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LOPE | NASDAQ

$153.71 $2.12 | 1.40%

SIGNAL:

|2026-09-22 |F&G 56 |RSI 59.0

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $4.01B

Trailing PE: 18.6x

FWD PE *: 14.3x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $134.27 - $223.04

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year LOPE Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 283.9% (14.40% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 283.9% (14.40% CAGR)

Share Price: 283.9% (14.40% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $38,389

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $28,389

LOPE Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

LOPE Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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LOPE Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

LOPE - Revenue

LOPE Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.69%2Y: 7.74%5Y: 5.56%10Y: 3.28%

LOPE - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

LOPE EPS CAGR:1Y: 18.24%2Y: 21.27%5Y: 9.93%10Y: 11.49%

LOPE - Net Income

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LOPE Net Income CAGR:1Y: 10.36%2Y: 14.66%5Y: -1.50%10Y: 5.20%

LOPE - EBITDA

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LOPE EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 6.18%2Y: 15.42%5Y: 3.61%10Y: 2.19%

LOPE - Free Cash Flow

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LOPE Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: -15.17%2Y: 4.57%5Y: -2.91%10Y: 0.00%

LOPE - Free Cash Flow / Share

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LOPE Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: -9.22%2Y: 10.64%5Y: 8.45%10Y: 0.00%

LOPE - Operating Income

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LOPE Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 12.28%2Y: 16.67%5Y: 2.96%10Y: 2.65%

LOPE - Gross Profit

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LOPE Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 7.41%2Y: 10.75%5Y: 4.05%10Y: 2.02%

LOPE - Shares Outstanding

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LOPE Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -6.80%2Y: -5.59%5Y: -10.47%10Y: -5.67%

LOPE - Share Buybacks

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LOPE Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 58.89%2Y: 39.43%5Y: -5.20%10Y: 107.05%

LOPE - Stock-Based Comp

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LOPE Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -0.89%2Y: -7.00%5Y: 3.29%10Y: 1.65%

LOPE - Expenses

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LOPE Expenses CAGR:1Y: 24.85%2Y: 9.04%5Y: 8.90%10Y: -18.46%

LOPE - Revenue vs Net Income

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LOPE - EPS vs FCF / Share

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LOPE - EPS vs PE Ratio

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LOPE - FCF vs FCF / Share

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LOPE - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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LOPE - Cash & Debt

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LOPE - Revenue by Segment

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LOPE Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.69%2Y: 7.74%5Y: 5.56%10Y: 3.28%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

LOPE - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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LOPE Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.69%2Y: 7.74%5Y: 5.56%10Y: 3.28%

LOPE - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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LOPE Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 18.24%2Y: 21.27%5Y: 9.93%10Y: 11.49%

LOPE - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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LOPE Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 10.36%2Y: 14.66%5Y: -1.50%10Y: 5.20%

LOPE - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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LOPE Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 6.18%2Y: 15.42%5Y: 3.61%10Y: 2.19%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

LOPE - Net Profit Margin

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LOPE Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 3.45%2Y: 6.45%5Y: -6.69%10Y: 1.86%

LOPE - Gross Profit Margin

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LOPE Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.67%2Y: 2.80%5Y: -1.43%10Y: -1.21%

LOPE - Price to Earnings

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LOPE Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -35.96%2Y: -17.04%5Y: -0.24%10Y: 2.09%

LOPE - Price To Sales Ratio

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LOPE Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -33.67%2Y: -11.78%5Y: -6.94%10Y: 3.98%

LOPE - Return on Capital Employed

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LOPE Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 26.36%2Y: 22.61%5Y: 19.36%10Y: 2.27%

LOPE - Return on Invested Capital

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LOPE Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 25.57%2Y: 23.80%5Y: 19.64%10Y: 4.58%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for LOPE

Based on past 10-year performance, here are LOPE growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +14.3%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using LOPE CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	LOPE (DRIP)	LOPE - No DRIP
Current Price	$153.71	$153.71
Start Shares	65.06	65.06
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	65.06	65.06
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$153.71	$153.71
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$10,000	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - LOPE

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on LOPE's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) had its IPO on 2008-11-20, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (GCE) furnishes a broad spectrum of educational support services to higher education institutions throughout the United States. Its comprehensive suite of offerings encompasses technology solutions, such as learning management systems, internal administrative platforms, and critical infrastructure and technical support. GCE also provides academic services, which include curriculum and program design, faculty development and training, class scheduling, and the establishment of skills and simulation laboratory sites. Student-focused support covers admissions guidance, financial aid assistance, and field experience coordination, among other counseling services. Furthermore, the company manages extensive marketing and communication activities, ranging from lead generation and digital outreach strategies to brand identity development, market research, media planning, video content creation, and sophisticated business intelligence and data analytics. Essential back-office operations like finance, accounting, human resources, auditing, and procurement are also within its scope. Through its subsidiary, Orbis Education Services, LLC, GCE additionally supports healthcare education programs for 27 universities. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was established in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

LOPE website: https://www.gce.com

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DCF Model — LOPE

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $153.71

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →