Advance Auto Parts, Inc. AAP | NYSE
$45.72
$0.13 | 0.29%
TREND SIGNAL:
|2026-08-11
|2026-08-11
Next Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Company Overview:
Market Cap:
$2.77B
Trailing PE:
33.3x
FWD PE *:
11.7x
Payout Ratio (TTM):
71.4%
52-Week Range:
$37.89 - $65.20
* Forward PE is based on street estimates.
10 Year AAP Performance Metrics:
Total Return (with DRIP):
-62.6% (-9.36% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP):
-56.5% (-7.98% CAGR)
Share Price:
-67.4% (-10.60% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP):
0.82%
Total Invested:
$10,000
Total Value (with DRIP):
$3,744
Total Return $ (with DRIP):
-$6,256
Dividend Increase:
316.7% (15.68% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD):
2.19% ($1.00)
AAP 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
AAP Share Price
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All
AAP Price CAGR:1Y: -17.07%2Y: 12.93%5Y: -27.33%10Y: -10.60%
AAP Dividend Charts
AAP Dividend CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -24.21%10Y: 15.34%
AAP Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -72.59%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 130.63%
AAP Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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AAP Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:
AAP Revenue CAGR:1Y: -0.50%2Y: -3.51%5Y: -3.56%10Y: -0.41%
AAP EPS CAGR:1Y: 260.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -7.09%10Y: 0.69%
AAP Net Income CAGR:1Y: 266.67%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -7.60%10Y: -1.21%
AAP EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 94.85%2Y: 65.51%5Y: 1.57%10Y: 1.10%
AAP Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 167.64%5Y: 17.07%10Y: 18.37%
AAP Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 166.27%5Y: 17.83%10Y: 20.77%
AAP Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 117.65%2Y: 1,559.62%5Y: -0.26%10Y: 0.45%
AAP Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 5.61%2Y: 0.83%5Y: -2.95%10Y: 0.17%
AAP Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.83%2Y: 0.91%5Y: -0.59%10Y: -1.90%
AAP Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
AAP Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 1.07%5Y: -7.70%10Y: 0.24%
AAP Expenses CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
AAP Revenue CAGR:1Y: -0.50%2Y: -3.51%5Y: -3.56%10Y: -0.41%
Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:
AAP Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: -0.50%2Y: -3.51%5Y: -3.56%10Y: -0.41%
AAP Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 260.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -7.09%10Y: 0.69%
AAP Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 266.67%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -7.60%10Y: -1.21%
AAP Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 94.85%2Y: 65.51%5Y: 1.57%10Y: 1.10%
Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:
AAP Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 266.67%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -4.21%10Y: -0.80%
AAP Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 6.14%2Y: 4.49%5Y: 0.63%10Y: 0.58%
AAP Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -76.66%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -20.41%10Y: -11.60%
AAP Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -14.03%2Y: 22.10%5Y: -23.78%10Y: -12.34%
AAP Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 48.55%2Y: 1,391.96%5Y: -4.04%10Y: -5.46%
AAP Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 60.39%2Y: 914.72%5Y: -6.49%10Y: -5.73%
AAP Dividends Info:
Annual Dividend:
$1
Forward Yield:
2.19%
Ex-Dividend Date:
2026-10-09
Lifetime Dividends / Share:
$18.61
AAP Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list
Below is a schedule of all AAP dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield
| Ex-Date | Payment Date | Amount | Yield | Forward Yield | Price on Ex-Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2026 | 10/12/2026 | $0.250 | 2.36% | 2.4% | $41.66 |
| 07/10/2026 | 07/13/2026 | $0.250 | 1.73% | 1.81% | $55.31 |
| 04/10/2026 | 04/13/2026 | $0.250 | 1.83% | 1.77% | $56.36 |
| 01/09/2026 | 01/12/2026 | $0.250 | 2.28% | 2.33% | $42.99 |
| 10/10/2025 | 10/13/2025 | $0.250 | 2.02% | 1.85% | $54.05 |
| 07/11/2025 | 07/14/2025 | $0.250 | 1.6% | 1.61% | $62.01 |
| 04/11/2025 | 04/14/2025 | $0.250 | 3.1% | 3.04% | $32.88 |
| 01/10/2025 | 01/13/2025 | $0.250 | 2.16% | 2.23% | $44.85 |
| 10/11/2024 | 10/14/2024 | $0.250 | 2.66% | 2.53% | $39.47 |
| 07/12/2024 | 07/15/2024 | $0.250 | 1.59% | 1.6% | $62.42 |
| 04/11/2024 | 04/15/2024 | $0.250 | 1.35% | 1.43% | $70.08 |
| 01/11/2024 | 01/15/2024 | $0.250 | 1.6% | 1.51% | $66.25 |
| 10/12/2023 | 10/16/2023 | $0.250 | 2% | 1.87% | $53.59 |
| 07/13/2023 | 07/17/2023 | $0.250 | 1.42% | 1.44% | $69.48 |
| 04/13/2023 | 04/17/2023 | $1.500 | 4.87% | 4.73% | $126.87 |
| 12/15/2022 | 01/03/2023 | $1.500 | 4.19% | 3.96% | $151.54 |
| 09/15/2022 | 09/30/2022 | $1.500 | 3.58% | 3.84% | $156.34 |
| 06/16/2022 | 07/01/2022 | $1.500 | 3.63% | 3.46% | $173.64 |
| 03/17/2022 | 04/01/2022 | $1.500 | 2.88% | 2.89% | $207.48 |
| 12/16/2021 | 01/03/2022 | $1.000 | 1.67% | 1.69% | $236.78 |
| 09/16/2021 | 10/01/2021 | $1.000 | 1.93% | 1.92% | $208.00 |
| 06/17/2021 | 07/02/2021 | $1.000 | 2.06% | 1.9% | $211.05 |
| 03/18/2021 | 04/02/2021 | $0.250 | 0.54% | 0.55% | $183.23 |
| 12/17/2020 | 01/04/2021 | $0.250 | 0.62% | 0.64% | $157.34 |
| 09/17/2020 | 10/02/2020 | $0.250 | 0.65% | 0.64% | $155.50 |
| 06/18/2020 | 07/03/2020 | $0.250 | 0.68% | 0.72% | $138.96 |
| 03/19/2020 | 04/03/2020 | $0.250 | 1.16% | 1.18% | $84.65 |
| 12/19/2019 | 01/03/2020 | $0.060 | 0.15% | 0.15% | $159.42 |
| 09/19/2019 | 10/04/2019 | $0.060 | 0.16% | 0.15% | $159.94 |
| 06/20/2019 | 07/05/2019 | $0.060 | 0.16% | 0.15% | $160.62 |
| 03/21/2019 | 04/05/2019 | $0.060 | 0.14% | 0.14% | $176.78 |
| 12/20/2018 | 01/04/2019 | $0.060 | 0.16% | 0.15% | $158.81 |
| 09/20/2018 | 10/05/2018 | $0.060 | 0.14% | 0.14% | $165.83 |
| 06/21/2018 | 07/06/2018 | $0.060 | 0.17% | 0.17% | $137.17 |
| 03/22/2018 | 04/06/2018 | $0.060 | 0.21% | 0.21% | $111.91 |
| 12/21/2017 | 01/05/2018 | $0.060 | 0.24% | 0.21% | $112.18 |
| 09/21/2017 | 10/06/2017 | $0.060 | 0.26% | 0.25% | $94.29 |
| 06/21/2017 | 07/07/2017 | $0.060 | 0.2% | 0.24% | $101.93 |
| 03/22/2017 | 04/07/2017 | $0.060 | 0.16% | 0.17% | $142.05 |
| 12/21/2016 | 01/06/2017 | $0.060 | 0.14% | 0.14% | $169.63 |
| 09/21/2016 | 10/07/2016 | $0.060 | 0.16% | 0.16% | $148.13 |
| 06/15/2016 | 07/01/2016 | $0.060 | 0.16% | 0.15% | $164.33 |
| 03/16/2016 | 04/01/2016 | $0.060 | 0.15% | 0.15% | $160.42 |
| 12/22/2015 | 01/08/2016 | $0.060 | 0.16% | 0.16% | $145.56 |
| 09/16/2015 | 10/02/2015 | $0.060 | 0.13% | 0.13% | $191.69 |
| 06/17/2015 | 07/02/2015 | $0.060 | 0.15% | 0.15% | $162.11 |
| 03/18/2015 | 04/03/2015 | $0.060 | 0.16% | 0.16% | $145.73 |
| 12/23/2014 | 01/09/2015 | $0.060 | 0.15% | 0.15% | $160.30 |
| 09/17/2014 | 10/03/2014 | $0.060 | 0.18% | 0.18% | $135.13 |
| 06/16/2014 | 07/02/2014 | $0.060 | 0.19% | 0.18% | $134.25 |
| 03/19/2014 | 04/04/2014 | $0.060 | 0.19% | 0.2% | $121.64 |
| 12/18/2013 | 01/03/2014 | $0.060 | 0.22% | 0.21% | $112.88 |
| 09/18/2013 | 10/04/2013 | $0.060 | 0.3% | 0.29% | $83.16 |
| 06/19/2013 | 07/05/2013 | $0.060 | 0.29% | 0.29% | $82.58 |
| 03/20/2013 | 04/05/2013 | $0.060 | 0.3% | 0.3% | $80.95 |
| 12/19/2012 | 01/04/2013 | $0.060 | 0.33% | 0.33% | $73.62 |
| 09/19/2012 | 10/05/2012 | $0.060 | 0.35% | 0.34% | $69.87 |
| 06/20/2012 | 07/06/2012 | $0.060 | 0.35% | 0.35% | $69.05 |
| 03/21/2012 | 04/06/2012 | $0.060 | 0.27% | 0.27% | $89.82 |
| 12/21/2011 | 01/06/2012 | $0.060 | 0.35% | 0.34% | $71.50 |
| 09/21/2011 | 10/07/2011 | $0.060 | 0.4% | 0.41% | $59.04 |
| 06/22/2011 | 07/08/2011 | $0.060 | 0.41% | 0.41% | $59.12 |
| 03/23/2011 | 04/08/2011 | $0.060 | 0.37% | 0.36% | $66.46 |
| 12/21/2010 | 01/07/2011 | $0.060 | 0.36% | 0.39% | $61.88 |
| 09/22/2010 | 10/08/2010 | $0.060 | 0.4% | 0.41% | $58.55 |
| 06/23/2010 | 07/09/2010 | $0.060 | 0.47% | 0.47% | $51.27 |
| 03/24/2010 | 04/09/2010 | $0.060 | 0.55% | 0.57% | $42.13 |
| 12/22/2009 | 01/08/2010 | $0.060 | 0.58% | 0.59% | $40.64 |
| 09/23/2009 | 10/09/2009 | $0.060 | 0.62% | 0.62% | $38.47 |
| 06/24/2009 | 07/10/2009 | $0.060 | 0.59% | 0.54% | $44.18 |
| 03/25/2009 | 04/10/2009 | $0.060 | 0.6% | 0.58% | $41.22 |
| 12/23/2008 | 01/09/2009 | $0.060 | 0.78% | 0.76% | $31.78 |
| 09/17/2008 | 10/03/2008 | $0.060 | 0.63% | 0.65% | $36.75 |
| 06/18/2008 | 07/03/2008 | $0.060 | 0.6% | 0.65% | $37.13 |
| 03/18/2008 | 04/04/2008 | $0.060 | 0.73% | 0.67% | $35.94 |
| 12/19/2007 | 01/04/2008 | $0.060 | 0.63% | 0.67% | $35.67 |
| 09/19/2007 | 10/05/2007 | $0.060 | 0.7% | 0.68% | $35.54 |
| 06/20/2007 | 07/06/2007 | $0.060 | 0.59% | 0.57% | $41.92 |
| 03/21/2007 | 04/06/2007 | $0.060 | 0.61% | 0.61% | $39.48 |
| 12/20/2006 | 01/05/2007 | $0.060 | 0.67% | 0.69% | $35.02 |
| 09/20/2006 | 10/06/2006 | $0.060 | 0.72% | 0.69% | $34.56 |
| 06/21/2006 | 07/07/2006 | $0.060 | 0.64% | 0.81% | $29.70 |
| 03/22/2006 | 04/07/2006 | $0.060 | 0.58% | 0.59% | $41.02 |
Projected Future Returns & Dividends for AAP
Based on past 10-year performance, here are AAP growth metrics:
Share price CAGR of -10.6%
Dividend CAGR of +15.34%
Using AAP CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:
| AAP (DRIP) | AAP - No DRIP | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $45.72 | $45.72 |
| Start Shares | 218.72 | 218.72 |
| Start Value | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| After 10 years: | ||
| Final Share Count | 405.22 | 218.72 |
| Dividends Payment | $0.42 | $0.42 |
| Annual Dividends | $682 | $368 |
| Yield on cost | 6.82% | 3.68% |
| Share Price | $14.91 | $14.91 |
| Total Dividends | $4,503 | $3,453 |
| Final Value | $6,042 | $6,714 |
Estimated Future Value + Dividends - AAP
NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on AAP's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years.
These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.
We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.
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Company Info
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) had its IPO on 2001-11-29, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. operates as a leading retailer and supplier of a comprehensive array of automotive replacement components, accessories, batteries, and essential maintenance supplies. Its extensive inventory caters to a wide spectrum of vehicles, including domestic and imported passenger cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and both light and heavy-duty trucks. The company's product offering is broad, encompassing critical mechanical systems such as brakes, engine parts, electrical and ignition components, cooling and heating systems, chassis, clutches, and exhaust systems. Beyond these core parts, it provides a diverse selection of accessories, specialty tools, interior and exterior enhancements, lighting products, performance upgrades, and a variety of chemicals, sealants, and cleaning supplies. Furthermore, Advance Auto Parts stocks all necessary fluids and filters for engine and transmission maintenance, including motor oils, lubricants, fuel additives, and air, fuel, and oil filters. In addition to product sales, the company supports its clientele with various services like battery and wiper installation, diagnostic engine light scanning, electrical system testing, oil and battery recycling, and a convenient loaner tool program. Products are accessible to both professional automotive technicians and do-it-yourself (DIY) enthusiasts through its physical store network and online platform. Advance Auto Parts operates stores under well-known banners such as Advance Auto Parts, Autopart International, and Carquest, along with Worldpac-branded branches. As of April 23, 2022, its expansive operational footprint included 4,687 company-owned stores and 311 branches situated across the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada. The company also supplied 1,318 independently owned Carquest-branded stores located in Mexico, Grand Cayman, the Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, and the British Virgin Islands. Founded in 1929, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Raleigh, North Carolina.
AAP website: https://www.advanceautoparts.com
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DCF Model — AAP
Value from:
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Pay up to today
—
vs current price $45.72
—
Cash flow & implied price by year
FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.
EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.
Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
| Year | FCF | Implied price |
|---|
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →
