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alstria office REIT-AG ALSRF | OTC

$3.80 $0.00 | 0.00%

TREND SIGNAL: Signal available — unlock to view

|2022-08-30

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $668.82M

Trailing PE: —

FWD PE: —

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $0.00 - $0.00

10 Year ALSRF Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): -59.3% (-8.60% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): -41.9% (-5.28% CAGR)

Share Price: -70.7% (-11.55% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 30.88%

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $4,069

Total Return $ (with DRIP): -$5,931

Dividend Increase: 193.3% (15.14% CAGR)

Dividend Yield (FWD): 75.88% ($2.88)

ALSRF 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

ALSRF Share Price

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

ALSRF Price CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -29.98%5Y: -24.26%10Y: -8.18%

ALSRF Dividend Charts

ALSRF - Dividends

ALSRF Dividend CAGR:1Y: 89.10%2Y: 560.49%5Y: 40.32%10Y: 25.17%

ALSRF - Dividend Payout Ratio

ALSRF Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio

ALSRF Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

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ALSRF - Chart 1

ALSRF - Chart 2

ALSRF - Chart 3

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ALSRF Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

ALSRF - Revenue

ALSRF Revenue CAGR:1Y: -3.24%2Y: 3.25%5Y: 0.59%10Y: 7.77%

ALSRF - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

ALSRF EPS CAGR:1Y: -78.55%2Y: -51.42%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -22.45%

ALSRF - Net Income

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ALSRF Net Income CAGR:1Y: -78.65%2Y: -49.81%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -17.51%

ALSRF - EBITDA

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ALSRF EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -17.31%2Y: -0.53%5Y: -0.95%10Y: 8.83%

ALSRF - Free Cash Flow

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ALSRF Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: -58.00%2Y: -23.73%5Y: -18.72%10Y: 0.55%

ALSRF - Free Cash Flow / Share

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ALSRF Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF - Operating Income

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ALSRF Operating Income CAGR:1Y: -11.01%2Y: 11.32%5Y: -3.35%10Y: 7.58%

ALSRF - Gross Profit

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ALSRF Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: -5.58%2Y: 2.92%5Y: -0.56%10Y: 5.73%

ALSRF - Shares Outstanding

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ALSRF Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -2.29%2Y: 0.55%5Y: 0.03%10Y: 6.38%

ALSRF - Share Buybacks

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ALSRF Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF - Stock-Based Comp

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ALSRF Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF - Expenses

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ALSRF Expenses CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 52.28%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 39.22%

ALSRF - Revenue vs Net Income

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ALSRF - EPS vs FCF / Share

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ALSRF - EPS vs PE Ratio

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ALSRF - FCF vs FCF / Share

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ALSRF - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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ALSRF - Cash & Debt

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Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

ALSRF - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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ALSRF Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: -3.24%2Y: 3.25%5Y: 0.59%10Y: 7.77%

ALSRF - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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ALSRF Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -78.55%2Y: -51.42%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -22.45%

ALSRF - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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ALSRF Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: -78.65%2Y: -49.81%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -17.51%

ALSRF - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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ALSRF Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -17.31%2Y: -0.53%5Y: -0.95%10Y: 8.83%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

ALSRF - Net Profit Margin

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ALSRF Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF - Gross Profit Margin

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ALSRF Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF - Price to Earnings

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ALSRF Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF - Price To Sales Ratio

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ALSRF Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF - Return on Capital Employed

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ALSRF Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF - Return on Invested Capital

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ALSRF Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

ALSRF Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $2.88359

Forward Yield: 75.88%

Ex-Dividend Date: 2025-01-02

Lifetime Dividends / Share: $11.35

ALSRF Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all ALSRF dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date	Payment Date	Amount	Yield	Forward Yield	Price on Ex-Date
01/02/2025	01/09/2025	$2.884	75.88%	0%	$0.00
12/04/2023	12/06/2023	$1.525	19.68%	19.68%	$7.75
05/05/2023	05/09/2023	$0.066	0.85%	0.85%	$7.75
09/01/2022	09/05/2022	$4.210	19.14%	19.14%	$22.00
06/13/2022	06/15/2022	$0.042	0.19%	0.19%	$22.00
05/07/2021	05/11/2021	$0.530	2.92%	3.07%	$17.25
09/30/2020	10/02/2020	$0.530	3.76%	3.7%	$14.32
05/23/2019	05/27/2019	$0.520	3.45%	3.45%	$15.08
04/27/2018	05/02/2018	$0.520	3.47%	3.47%	$15.00
05/17/2017	05/19/2017	$0.520	3.78%	3.78%	$13.76

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for ALSRF

Based on past 10-year performance, here are ALSRF growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -7.49%
Dividend CAGR of +25.12%

Using ALSRF CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	ALSRF (DRIP)	ALSRF - No DRIP
Current Price	$3.80	$3.80
Start Shares	2,631.58	2,631.58
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	745,552.86	2,631.58
Dividends Payment	$1.79	$1.79
Annual Dividends	$1,334,472	$4,710
Yield on cost	13,344.72%	47.10%
Share Price	$1.74	$1.74
Total Dividends	$1,561,379	$54,796
Final Value	$1,300,215	$59,386

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - ALSRF

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on ALSRF's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

alstria office REIT-AG (ALSRF) had its IPO on 2016-10-10, and is traded on OTC stock exchange.

alstria office REIT AG stands as the foremost specialist in German office properties, dedicating its operations exclusively to select German urban centers. The company's core strategy revolves around full ownership and comprehensive, proactive management of its assets throughout their entire lifecycle. This is complemented by a commitment to delivering exceptional value-added services to its clients and leveraging deep, localized market intelligence. alstria's objective is to foster sustainable, long-term value appreciation, while also adeptly seizing opportunities for short-term gains by exploiting temporary market inefficiencies within the real estate sector. As of September 30, 2020, its substantial portfolio comprised 110 buildings, offering a total rentable space of 1.4 million square meters, and was valued at an aggregate of EUR 4.4 billion.

ALSRF website: https://www.alstria.com

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DCF Model — ALSRF

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $3.80

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Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →