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TTD | NASDAQ

$12.05 -$0.05 | -0.41%

SIGNAL:

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|2025-10-28 |F&G 18 |RSI 30.7

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $5.67B

Trailing PE: 14.2x

FWD PE *: 109.6x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $11.85 - $56.39

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

7.7 Year TTD Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): -15.6% (-2.17% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): -15.6% (-2.17% CAGR)

Share Price: -15.6% (-2.17% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $8,444

Total Return $ (with DRIP): -$1,556

TTD Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

TTD Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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TTD Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

TTD - Revenue

TTD Revenue CAGR:1Y: 3.03%2Y: 10.60%5Y: 20.63%10Y: 31.24%

TTD - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

TTD EPS CAGR:1Y: -22.22%2Y: -9.25%5Y: 6.96%10Y: 36.36%

TTD - Net Income

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TTD Net Income CAGR:1Y: -28.55%2Y: -12.98%5Y: 6.19%10Y: 23.83%

TTD - EBITDA

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TTD EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 9.23%2Y: 22.92%5Y: 23.04%10Y: 27.11%

TTD - Free Cash Flow

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TTD Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 20.29%2Y: 57.37%5Y: 110.72%10Y: 44.40%

TTD - Free Cash Flow / Share

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TTD Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 26.01%2Y: 60.86%5Y: 111.36%10Y: 41.49%

TTD - Operating Income

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TTD Operating Income CAGR:1Y: -13.02%2Y: 3.56%5Y: 10.40%10Y: 21.05%

TTD - Gross Profit

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TTD Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 31.67%2Y: 22.81%5Y: 25.56%10Y: 33.93%

TTD - Shares Outstanding

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TTD Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -5.21%2Y: -3.06%5Y: -1.11%10Y: 2.09%

TTD - Share Buybacks

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TTD Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: -70.17%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 44.97%10Y: 88.01%

TTD - Stock-Based Comp

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TTD Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -15.00%2Y: -6.88%5Y: 19.37%10Y: 85.02%

TTD - Expenses

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TTD Expenses CAGR:1Y: -72.63%2Y: -26.65%5Y: 13.59%10Y: 19.65%

TTD - Revenue vs Net Income

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TTD - EPS vs FCF / Share

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TTD - EPS vs PE Ratio

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TTD - FCF vs FCF / Share

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TTD - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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TTD - Cash & Debt

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Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

TTD - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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TTD Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 3.03%2Y: 10.60%5Y: 20.63%10Y: 31.24%

TTD - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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TTD Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -22.22%2Y: -9.25%5Y: 6.96%10Y: 36.36%

TTD - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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TTD Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: -28.55%2Y: -12.98%5Y: 6.19%10Y: 23.83%

TTD - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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TTD Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 9.23%2Y: 22.92%5Y: 23.04%10Y: 27.11%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

TTD - Net Profit Margin

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TTD Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -30.64%2Y: -21.31%5Y: -11.97%10Y: -5.64%

TTD - Gross Profit Margin

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TTD Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 27.80%2Y: 11.04%5Y: 4.09%10Y: 2.05%

TTD - Price to Earnings

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TTD Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -67.71%2Y: -52.14%5Y: -30.05%10Y: -1.58%

TTD - Price To Sales Ratio

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TTD Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -76.73%2Y: -62.00%5Y: -38.20%10Y: -6.97%

TTD - Return on Capital Employed

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TTD Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: -11.90%2Y: -2.35%5Y: -4.17%10Y: -12.15%

TTD - Return on Invested Capital

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TTD Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: -26.09%2Y: -14.45%5Y: -9.43%10Y: -12.06%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for TTD

Based on past 7.7-year performance, here are TTD growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -2.17%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using TTD CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	TTD (DRIP)	TTD - No DRIP
Current Price	$12.05	$12.05
Start Shares	829.88	829.88
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	829.88	829.88
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$9.67	$12.05
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$8,028	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - TTD

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on TTD's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 7.7 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) had its IPO on 2016-09-21, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

The Trade Desk, Inc. is a global technology company that provides a self-service, cloud-based platform. This platform enables advertising buyers to efficiently create, manage, and optimize data-driven digital ad campaigns across diverse formats and channels, including display, video, audio, native, and social media, reaching audiences on computers, mobile devices, and connected TVs. In addition to the platform, the company offers various data and value-added services. Their primary clients are advertising agencies and other service providers who represent advertisers. The Trade Desk was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Ventura, California.

TTD website: https://www.thetradedesk.com

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DCF Model — TTD

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $12.05

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →

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