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CWST | NASDAQ

$94.98 $4.76 | 5.28%

TREND SIGNAL: Signal available — unlock to view

|2026-10-21

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $5.74B

Trailing PE: 1055.3x

FWD PE *: 69.8x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $74.05 - $107.96

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year CWST Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 745% (23.79% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 745% (23.79% CAGR)

Share Price: 770% (24.15% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $84,502

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $74,502

CWST Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

CWST Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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CWST Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

CWST - Revenue

CWST Revenue CAGR:1Y: 16.85%2Y: 20.07%5Y: 20.29%10Y: 14.16%

CWST - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

CWST EPS CAGR:1Y: -26.74%2Y: -29.29%5Y: -23.57%10Y: -6.70%

CWST - Net Income

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CWST Net Income CAGR:1Y: -27.61%2Y: -26.64%5Y: -20.38%10Y: -3.16%

CWST - EBITDA

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CWST EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 14.35%2Y: 14.57%5Y: 18.22%10Y: 13.05%

CWST - Free Cash Flow

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CWST Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 14.45%2Y: -1.46%5Y: 8.46%10Y: 2.73%

CWST - Free Cash Flow / Share

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CWST Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 14.18%2Y: -5.82%5Y: 3.92%10Y: -1.65%

CWST - Operating Income

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CWST Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 5.49%2Y: -6.20%5Y: 4.35%10Y: 5.70%

CWST - Gross Profit

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CWST Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 122.84%2Y: 51.39%5Y: 18.26%10Y: 13.71%

CWST - Shares Outstanding

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CWST Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.35%2Y: 4.61%5Y: 4.32%10Y: 4.35%

CWST - Share Buybacks

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CWST Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

CWST - Stock-Based Comp

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CWST Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 22.57%5Y: 5.21%10Y: 16.14%

CWST - Expenses

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CWST Expenses CAGR:1Y: 8.89%2Y: 26.98%5Y: 19.85%10Y: 18.14%

CWST - Revenue vs Net Income

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CWST - EPS vs FCF / Share

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CWST - EPS vs PE Ratio

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CWST - FCF vs FCF / Share

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CWST - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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CWST - Cash & Debt

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CWST - Revenue by Segment

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CWST Revenue CAGR:1Y: 16.85%2Y: 20.07%5Y: 20.29%10Y: 14.16%

CWST - Revenue by Region

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CWST Revenue CAGR:1Y: 16.85%2Y: 20.07%5Y: 20.29%10Y: 14.16%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

CWST - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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CWST Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 16.85%2Y: 20.07%5Y: 20.29%10Y: 14.16%

CWST - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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CWST Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -26.74%2Y: -29.29%5Y: -23.57%10Y: -6.70%

CWST - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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CWST Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: -27.61%2Y: -26.64%5Y: -20.38%10Y: -3.16%

CWST - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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CWST Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 14.35%2Y: 14.57%5Y: 18.22%10Y: 13.05%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

CWST - Net Profit Margin

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CWST Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -38.39%2Y: -39.09%5Y: -33.88%10Y: -15.20%

CWST - Gross Profit Margin

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CWST Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 90.61%2Y: 26.06%5Y: -1.70%10Y: -0.39%

CWST - Price to Earnings

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CWST Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 15.00%2Y: 42.03%5Y: 42.35%10Y: 38.52%

CWST - Price To Sales Ratio

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CWST Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -27.90%2Y: -12.69%5Y: -5.55%10Y: 17.66%

CWST - Return on Capital Employed

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CWST Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: -28.58%2Y: -33.09%5Y: -21.23%10Y: -14.21%

CWST - Return on Invested Capital

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CWST Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: -5.57%2Y: -16.06%5Y: -16.56%10Y: -15.03%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for CWST

Based on past 10-year performance, here are CWST growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +24.15%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using CWST CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	CWST (DRIP)	CWST - No DRIP
Current Price	$94.98	$94.98
Start Shares	105.29	105.29
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	105.29	105.29
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$94.98	$94.98
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$10,000	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - CWST

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on CWST's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) had its IPO on 1997-10-29, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

Casella Waste Systems, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, operates as a vertically integrated solid waste management firm across the northeastern United States. The company specializes in comprehensive waste and resource management solutions, encompassing solid waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and organic waste services. These offerings cater to a diverse clientele, including residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers. Its operations specifically address non-hazardous solid waste, from initial collection through its extensive network of transfer stations to final disposal facilities. Casella also markets a variety of processed recyclables, such as metals (including aluminum), plastics, and paper products like corrugated cardboard, sourced from both its own processing centers and third-party acquisitions. Furthermore, the company engages in commodity brokerage. As of January 31, 2022, its significant infrastructure included 50 solid waste collection operations, 65 transfer stations, 23 recycling facilities, 8 Subtitle D landfills, 3 landfill gas-to-energy facilities, and 1 landfill dedicated to construction and demolition materials. Casella Waste Systems, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.

CWST website: https://www.casella.com

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DCF Model — CWST

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $94.98

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →