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XPEV | NYSE

$9.42 -$0.14 | -1.46%

SIGNAL:

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|2026-06-05 |F&G 17 |RSI 28.0

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $9.02B

Trailing PE: N/A

FWD PE *: 53.9x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $9.42 - $28.24

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

6.1 Year XPEV Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): -55.6% (-12.47% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): -55.6% (-12.47% CAGR)

Share Price: -55.6% (-12.47% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $4,439

Total Return $ (with DRIP): -$5,561

XPEV Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

XPEV Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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XPEV Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

XPEV - Revenue

XPEV Revenue CAGR:1Y: -18.06%2Y: 40.66%5Y: 34.43%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

XPEV EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Net Income

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XPEV Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - EBITDA

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XPEV EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Free Cash Flow

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XPEV Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Free Cash Flow / Share

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XPEV Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Operating Income

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XPEV Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Gross Profit

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XPEV Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 8.41%2Y: 77.77%5Y: 51.89%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Shares Outstanding

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XPEV Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -49.49%2Y: -28.82%5Y: -11.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Share Buybacks

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XPEV Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Stock-Based Comp

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XPEV Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 24.60%2Y: 5.36%5Y: 10.62%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Expenses

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XPEV Expenses CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Revenue vs Net Income

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XPEV - EPS vs FCF / Share

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XPEV - EPS vs PE Ratio

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XPEV - FCF vs FCF / Share

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XPEV - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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XPEV - Cash & Debt

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Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

XPEV - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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XPEV Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: -18.06%2Y: 40.66%5Y: 34.43%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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XPEV Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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XPEV Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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XPEV Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

XPEV - Net Profit Margin

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XPEV Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Gross Profit Margin

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XPEV Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 32.26%2Y: 26.36%5Y: 12.98%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Price to Earnings

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XPEV Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Price To Sales Ratio

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XPEV Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -3.47%2Y: 3.05%5Y: -36.20%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Return on Capital Employed

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XPEV Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

XPEV - Return on Invested Capital

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XPEV Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for XPEV

Based on past 6.1-year performance, here are XPEV growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -12.47%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using XPEV CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	XPEV (DRIP)	XPEV - No DRIP
Current Price	$9.42	$9.42
Start Shares	1,061.57	1,061.57
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	1,061.57	1,061.57
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$2.49	$9.42
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$2,641	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - XPEV

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on XPEV's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 6.1 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

XPeng Inc. (XPEV) had its IPO on 2020-08-27, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Operating within the People's Republic of China, XPeng Inc. is an innovator in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, focusing on the creation and sale of intelligent, connected automobiles. It handles the entire process from conceptualization to market distribution. Its diverse lineup caters to various consumer needs, featuring SUV models like the G3 and G3i, the P7 performance-oriented sports sedan, and the P5, designed as a family-friendly sedan. Beyond manufacturing vehicles, XPeng supports its customers with a comprehensive ecosystem of services. These encompass sales and financial solutions (including contracts, leasing, and loan referrals), vehicle upkeep (maintenance and super charging), and a range of digital and convenience offerings such as insurance agency, ride-hailing, technical assistance, and music subscriptions. The company was established in 2015, with its headquarters located in Guangzhou, China.

XPEV website: https://www.xpeng.com

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DCF Model — XPEV

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $9.42

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →

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