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GRDN | NYSE

$40.68 -$0.06 | -0.15%

SIGNAL:

|2026-09-24 |F&G 56 |RSI 43.8

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $2.58B

Trailing PE: 39.5x

FWD PE *: 30.3x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $23.14 - $48.33

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

2 Year GRDN Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 154.3% (59.45% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 154.3% (59.45% CAGR)

Share Price: 154.3% (59.45% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $25,425

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $15,425

GRDN Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

GRDN Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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GRDN Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

GRDN - Revenue

GRDN Revenue CAGR:1Y: 2.16%2Y: 8.28%5Y: 14.13%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

GRDN EPS CAGR:1Y: 142.86%2Y: 41.42%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Net Income

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GRDN Net Income CAGR:1Y: 142.21%2Y: 43.48%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - EBITDA

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GRDN EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 64.11%2Y: 33.06%5Y: 61.95%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Free Cash Flow

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GRDN Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 62.55%2Y: -1.31%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Free Cash Flow / Share

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GRDN Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 59.26%2Y: -3.26%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Operating Income

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GRDN Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 64.10%2Y: 10.18%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Gross Profit

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GRDN Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 17.46%2Y: 14.28%5Y: 17.95%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Shares Outstanding

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GRDN Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 1.00%2Y: 2.43%5Y: 0.96%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Share Buybacks

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GRDN Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 4.26%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Stock-Based Comp

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GRDN Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -34.05%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Expenses

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GRDN Expenses CAGR:1Y: 7.25%2Y: 23.09%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Revenue vs Net Income

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GRDN - EPS vs FCF / Share

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GRDN - EPS vs PE Ratio

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GRDN - FCF vs FCF / Share

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GRDN - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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GRDN - Cash & Debt

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GRDN - Revenue by Segment

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GRDN Revenue CAGR:1Y: 2.16%2Y: 8.28%5Y: 14.13%10Y: 0.00%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

GRDN - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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GRDN Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 2.16%2Y: 8.28%5Y: 14.13%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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GRDN Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 142.86%2Y: 41.42%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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GRDN Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 142.21%2Y: 43.48%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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GRDN Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 64.11%2Y: 33.06%5Y: 61.95%10Y: 0.00%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

GRDN - Net Profit Margin

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GRDN Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 137.40%2Y: 32.55%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Gross Profit Margin

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GRDN Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 14.96%2Y: 5.53%5Y: 3.34%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Price to Earnings

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GRDN Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -15.79%2Y: 14.26%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Price To Sales Ratio

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GRDN Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 96.30%2Y: 52.42%5Y: 7.06%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Return on Capital Employed

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GRDN Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 20.35%2Y: -22.70%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GRDN - Return on Invested Capital

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GRDN Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 28.47%2Y: -29.48%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for GRDN

Based on past 2-year performance, here are GRDN growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +59.45%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using GRDN CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	GRDN (DRIP)	GRDN - No DRIP
Current Price	$40.68	$40.68
Start Shares	245.82	245.82
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	245.82	245.82
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$40.68	$40.68
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$10,000	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - GRDN

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on GRDN's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 2 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) had its IPO on 2024-09-26, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. operates as a pharmaceutical service provider, delivering an extensive array of tech-driven solutions. These services are specifically crafted to enhance the care of residents within long-term health care facilities (LTCFs) across the United States. The company specializes in offering personalized clinical assistance, efficient drug distribution, and comprehensive administrative support. These provisions are particularly beneficial for individuals in less acute long-term care environments, such as assisted living communities, behavioral health centers, and group homes. To bolster its operations, the company offers Guardian Compass, a platform that generates insightful dashboards from its extensive data warehouse. This tool enables its network of local pharmacies to effectively strategize, monitor performance, and refine their business processes. Furthermore, Guardian Pharmacy Services develops dedicated GuardianShield Programs for LTCFs. The company was established in 2003 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.

GRDN website: https://guardianpharmacy.com

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DCF Model — GRDN

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $40.68

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →