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FOSL | NASDAQ

$6.67 $0.10 | 1.52%
SIGNAL:Signal available — unlock to view |2026-09-22 |F&G 68 |RSI 65.7

Company Overview:

Market Cap: $392.86M
Trailing PE: N/A
FWD PE *: 34.2x
Payout Ratio (TTM): —
52-Week Range: $1.70 - $6.72

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year FOSL Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): -75.7% (-13.21% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP): -75.7% (-13.21% CAGR)
Share Price: -76.0% (-13.29% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —
Total Invested: $10,000
Total Value (with DRIP): $2,425
Total Return $ (with DRIP): -$7,575
FOSL Total Return
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
FOSL Price Chart
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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FOSL Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

FOSL - Revenue
FOSL Revenue CAGR:1Y: -4.85%2Y: -14.64%5Y: -15.67%10Y: -11.82%
FOSL - Earnings Per Share (EPS)
FOSL EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
FOSL - Net Income
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FOSL Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
FOSL - EBITDA
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FOSL EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -87.74%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -55.08%10Y: -32.30%
FOSL - Free Cash Flow
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FOSL Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
FOSL - Free Cash Flow / Share
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FOSL Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
FOSL - Operating Income
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FOSL Operating Income CAGR:1Y: -62.30%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -41.77%10Y: -20.37%
FOSL - Gross Profit
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FOSL Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 3.21%2Y: -4.10%5Y: -12.81%10Y: -10.24%
FOSL - Shares Outstanding
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FOSL Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 10.07%2Y: 5.31%5Y: 2.26%10Y: 2.02%
FOSL - Share Buybacks
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FOSL Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 727.13%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 80.30%10Y: 42.92%
FOSL - Stock-Based Comp
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FOSL Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 174.83%2Y: 72.68%5Y: -10.41%10Y: -13.98%
FOSL - Expenses
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FOSL Expenses CAGR:1Y: 8.08%2Y: -18.27%5Y: -23.69%10Y: -24.38%
FOSL - Revenue vs Net Income
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FOSL - EPS vs FCF / Share
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FOSL - EPS vs PE Ratio
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FOSL - FCF vs FCF / Share
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FOSL - FCF vs Stock Based Comp
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FOSL - Cash & Debt
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FOSL - Revenue by Segment
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FOSL Revenue CAGR:1Y: -4.85%2Y: -14.64%5Y: -15.67%10Y: -11.82%
FOSL - Revenue by Region
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FOSL Revenue CAGR:1Y: -4.85%2Y: -14.64%5Y: -15.67%10Y: -11.82%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

FOSL - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates
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FOSL Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: -4.85%2Y: -14.64%5Y: -15.67%10Y: -11.82%
FOSL - EPS: Actual + Estimates
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FOSL Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
FOSL - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates
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FOSL Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
FOSL - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates
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FOSL Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -87.74%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -55.08%10Y: -32.30%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

FOSL - Net Profit Margin
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FOSL Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
FOSL - Gross Profit Margin
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FOSL Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 8.47%2Y: 12.35%5Y: 3.40%10Y: 1.80%
FOSL - Price to Earnings
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FOSL Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
FOSL - Price To Sales Ratio
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FOSL Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 200.21%2Y: 127.86%5Y: -1.31%10Y: -4.11%
FOSL - Return on Capital Employed
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FOSL Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: -59.50%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -33.50%10Y: -7.38%
FOSL - Return on Invested Capital
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FOSL Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -35.25%10Y: -6.09%

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Projected Future Returns & Dividends for FOSL

Based on past 10-year performance, here are FOSL growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -13.29%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using FOSL CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

FOSL (DRIP)FOSL - No DRIP
Current Price$6.67$6.67
Start Shares1,499.251,499.25
Start Value$10,000$10,000
  
After 10 years:
Final Share Count1,499.251,499.25
Dividends Payment$0.00$0.00
Annual Dividends$0$0
Yield on cost0.00%0.00%
Share Price$1.60$6.67
Total Dividends$0$0
Final Value$2,402$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - FOSL

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on FOSL's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) had its IPO on 1993-04-08, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

Fossil Group, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, specializes in the global design, development, marketing, and distribution of consumer fashion accessories. Its extensive product range encompasses classic timepieces, cutting-edge smartwatches, various jewelry items, designer handbags, compact leather goods, fashionable belts, and sunglasses. Beyond its own collections, the company also manufactures and distributes private label brands, and it engages in acquiring and reselling branded merchandise within non-FOSSIL branded retail environments. Fossil Group offers products under its own proprietary brand names, which include FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC. Additionally, it holds licenses for prominent brands such as ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, DKNY, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, PUMA, TORY BURCH, Skechers, and BMW. The company employs a diverse sales and distribution network, selling its products through its own chain of retail and outlet stores, major department stores, specialty retail establishments, dedicated watch and jewelry boutiques, mass market retailers, e-commerce platforms, and both licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail locations, as well as via retail concessions. Its reach further extends to sales channels on airlines and cruise ships. As of January 2, 2022, Fossil Group operated a total of 370 stores worldwide. Founded in 1984, the company was initially known as Fossil, Inc., before officially changing its name to Fossil Group, Inc., in May 2013. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Richardson, Texas.

FOSL website: https://www.fossilgroup.com


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DCF Model — FOSL

Value from:
Pay up to today
—
vs current price $6.67
—
Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
YearFCFImplied price
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →