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Vistra Corp. VST | NYSE

$138.16 -$2.67 | -1.90%
SIGNAL:Signal available — unlock to view |2026-09-15 |F&G 32 |RSI 46.9

Company Overview:

Market Cap: $46.49B
Trailing PE: 23.3x
FWD PE *: 14.8x
Payout Ratio (TTM): 22.5%
52-Week Range: $132.66 - $217.10

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

7.5 Year VST Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 523% (27.63% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP): 452.5% (25.60% CAGR)
Share Price: 430.8% (24.93% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 4.15%
Total Invested: $10,000
Total Value (with DRIP): $62,335
Total Return $ (with DRIP): $52,335
Dividend Increase: 633% (30.31% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD): 0.67% ($0.92)
VST 7.5-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
VST Share Price
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All
VST Price CAGR:1Y: -29.48%2Y: 7.96%5Y: 51.87%10Y: 24.90%
VST Dividend Charts
VST - Dividends
VST Dividend CAGR:1Y: 0.88%2Y: 1.68%5Y: 8.80%10Y: 22.62%
VST - Dividend Payout Ratio
VST Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 13.17%2Y: 10.86%5Y: -24.47%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio
VST Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 132.16%5Y: 30.53%10Y: 0.00%

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VST Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

VST - Revenue
VST Revenue CAGR:1Y: -5.48%2Y: 2.21%5Y: 9.39%10Y: 12.54%
VST - Earnings Per Share (EPS)
VST EPS CAGR:1Y: -8.43%2Y: -8.11%5Y: 61.12%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Net Income
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VST Net Income CAGR:1Y: -6.73%2Y: -8.59%5Y: 53.32%10Y: 0.00%
VST - EBITDA
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VST EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -0.45%2Y: -13.22%5Y: 16.76%10Y: 19.66%
VST - Free Cash Flow
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VST Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -56.35%5Y: -11.28%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Free Cash Flow / Share
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VST Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -55.89%5Y: -4.70%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Operating Income
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VST Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 7.38%2Y: -17.27%5Y: 54.91%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Gross Profit
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VST Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 1.18%2Y: -23.62%5Y: 2.98%10Y: 11.30%
VST - Shares Outstanding
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VST Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.12%2Y: -2.07%5Y: -6.96%10Y: -2.27%
VST - Share Buybacks
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VST Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 33.73%2Y: 0.90%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Stock-Based Comp
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VST Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Expenses
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VST Expenses CAGR:1Y: 28.99%2Y: 33.68%5Y: 20.25%10Y: 26.32%
VST - Revenue vs Net Income
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VST - EPS vs FCF / Share
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VST - EPS vs PE Ratio
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VST - FCF vs FCF / Share
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VST - FCF vs Stock Based Comp
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VST - Cash & Debt
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VST - Revenue by Segment
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VST Revenue CAGR:1Y: -5.48%2Y: 2.21%5Y: 9.39%10Y: 12.54%
VST - Revenue by Region
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VST Revenue CAGR:1Y: -5.48%2Y: 2.21%5Y: 9.39%10Y: 12.54%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

VST - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates
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VST Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: -5.48%2Y: 2.21%5Y: 9.39%10Y: 12.54%
VST - EPS: Actual + Estimates
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VST Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -8.43%2Y: -8.11%5Y: 61.12%10Y: 0.00%
VST - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates
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VST Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: -6.73%2Y: -8.59%5Y: 53.32%10Y: 0.00%
VST - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates
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VST Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -0.45%2Y: -13.22%5Y: 16.76%10Y: 19.66%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

VST - Net Profit Margin
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VST Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -1.30%2Y: -10.57%5Y: 40.22%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Gross Profit Margin
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VST Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 7.05%2Y: -25.27%5Y: -5.85%10Y: -1.10%
VST - Price to Earnings
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VST Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -10.61%2Y: 58.54%5Y: -3.58%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Price To Sales Ratio
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VST Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -13.30%2Y: 30.47%5Y: 30.73%10Y: 9.58%
VST - Return on Capital Employed
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VST Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: -3.79%2Y: -21.21%5Y: 43.41%10Y: 0.00%
VST - Return on Invested Capital
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VST Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: -14.57%2Y: -22.01%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 8.14%

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VST Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $0.92
Forward Yield: 0.67%
Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-09-21
Lifetime Dividends / Share: $7.97

VST Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all VST dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date Payment Date Amount Yield Forward Yield Price on Ex-Date
09/21/202609/23/2026$0.2300.65%0.67%$137.97
06/22/202606/24/2026$0.2290.55%0.56%$162.87
03/20/202603/23/2026$0.2280.62%0.6%$151.29
12/22/202512/24/2025$0.2270.56%0.56%$161.96
09/19/202509/22/2025$0.2260.43%0.41%$217.92
06/18/202506/20/2025$0.2250.5%0.49%$185.10
03/20/202503/24/2025$0.2240.68%0.66%$134.94
12/20/202412/23/2024$0.2220.63%0.63%$140.79
09/20/202409/23/2024$0.2200.81%0.79%$111.63
06/18/202406/20/2024$0.2180.99%0.99%$88.19
03/19/202403/21/2024$0.2151.35%1.26%$68.37
12/19/202312/21/2023$0.2132.26%2.25%$37.79
09/19/202309/21/2023$0.2062.49%2.46%$33.45
06/20/202306/22/2023$0.2043.27%3.23%$25.30
03/21/202303/23/2023$0.1983.15%3.3%$23.91
12/19/202212/29/2022$0.1933.24%3.21%$24.07
09/20/202209/30/2022$0.1842.95%3.5%$21.00
06/21/202206/30/2022$0.1773.11%3.1%$22.85
03/21/202203/31/2022$0.1703.08%2.92%$23.25
12/15/202112/30/2021$0.1502.9%2.68%$22.39
09/15/202109/30/2021$0.1503.25%3.51%$17.10
06/15/202106/30/2021$0.1503.26%3.23%$18.55
03/16/202103/31/2021$0.1503.31%3.39%$17.68
12/15/202012/30/2020$0.1352.93%2.77%$19.49
09/15/202009/30/2020$0.1352.93%2.86%$18.86
06/15/202006/30/2020$0.1350.68%0.73%$18.62
03/16/202003/31/2020$0.1350.99%0.85%$15.96
12/13/201912/30/2019$0.1250.53%0.55%$22.82
09/13/201909/30/2019$0.1250.48%0.47%$26.73
06/13/201906/28/2019$0.1250.52%0.55%$22.64
03/14/201903/29/2019$0.1250%0.48%$26.03
12/15/201612/30/2016$2.3200%35.65%$26.03

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for VST

Based on past 7.5-year performance, here are VST growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +24.93%
Dividend CAGR of +22.62%

Using VST CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

VST (DRIP)VST - No DRIP
Current Price$138.16$138.16
Start Shares72.3872.38
Start Value$10,000$10,000
  
After 10 years:
Final Share Count76.9572.38
Dividends Payment$1.77$1.77
Annual Dividends$544$512
Yield on cost5.44%5.12%
Share Price$1,279.16$1,279.16
Total Dividends$2,050$1,968
Final Value$98,437$94,554

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - VST

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on VST's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 7.5 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Vistra Corp. (VST) had its IPO on 2016-10-05, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Vistra Corp., along with its various holdings, functions as a unified entity primarily engaged in retail electricity supply and power generation. The company organizes its operations across six distinct segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It directly provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial clients throughout 20 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Beyond its retail endeavors, Vistra also participates in generating electricity, facilitating wholesale energy transactions, managing commodity-related risks, producing fuel, and overseeing fuel logistics. With approximately 4.3 million customers, Vistra commands an impressive generation capacity of about 38,700 megawatts. This capacity is sustained by a diverse portfolio of facilities, including those powered by natural gas, nuclear energy, coal, solar, and advanced battery energy storage systems. The enterprise, initially known as Vistra Energy Corp., adopted its current name, Vistra Corp., in July 2020. Tracing its origins back to 1882, Vistra Corp. maintains its corporate headquarters in Irving, Texas.

VST website: https://www.vistracorp.com


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DCF Model — VST

Value from:
Pay up to today
—
vs current price $138.16
—
Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
YearFCFImplied price
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →