	3.98%	$9.81
10/01/1973	10/03/1973	$0.098	0%	3.98%	$9.81
06/28/1973	07/02/1973	$0.098	0%	3.98%	$9.81

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for EIX

Based on past 10-year performance, here are EIX growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -2.93%
Dividend CAGR of +6.22%

Using EIX CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	EIX (DRIP)	EIX - No DRIP
Current Price	$53.65	$53.65
Start Shares	186.39	186.39
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	507.20	186.39
Dividends Payment	$1.60	$1.60
Annual Dividends	$3,255	$1,196
Yield on cost	32.55%	11.96%
Share Price	$39.84	$39.84
Total Dividends	$14,441	$8,712
Final Value	$20,206	$16,138

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - EIX

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on EIX's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Edison International (EIX) had its IPO on 1973-05-03, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Headquartered in Rosemead, California, and established in 1886, Edison International primarily operates through its subsidiaries to produce and supply electrical power. This utility company furnishes electricity to a vast client base of around 15 million, encompassing homes, businesses, industrial sites, governmental bodies, and agricultural enterprises throughout Southern, Central, and Coastal California. Beyond power delivery, Edison International also offers bespoke energy solutions tailored for its commercial and industrial clientele. Its extensive infrastructure includes a robust transmission network featuring lines that range from 55 kV to 500 kV, alongside numerous substations. The company's distribution system is equally substantial, comprising approximately 39,000 circuit-miles of overhead cabling, roughly 31,000 circuit-miles of underground lines, and 800 distribution substations.

EIX website: https://www.edison.com

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DCF Model — EIX

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $53.65

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →

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