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Adecoagro S.A. AGRO | NYSE

$9.84 -$0.30 | -2.96%
SIGNAL:Signal available — unlock to view |2026-09-23 |F&G 41 |RSI 37.3

Company Overview:

Market Cap: $1.46B
Trailing PE: 151.4x
FWD PE *: 4.7x
Payout Ratio (TTM): 67.8%
52-Week Range: $6.89 - $15.89

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year AGRO Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 0.3% (0.03% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP): -1.1% (-0.11% CAGR)
Share Price: -13.8% (-1.47% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 2.47%
Total Invested: $10,000
Total Value (with DRIP): $10,029
Total Return $ (with DRIP): $29
Dividend Increase: 9.1% (2.20% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD): 2.46% ($0.24)
AGRO 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
AGRO Share Price
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All
AGRO Price CAGR:1Y: 28.13%2Y: -7.54%5Y: 1.96%10Y: -1.47%
AGRO Dividend Charts
AGRO - Dividends
AGRO Dividend CAGR:1Y: -30.86%2Y: -15.18%5Y: -6.30%10Y: -6.30%
AGRO - Dividend Payout Ratio
AGRO Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -27.67%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio
AGRO Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 5.22%2Y: 19.87%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

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AGRO Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

AGRO - Revenue
AGRO Revenue CAGR:1Y: 38.98%2Y: 15.77%5Y: 12.88%10Y: 12.12%
AGRO - Earnings Per Share (EPS)
AGRO EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 18.23%5Y: -28.59%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - Net Income
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AGRO Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 38.26%5Y: 1.55%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - EBITDA
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AGRO EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 108.62%2Y: 12.50%5Y: 3.34%10Y: 12.56%
AGRO - Free Cash Flow
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AGRO Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: -4.96%2Y: -16.57%5Y: 5.29%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - Free Cash Flow / Share
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AGRO Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: -34.92%2Y: -30.42%5Y: -26.94%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - Operating Income
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AGRO Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 1,514.64%2Y: 48.85%5Y: 10.93%10Y: 14.97%
AGRO - Gross Profit
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AGRO Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 132.16%2Y: 32.81%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - Shares Outstanding
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AGRO Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 46.03%2Y: 19.26%5Y: 43.93%10Y: 19.61%
AGRO - Share Buybacks
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AGRO Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - Stock-Based Comp
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AGRO Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -78.02%2Y: 18.61%5Y: 11.14%10Y: 5.39%
AGRO - Expenses
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AGRO Expenses CAGR:1Y: -2.64%2Y: -1.66%5Y: 3.90%10Y: 6.12%
AGRO - Revenue vs Net Income
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AGRO - EPS vs FCF / Share
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AGRO - EPS vs PE Ratio
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AGRO - FCF vs FCF / Share
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AGRO - FCF vs Stock Based Comp
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AGRO - Cash & Debt
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Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

AGRO - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates
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AGRO Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 38.98%2Y: 15.77%5Y: 12.88%10Y: 12.12%
AGRO - EPS: Actual + Estimates
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AGRO Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 18.23%5Y: -28.59%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates
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AGRO Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 38.26%5Y: 1.55%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates
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AGRO Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 108.62%2Y: 12.50%5Y: 3.34%10Y: 12.56%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

AGRO - Net Profit Margin
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AGRO Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 19.55%5Y: -10.03%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - Gross Profit Margin
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AGRO Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 67.03%2Y: 14.73%5Y: -2.67%10Y: -4.16%
AGRO - Price to Earnings
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AGRO Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -16.61%5Y: 39.42%10Y: 0.00%
AGRO - Price To Sales Ratio
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AGRO Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 9.79%2Y: 1.57%5Y: 26.41%10Y: 5.22%
AGRO - Return on Capital Employed
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AGRO Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 894.25%2Y: 16.35%5Y: -3.53%10Y: 0.32%
AGRO - Return on Invested Capital
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AGRO Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 615.49%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 15.00%10Y: -3.09%

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AGRO Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $0.242
Forward Yield: 2.46%
Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-05-04
Lifetime Dividends / Share: $1.46

AGRO Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all AGRO dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date Payment Date Amount Yield Forward Yield Price on Ex-Date
05/04/202605/06/2026$0.1211.59%1.75%$13.82
11/03/202511/19/2025$0.1754.44%4.43%$7.90
05/02/202505/05/2025$0.1753.97%4.12%$8.50
11/12/202411/14/2024$0.1743.07%3.24%$10.75
05/13/202405/15/2024$0.1683.04%3.09%$10.87
11/08/202311/10/2023$0.1653.16%3.21%$10.28
05/08/202305/10/2023$0.1633.79%3.81%$8.53
11/01/202211/17/2022$0.1603.73%4.12%$7.77
04/29/202205/17/2022$0.1572.79%2.87%$10.95

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for AGRO

Based on past 10-year performance, here are AGRO growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -1.47%
Dividend CAGR of -6.37%

Using AGRO CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

AGRO (DRIP)AGRO - No DRIP
Current Price$9.84$9.84
Start Shares1,016.261,016.26
Start Value$10,000$10,000
  
After 10 years:
Final Share Count1,237.101,016.26
Dividends Payment$0.06$0.06
Annual Dividends$155$127
Yield on cost1.55%1.27%
Share Price$8.49$8.49
Total Dividends$2,043$1,862
Final Value$10,498$10,486

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - AGRO

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on AGRO's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) had its IPO on 2011-01-27, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Adecoagro S.A., engages in agricultural and agro-industrial activities in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol, and Energy. The company is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of white, brown, and rough rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, UP milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate and fluid milk, and other dairy products. It also generates electricity through burning biogas extracted from effluents produced by its dairy cattle; and provides grain warehousing and conditioning, and handling and drying services. In addition, the company cultivates and harvests sugarcane to produce sugar, ethanol, biomethane, and electricity; and sells carbon credits. Further, it engages in land transformation activities, such as the acquisition of farmlands or businesses with underdeveloped or underutilized agricultural land; and the implementation of production technology and agricultural practices. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. As of May 1, 2025, Adecoagro S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Tether Investments, S.A. De C.V.

AGRO website: https://www.adecoagro.com


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DCF Model — AGRO

Value from:
Pay up to today
—
vs current price $9.84
—
Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
YearFCFImplied price
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →