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CVNA | NYSE

$59.05 -$0.18 | -0.30%

TREND SIGNAL: Signal available — unlock to view

|2026-09-10

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $66.86B

Trailing PE: 32.7x

FWD PE *: 30.7x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $54.46 - $97.38

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

9.5 Year CVNA Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 2,560% (41.25% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 2,560% (41.25% CAGR)

Share Price: 2,560% (41.25% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $265,991

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $255,991

CVNA Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

CVNA Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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CVNA - Chart 1

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Combined 55% Lifetime Discount

CVNA Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

CVNA - Revenue

CVNA Revenue CAGR:1Y: 52.40%2Y: 47.07%5Y: 17.20%10Y: 55.98%

CVNA - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

CVNA EPS CAGR:1Y: 64.06%2Y: 287.30%5Y: 51.86%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - Net Income

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CVNA Net Income CAGR:1Y: 180.33%2Y: 433.85%5Y: 87.73%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - EBITDA

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CVNA EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 44.32%2Y: 58.54%5Y: 46.24%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - Free Cash Flow

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CVNA Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -24.95%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - Free Cash Flow / Share

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CVNA Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -31.69%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - Operating Income

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CVNA Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 32.55%2Y: 61.72%5Y: 52.66%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - Gross Profit

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CVNA Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 34.76%2Y: 43.30%5Y: 21.21%10Y: 72.20%

CVNA - Shares Outstanding

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CVNA Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 3.32%2Y: 7.33%5Y: 12.69%10Y: 25.72%

CVNA - Share Buybacks

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CVNA Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 35.10%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - Stock-Based Comp

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CVNA Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -7.41%2Y: 4.26%5Y: 20.11%10Y: 68.44%

CVNA - Expenses

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CVNA Expenses CAGR:1Y: 64.52%2Y: 52.26%5Y: -14.56%10Y: 24.13%

CVNA - Revenue vs Net Income

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CVNA - EPS vs FCF / Share

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CVNA - EPS vs PE Ratio

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CVNA - FCF vs FCF / Share

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CVNA - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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CVNA - Cash & Debt

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CVNA - Revenue by Segment

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CVNA Revenue CAGR:1Y: 52.40%2Y: 47.07%5Y: 17.20%10Y: 55.98%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

CVNA - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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CVNA Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 52.40%2Y: 47.07%5Y: 17.20%10Y: 55.98%

CVNA - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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CVNA Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 64.06%2Y: 287.30%5Y: 51.86%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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CVNA Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 180.33%2Y: 433.85%5Y: 87.73%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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CVNA Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 44.32%2Y: 58.54%5Y: 46.24%10Y: 0.00%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

CVNA - Net Profit Margin

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CVNA Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 11.11%2Y: 181.51%5Y: 44.79%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - Gross Profit Margin

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CVNA Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -11.59%2Y: -2.59%5Y: 3.42%10Y: 10.39%

CVNA - Price to Earnings

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CVNA Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -38.67%2Y: -57.03%5Y: -32.81%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - Price To Sales Ratio

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CVNA Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -32.07%2Y: 21.52%5Y: -2.75%10Y: 12.78%

CVNA - Return on Capital Employed

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CVNA Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: -15.79%2Y: 12.47%5Y: 16.57%10Y: 0.00%

CVNA - Return on Invested Capital

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CVNA Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: -24.11%2Y: 7.73%5Y: 17.91%10Y: 0.00%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for CVNA

Based on past 9.5-year performance, here are CVNA growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +41.25%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using CVNA CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	CVNA (DRIP)	CVNA - No DRIP
Current Price	$59.05	$59.05
Start Shares	169.35	169.35
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	169.35	169.35
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$59.05	$59.05
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$10,000	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - CVNA

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on CVNA's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 9.5 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Combined 55% Lifetime Discount

Company Info

Carvana Co. (CVNA) had its IPO on 2017-04-28, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Carvana Co., along with its subsidiaries, operates a digital platform facilitating the purchase and sale of pre-owned vehicles across the United States. Their comprehensive services span the entire customer journey, including sourcing and reconditioning automobiles, providing an intuitive online browsing and transaction experience, offering financing solutions, and supplying complementary products. The company also manages its own specialized logistics network for distinctive delivery and pickup options, alongside providing extensive post-sale support. Furthermore, Carvana operates various vehicle auction sites. This company was established in 2012 and maintains its headquarters in Tempe, Arizona.

CVNA website: https://www.carvana.com

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DCF Model — CVNA

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $59.05

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →