Warrior Met Coal, Inc. HCC | NYSE
$90.64
$1.18 | 1.32%
TREND SIGNAL:
|2026-09-09
|2026-09-09
Company Overview:
Market Cap:
$4.72B
Trailing PE:
21.8x
FWD PE *:
12.5x
Payout Ratio (TTM):
7.9%
52-Week Range:
$61.87 - $111.42
* Forward PE is based on street estimates.
9.5 Year HCC Performance Metrics:
Total Return (with DRIP):
332.7% (16.67% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP):
230.5% (13.41% CAGR)
Share Price:
193.1% (11.99% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP):
1.53%
Total Invested:
$10,000
Total Value (with DRIP):
$43,273
Total Return $ (with DRIP):
$33,273
Dividend Increase:
60.0% (5.24% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD):
0.35% ($0.32)
HCC 9.5-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
HCC Share Price
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All
HCC Price CAGR:1Y: 36.14%2Y: 18.32%5Y: 27.95%10Y: 11.96%
HCC Dividend Charts
HCC Dividend CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -30.69%10Y: 4.81%
HCC Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -93.59%2Y: -21.84%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -56.95%5Y: -3.16%10Y: 0.00%
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HCC Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:
HCC Revenue CAGR:1Y: 70.56%2Y: 13.38%5Y: 17.51%10Y: 18.74%
HCC EPS CAGR:1Y: 1,400.00%2Y: 10.55%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Net Income CAGR:1Y: 1,459.56%2Y: 11.19%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 170.00%2Y: 18.45%5Y: 22.92%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 101.89%5Y: 13.65%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 100.91%5Y: 13.05%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 944.43%2Y: 15.38%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 676.22%2Y: 37.19%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.48%2Y: 0.47%5Y: 0.55%10Y: 0.04%
HCC Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -75.46%2Y: -29.85%5Y: -14.88%10Y: 34.81%
HCC Expenses CAGR:1Y: -61.42%2Y: -51.23%5Y: 15.34%10Y: 17.01%
HCC Revenue CAGR:1Y: 70.56%2Y: 13.38%5Y: 17.51%10Y: 18.74%
Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:
HCC Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 70.56%2Y: 13.38%5Y: 17.51%10Y: 18.74%
HCC Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 1,400.00%2Y: 10.55%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 1,459.56%2Y: 11.19%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 170.00%2Y: 18.45%5Y: 22.92%10Y: 0.00%
Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:
HCC Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 812.23%2Y: -1.93%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 355.06%2Y: 20.99%5Y: 1.81%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -88.19%2Y: -4.81%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 4.31%2Y: -6.78%5Y: 16.68%10Y: -7.22%
HCC Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 863.36%2Y: 9.15%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 1,531.56%2Y: 13.08%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
HCC Dividends Info:
Annual Dividend:
$0.32
Forward Yield:
0.35%
Ex-Dividend Date:
2026-08-10
Lifetime Dividends / Share:
$22.77
HCC Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list
Below is a schedule of all HCC dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield
| Ex-Date | Payment Date | Amount | Yield | Forward Yield | Price on Ex-Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2026 | 08/17/2026 | $0.080 | 0.34% | 0.32% | $98.63 |
| 05/01/2026 | 05/07/2026 | $0.080 | 0.37% | 0.36% | $87.84 |
| 02/23/2026 | 03/02/2026 | $0.080 | 0.37% | 0.39% | $81.13 |
| 11/07/2025 | 11/14/2025 | $0.080 | 0.39% | 0.41% | $78.78 |
| 08/08/2025 | 08/15/2025 | $0.080 | 0.53% | 0.53% | $59.93 |
| 05/05/2025 | 05/12/2025 | $0.080 | 0.68% | 0.69% | $46.27 |
| 02/24/2025 | 03/03/2025 | $0.080 | 0.64% | 0.67% | $47.86 |
| 11/05/2024 | 11/12/2024 | $0.080 | 0.47% | 0.48% | $67.34 |
| 08/06/2024 | 08/13/2024 | $0.080 | 0.53% | 0.52% | $61.92 |
| 05/03/2024 | 05/13/2024 | $0.080 | 0.48% | 0.5% | $63.81 |
| 02/29/2024 | 03/07/2024 | $0.500 | 3.51% | 3.26% | $61.33 |
| 02/16/2024 | 02/26/2024 | $0.080 | 0.55% | 0.54% | $58.85 |
| 11/02/2023 | 11/10/2023 | $0.070 | 0.58% | 0.59% | $47.37 |
| 08/04/2023 | 08/14/2023 | $0.070 | 0.71% | 0.69% | $40.77 |
| 05/04/2023 | 05/12/2023 | $0.070 | 0.78% | 0.75% | $37.17 |
| 02/27/2023 | 03/07/2023 | $0.880 | 9.41% | 8.82% | $39.91 |
| 02/16/2023 | 02/27/2023 | $0.070 | 0.7% | 0.75% | $37.40 |
| 11/03/2022 | 11/11/2022 | $0.060 | 0.63% | 0.7% | $34.11 |
| 08/19/2022 | 08/29/2022 | $0.800 | 9.24% | 9.35% | $34.21 |
| 08/10/2022 | 08/18/2022 | $0.060 | 0.77% | 0.68% | $35.08 |
| 05/12/2022 | 05/20/2022 | $0.500 | 6.4% | 6.03% | $33.15 |
| 05/05/2022 | 05/13/2022 | $0.060 | 0.71% | 0.75% | $32.05 |
| 03/02/2022 | 03/10/2022 | $0.060 | 0.66% | 0.56% | $42.75 |
| 11/04/2021 | 11/12/2021 | $0.050 | 0.87% | 0.88% | $22.80 |
| 08/06/2021 | 08/16/2021 | $0.050 | 1.06% | 1.04% | $19.14 |
| 05/06/2021 | 05/12/2021 | $0.050 | 1.22% | 1.24% | $16.08 |
| 02/26/2021 | 03/08/2021 | $0.050 | 1.04% | 0.98% | $20.43 |
| 10/30/2020 | 11/09/2020 | $0.050 | 1.33% | 1.12% | $17.93 |
| 08/06/2020 | 08/13/2020 | $0.050 | 1.34% | 1.3% | $15.35 |
| 05/04/2020 | 05/11/2020 | $0.050 | 1.49% | 1.42% | $14.08 |
| 02/24/2020 | 03/02/2020 | $0.050 | 1.16% | 1.08% | $18.51 |
| 10/25/2019 | 11/04/2019 | $0.050 | 0.9% | 0.98% | $20.49 |
| 08/01/2019 | 08/09/2019 | $0.050 | 0.93% | 0.98% | $20.35 |
| 05/02/2019 | 05/10/2019 | $0.050 | 0.61% | 0.71% | $28.36 |
| 03/01/2019 | 03/11/2019 | $0.050 | 0.69% | 0.72% | $27.95 |
| 11/01/2018 | 11/09/2018 | $0.050 | 0.75% | 0.79% | $25.25 |
| 08/02/2018 | 08/10/2018 | $0.050 | 0.8% | 0.8% | $25.10 |
| 05/03/2018 | 05/11/2018 | $0.050 | 0.77% | 0.75% | $26.81 |
| 04/12/2018 | 04/20/2018 | $6.529 | 114.54% | 109.36% | $23.88 |
| 02/22/2018 | 03/02/2018 | $0.050 | 0.82% | 0.81% | $24.63 |
| 11/02/2017 | 11/10/2017 | $0.050 | 1.52% | 1.5% | $13.32 |
| 08/10/2017 | 08/23/2017 | $0.050 | 1.72% | 1.57% | $12.72 |
| 05/25/2017 | 06/13/2017 | $0.050 | 2.36% | 2.38% | $8.41 |
| 11/24/2017 | 11/30/-0001 | $11.210 | 278.51% | 278.51% | $16.10 |
Projected Future Returns & Dividends for HCC
Based on past 9.5-year performance, here are HCC growth metrics:
Share price CAGR of +11.99%
Dividend CAGR of +5.25%
Using HCC CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:
| HCC (DRIP) | HCC - No DRIP | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $90.64 | $90.64 |
| Start Shares | 110.33 | 110.33 |
| Start Value | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| After 10 years: | ||
| Final Share Count | 113.36 | 110.33 |
| Dividends Payment | $0.13 | $0.13 |
| Annual Dividends | $61 | $59 |
| Yield on cost | 0.61% | 0.59% |
| Share Price | $281.18 | $281.18 |
| Total Dividends | $457 | $449 |
| Final Value | $31,875 | $31,471 |
Estimated Future Value + Dividends - HCC
NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on HCC's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 9.5 years.
These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.
We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.
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Company Info
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) had its IPO on 2017-04-13, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. specializes in the extraction and international distribution of coking coal, a critical raw material for steel production. The firm operates a pair of underground mines situated in Alabama. Its primary client base consists of blast furnace steel producers, predominantly located across Europe, South America, and Asia. In addition to coal, the company also sells natural gas, which is recovered as a byproduct of its mining activities. Established as a corporation in 2015, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Brookwood, Alabama.
HCC website: https://warriormetcoal.com
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DCF Model — HCC
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vs current price $90.64
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Cash flow & implied price by year
FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.
EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.
Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
| Year | FCF | Implied price |
|---|
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →
