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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. ARI | NYSE

$2.33 -$4.12 | -63.88%
TREND SIGNAL:Signal available — unlock to view |2026-06-12

Next Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $305.28M
Trailing PE: 2.9x
FWD PE: —
Payout Ratio (TTM): 116.1%
52-Week Range: $2.30 - $11.24

10 Year ARI Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): -22.4% (-2.51% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP): 34.5% (3.01% CAGR)
Share Price: -86.2% (-17.98% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 545.96%
Total Invested: $10,000
Total Value (with DRIP): $7,757
Total Return $ (with DRIP): -$2,243
Dividend Increase: 715% (24.58% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD): 703.86% ($16.40)
ARI 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
ARI Share Price
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All
ARI Price CAGR:1Y: -76.68%2Y: -48.89%5Y: -31.22%10Y: -17.98%
ARI Dividend Charts
ARI - Dividends
ARI Dividend CAGR:1Y: 1,540.00%2Y: 304.97%5Y: 63.58%10Y: 24.45%
ARI - Dividend Payout Ratio
ARI Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -20.65%2Y: -1.11%5Y: 13.31%10Y: -8.61%
ARI - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio
ARI Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 23.49%2Y: -46.95%5Y: 17.42%10Y: 2.67%
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ARI - Chart 1
ARI - Chart 2
ARI - Chart 3

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ARI Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

ARI - Revenue
ARI Revenue CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
ARI - Earnings Per Share (EPS)
ARI EPS CAGR:1Y: -8.33%2Y: -30.84%5Y: -23.51%10Y: 6.25%
ARI - Net Income
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ARI Net Income CAGR:1Y: 24.30%2Y: -15.12%5Y: -17.56%10Y: 9.57%
ARI - EBITDA
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ARI EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -56.61%2Y: -38.03%5Y: -9.91%10Y: 9.40%
ARI - Free Cash Flow
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ARI Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: -20.13%2Y: 58.20%5Y: -20.45%10Y: -2.46%
ARI - Free Cash Flow / Share
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ARI Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 61.34%2Y: 126.05%5Y: -8.31%10Y: -2.66%
ARI - Operating Income
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ARI Operating Income CAGR:1Y: -11.68%2Y: -39.94%5Y: -10.12%10Y: 9.23%
ARI - Gross Profit
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ARI Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
ARI - Shares Outstanding
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ARI Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -5.47%2Y: -3.26%5Y: -5.08%10Y: 6.77%
ARI - Share Buybacks
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ARI Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 56.81%5Y: 85.21%10Y: 0.00%
ARI - Stock-Based Comp
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ARI Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -10.38%2Y: -14.39%5Y: -6.90%10Y: 4.63%
ARI - Expenses
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ARI Expenses CAGR:1Y: -71.14%2Y: -51.84%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
ARI - Revenue vs Net Income
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ARI - EPS vs FCF / Share
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ARI - EPS vs PE Ratio
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ARI - FCF vs FCF / Share
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ARI - FCF vs Stock Based Comp
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ARI - Cash & Debt
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Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

ARI - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates
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ARI Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
ARI - EPS: Actual + Estimates
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ARI Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -8.33%2Y: -30.84%5Y: -23.51%10Y: 6.25%
ARI - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates
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ARI Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 24.30%2Y: -15.12%5Y: -17.56%10Y: 9.57%
ARI - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates
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ARI Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -56.61%2Y: -38.03%5Y: -9.91%10Y: 9.40%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

ARI - Net Profit Margin
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ARI Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
ARI - Gross Profit Margin
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ARI Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 39.53%2Y: 15.99%5Y: 7.55%10Y: 1.29%
ARI - Price to Earnings
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ARI Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 20.36%2Y: 60.12%5Y: 24.12%10Y: -0.76%
ARI - Price To Sales Ratio
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ARI Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
ARI - Return on Capital Employed
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ARI Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 330.53%2Y: 32.14%5Y: 8.85%10Y: 15.32%
ARI - Return on Invested Capital
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ARI Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 435.56%2Y: 42.33%5Y: 51.37%10Y: 0.00%

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ARI Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $16.4
Forward Yield: 703.86%
Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-10-30
Lifetime Dividends / Share: $36.99

ARI Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all ARI dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date Payment Date Amount Yield Forward Yield Price on Ex-Date
10/30/202611/02/2026$4.100260.32%0%$0.00
07/16/202607/20/2026$3.750213.68%219.62%$6.83
06/30/202607/15/2026$3.750140.45%142.31%$10.54
03/31/202604/02/2026$0.2509.47%9.41%$10.63
12/31/202501/02/2026$0.25010.33%10.14%$9.86
09/30/202510/02/2025$0.2509.87%9.78%$10.23
06/30/202507/02/2025$0.25010.33%10.08%$9.92
03/31/202504/02/2025$0.25010.45%10.55%$9.48
12/31/202401/02/2025$0.25011.55%11.36%$8.80
09/29/202410/15/2024$0.25010.6%11.29%$8.86
09/30/202410/02/2024$0.25010.88%11.27%$8.87
06/28/202407/01/2024$0.35014.3%14.51%$9.65
03/27/202403/29/2024$0.35012.77%13.23%$10.58
12/28/202301/01/2024$0.35011.55%11.96%$11.71
09/28/202310/02/2023$0.35013.74%14.23%$9.84
06/29/202307/03/2023$0.35012.4%12.42%$11.27
03/30/202304/03/2023$0.35015.44%15.15%$9.24
12/29/202201/13/2023$0.35012.9%11.93%$11.74
09/29/202210/14/2022$0.35016.75%15.42%$9.08
06/29/202207/15/2022$0.35013.63%13.17%$10.63
03/30/202204/15/2022$0.35010.11%10.06%$13.91
12/30/202101/15/2022$0.35010.73%10.04%$13.95
09/29/202110/15/2021$0.3509.33%9.14%$15.32
06/29/202107/15/2021$0.3508.84%9.16%$15.29
03/30/202104/15/2021$0.3509.85%9.35%$14.98
12/30/202001/15/2021$0.35012.46%12.17%$11.50
09/29/202010/15/2020$0.35015.57%15.14%$9.25
06/29/202007/15/2020$0.35014.2%14.43%$9.70
03/30/202004/15/2020$0.40022.07%19.73%$8.11
12/30/201901/15/2020$0.46010.08%10.03%$18.35
09/27/201910/15/2019$0.4609.62%9.7%$18.97
06/27/201907/15/2019$0.46010.07%9.87%$18.64
03/28/201904/15/2019$0.46010.09%9.94%$18.52
12/28/201801/15/2019$0.46010.93%10.5%$17.52
09/27/201810/15/2018$0.4609.76%9.87%$18.65
06/28/201807/16/2018$0.46010.04%9.86%$18.66
03/28/201804/16/2018$0.46010.32%10.29%$17.88
12/28/201701/16/2018$0.4609.88%10.06%$18.29
09/28/201710/16/2017$0.46010.14%10%$18.40
06/28/201707/17/2017$0.4609.86%10.09%$18.24
03/29/201704/17/2017$0.4609.83%9.7%$18.97
12/28/201601/17/2017$0.46011.17%10.77%$17.09
09/28/201610/17/2016$0.46011.17%11.4%$16.14
06/28/201607/15/2016$0.46011.64%11.4%$16.14
03/29/201604/15/2016$0.46011.42%11.54%$15.95
12/29/201501/15/2016$0.46010.53%11.56%$15.92
09/28/201510/15/2015$0.44011.26%10.7%$16.45
06/26/201507/15/2015$0.44010.48%10.34%$17.02
03/27/201504/15/2015$0.44010.31%10.26%$17.16
12/29/201401/15/2015$0.4009.64%9.72%$16.46
09/26/201410/15/2014$0.4009.96%10.06%$15.90
06/26/201407/15/2014$0.4009.76%9.63%$16.61
03/27/201404/14/2014$0.4009.76%9.55%$16.76
12/27/201301/13/2014$0.4009.74%9.6%$16.67
09/26/201310/11/2013$0.40010.42%10.13%$15.79
06/26/201307/12/2013$0.40010.04%9.94%$16.09
03/26/201304/12/2013$0.4009.29%9.19%$17.41
12/27/201201/14/2013$0.4009.81%9.2%$17.39
09/26/201210/12/2012$0.4009.29%9.63%$16.61
06/27/201207/12/2012$0.4009.95%9.62%$16.64
03/28/201204/12/2012$0.40010.2%10.13%$15.80
12/28/201101/12/2012$0.40012.2%11.66%$13.72
09/28/201110/12/2011$0.40011.98%12.22%$13.09
06/28/201107/12/2011$0.4009.96%10%$16.00
03/29/201104/12/2011$0.4009.79%10.01%$15.98
12/29/201001/12/2011$0.4009.81%9.8%$16.32
09/28/201010/12/2010$0.4009.89%9.74%$16.42
06/28/201007/12/2010$0.3508.26%8.4%$16.67
03/29/201004/12/2010$0.3507.84%7.71%$18.17

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for ARI

Based on past 10-year performance, here are ARI growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -17.98%
Dividend CAGR of +24.45%

Using ARI CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

ARI (DRIP)ARI - No DRIP
Current Price$2.33$2.33
Start Shares4,291.854,291.85
Start Value$10,000$10,000
  
After 10 years:
Final Share Count1,000,000.004,291.85
Dividends Payment$3.43$3.43
Annual Dividends$13,707,759$58,832
Yield on cost137,077.59%588.32%
Share Price$0.32$0.32
Total Dividends$188,528,884$895,417
Final Value$320,857$896,794

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - ARI

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on ARI's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) had its IPO on 2009-09-24, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. functions as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) with a core focus on the U.S. market. The company specializes in originating, purchasing, maintaining, and overseeing a diverse portfolio of debt instruments related to commercial properties, including primary mortgage loans and subordinate financing structures. Having qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code, it benefits from an exemption from federal income taxes, provided it distributes a minimum of 90% of its REIT taxable earnings to its shareholders. This entity was established in 2009 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

ARI website: https://www.apollocref.com

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DCF Model — ARI

Value from:
Pay up to today
—
vs current price $2.33
—
Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
YearFCFImplied price
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →