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EYE | NASDAQ

$17.72 -$0.23 | -1.28%

TREND SIGNAL: Signal available — unlock to view

|2026-10-20

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $1.40B

Trailing PE: 28.9x

FWD PE *: 16x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $14.75 - $30.02

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

9 Year EYE Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): -36.3% (-4.89% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): -36.3% (-4.89% CAGR)

Share Price: -36.3% (-4.89% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $6,367

Total Return $ (with DRIP): -$3,633

EYE Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

EYE Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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EYE Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

EYE - Revenue

EYE Revenue CAGR:1Y: 2.55%2Y: 5.11%5Y: -0.75%10Y: 5.17%

EYE - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EYE EPS CAGR:1Y: 36.36%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -19.73%10Y: 13.60%

EYE - Net Income

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EYE Net Income CAGR:1Y: 42.30%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -21.25%10Y: 15.16%

EYE - EBITDA

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EYE EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 14.21%2Y: 74.06%5Y: -10.09%10Y: 4.92%

EYE - Free Cash Flow

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EYE Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

EYE - Free Cash Flow / Share

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EYE Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

EYE - Operating Income

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EYE Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 32.73%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -15.93%10Y: 4.05%

EYE - Gross Profit

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EYE Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 10.21%2Y: 10.26%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

EYE - Shares Outstanding

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EYE Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.67%2Y: 1.23%5Y: -3.54%10Y: 1.09%

EYE - Share Buybacks

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EYE Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 36,403.64%2Y: 2,036.11%5Y: 229.11%10Y: 0.00%

EYE - Stock-Based Comp

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EYE Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 19.98%2Y: 18.52%5Y: 11.68%10Y: 22.25%

EYE - Expenses

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EYE Expenses CAGR:1Y: 87.31%2Y: -3.56%5Y: 2.00%10Y: 0.97%

EYE - Revenue vs Net Income

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EYE - EPS vs FCF / Share

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EYE - EPS vs PE Ratio

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EYE - FCF vs FCF / Share

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EYE - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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EYE - Cash & Debt

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EYE - Revenue by Segment

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EYE Revenue CAGR:1Y: 2.55%2Y: 5.11%5Y: -0.75%10Y: 5.17%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

EYE - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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EYE Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 2.55%2Y: 5.11%5Y: -0.75%10Y: 5.17%

EYE - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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EYE Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 36.36%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -19.73%10Y: 13.60%

EYE - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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EYE Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 42.30%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -21.25%10Y: 15.16%

EYE - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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EYE Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 14.21%2Y: 74.06%5Y: -10.09%10Y: 4.92%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

EYE - Net Profit Margin

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EYE Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 39.11%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -20.64%10Y: 9.55%

EYE - Gross Profit Margin

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EYE Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 7.49%2Y: 4.91%5Y: 0.68%10Y: 0.76%

EYE - Price to Earnings

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EYE Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -41.37%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 2.13%10Y: -15.49%

EYE - Price To Sales Ratio

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EYE Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -16.34%2Y: 28.12%5Y: -18.56%10Y: -7.24%

EYE - Return on Capital Employed

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EYE Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 28.55%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -11.60%10Y: 0.00%

EYE - Return on Invested Capital

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EYE Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 25.52%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -17.93%10Y: 0.00%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for EYE

Based on past 9-year performance, here are EYE growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -4.89%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using EYE CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	EYE (DRIP)	EYE - No DRIP
Current Price	$17.72	$17.72
Start Shares	564.33	564.33
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	564.33	564.33
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$10.73	$17.72
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$6,056	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - EYE

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on EYE's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 9 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) had its IPO on 2017-10-27, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

National Vision Holdings, Inc. operates as a leading optical retail chain across the United States, conducting business through its various subsidiary companies. The company's operations are categorized into two primary divisions: Owned & Host, and Legacy. It offers a comprehensive range of vision care products, including eyeglasses, contact lenses, and optical accessories. Eye examinations and optometric services are also provided through its extensive network of branded stores, which include America's Best, Eyeglass World, Vista Optical, Fred Meyer, Vista Optical military, and Vision Center outlets, alongside health maintenance organization services. As of January 1, 2022, National Vision maintained a significant retail footprint with 1,278 physical stores and a robust online presence through multiple e-commerce platforms. Established in 1990, the company is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.

EYE website: https://www.nationalvision.com

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DCF Model — EYE

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $17.72

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →