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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. REFI | NASDAQ

$10.03 $0.01 | 0.10%
SIGNAL:Signal available — unlock to view |2026-09-28 |F&G 29 |RSI 30.8

Company Overview:

Market Cap: $211.79M
Trailing PE: 7.3x
FWD PE *: 5x
Payout Ratio (TTM): 138.2%
52-Week Range: $9.69 - $13.49

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

4.8 Year REFI Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 5.7% (1.16% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP): 8.9% (1.78% CAGR)
Share Price: -39.2% (-9.84% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 19.81%
Total Invested: $10,000
Total Value (with DRIP): $10,570
Total Return $ (with DRIP): $570
Dividend Increase: 0.0% (0.00% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD): 18.74% ($1.88)
REFI 4.8-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
REFI Share Price
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All
REFI Price CAGR:1Y: -20.33%2Y: -19.27%5Y: -9.81%10Y: -9.81%
REFI Dividend Charts
REFI - Dividends
REFI Dividend CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 3.65%10Y: 3.65%
REFI - Dividend Payout Ratio
REFI Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 24.35%2Y: 20.48%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio
REFI Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: -25.28%2Y: -9.99%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

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REFI Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

REFI - Revenue
REFI Revenue CAGR:1Y: -13.57%2Y: -8.38%5Y: 61.78%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Earnings Per Share (EPS)
REFI EPS CAGR:1Y: -17.07%2Y: -14.03%5Y: 40.91%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Net Income
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REFI Net Income CAGR:1Y: -15.82%2Y: -9.79%5Y: 47.55%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - EBITDA
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REFI EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -5.43%5Y: 55.47%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Free Cash Flow
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REFI Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 40.10%2Y: 20.75%5Y: 44.15%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Free Cash Flow / Share
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REFI Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 38.52%2Y: 15.33%5Y: 38.59%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Operating Income
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REFI Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -5.43%5Y: 55.47%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Gross Profit
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REFI Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: -6.68%2Y: 1.38%5Y: 66.36%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Shares Outstanding
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REFI Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 1.06%2Y: 4.48%5Y: 4.46%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Share Buybacks
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REFI Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Stock-Based Comp
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REFI Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 8.68%2Y: 7.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Expenses
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REFI Expenses CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Revenue vs Net Income
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REFI - EPS vs FCF / Share
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REFI - EPS vs PE Ratio
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REFI - FCF vs FCF / Share
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REFI - FCF vs Stock Based Comp
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REFI - Cash & Debt
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Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

REFI - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates
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REFI Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: -13.57%2Y: -8.38%5Y: 61.78%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - EPS: Actual + Estimates
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REFI Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -17.07%2Y: -14.03%5Y: 40.91%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates
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REFI Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: -15.82%2Y: -9.79%5Y: 47.55%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates
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REFI Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -5.43%5Y: 55.47%10Y: 0.00%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

REFI - Net Profit Margin
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REFI Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -19.29%2Y: -10.38%5Y: -12.16%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Gross Profit Margin
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REFI Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -10.54%2Y: 0.72%5Y: -2.20%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Price to Earnings
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REFI Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -7.85%2Y: -1.73%5Y: -35.26%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Price To Sales Ratio
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REFI Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -25.54%2Y: -12.15%5Y: -43.19%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Return on Capital Employed
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REFI Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -10.24%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
REFI - Return on Invested Capital
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REFI Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

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REFI Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $1.88
Forward Yield: 18.74%
Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-09-30
Lifetime Dividends / Share: $9.62

REFI Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all REFI dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date Payment Date Amount Yield Forward Yield Price on Ex-Date
09/30/202610/02/2026$0.47018.76%0%$0.00
06/30/202607/02/2026$0.47017.54%17.6%$10.68
03/31/202604/02/2026$0.47016.61%17.08%$11.01
12/31/202501/02/2026$0.47015.33%15.33%$12.26
09/30/202510/02/2025$0.47014.7%14.63%$12.85
06/30/202507/02/2025$0.47013.47%13.21%$14.23
03/31/202504/02/2025$0.47012.79%12.71%$14.79
12/31/202401/02/2025$0.65016.86%16.72%$15.55
09/30/202410/02/2024$0.47012.12%12.25%$15.35
06/28/202407/01/2024$0.47012.24%12.51%$15.03
03/27/202403/29/2024$0.47011.98%12.23%$15.37
12/28/202301/01/2024$0.76018.94%18.68%$16.27
09/28/202310/02/2023$0.47012.79%12.86%$14.62
06/29/202307/03/2023$0.47012.48%12.45%$15.10
03/30/202304/03/2023$0.47014.18%13.86%$13.56
12/29/202201/13/2023$0.76020.27%19.28%$15.77
09/29/202210/14/2022$0.47012.92%12.5%$15.04
06/29/202207/15/2022$0.47012.1%12.96%$14.51
03/30/202204/14/2022$0.4009%9.08%$17.63

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for REFI

Based on past 4.8-year performance, here are REFI growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -9.84%
Dividend CAGR of +3.68%

Using REFI CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

REFI (DRIP)REFI - No DRIP
Current Price$10.03$10.03
Start Shares997.01997.01
Start Value$10,000$10,000
  
After 10 years:
Final Share Count36,867.52997.01
Dividends Payment$0.67$0.67
Annual Dividends$99,437$2,689
Yield on cost994.37%26.89%
Share Price$3.56$3.56
Total Dividends$164,565$22,168
Final Value$131,254$25,717

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - REFI

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on REFI's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 4.8 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) had its IPO on 2021-12-08, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. functions as a commercial real estate financing enterprise operating throughout the United States. Its primary activities include developing, arranging, and deploying capital into various secured debt instruments, notably first mortgage loans, which are collateralized by commercial properties. A specific area of focus for the company is extending senior-priority loans to both state-approved operators and property owners within the legal cannabis industry. Chicago Atlantic has chosen to be taxed as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), which allows it to avoid federal corporate income tax, conditional on distributing a minimum of 90% of its taxable profits to its investors. The firm was established in 2021 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

REFI website: https://investors.refi.reit


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DCF Model — REFI

Value from:
Pay up to today
—
vs current price $10.03
—
Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
YearFCFImplied price
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →