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Japan Tobacco Inc. JAPAY | OTC

$22.85 -$0.06 | -0.26%
TREND SIGNAL:Signal available — unlock to view |2026-10-08

Company Overview:

Market Cap: $81.45B
Trailing PE: 0.1x
FWD PE: —
Payout Ratio (TTM): 67.9%
52-Week Range: $15.74 - $23.36

10 Year JAPAY Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 44.8% (3.77% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP): 31.9% (2.80% CAGR)
Share Price: 14.5% (1.37% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 3.72%
Total Invested: $10,000
Total Value (with DRIP): $14,484
Total Return $ (with DRIP): $4,484
Dividend Increase: 224.7% (34.21% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD): 2.57% ($0.59)
JAPAY 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
JAPAY Share Price
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All
JAPAY Price CAGR:1Y: 43.26%2Y: 25.53%5Y: 18.50%10Y: 1.37%
JAPAY Dividend Charts
JAPAY - Dividends
JAPAY Dividend CAGR:1Y: 29.91%2Y: 6.31%5Y: 29.91%10Y: 29.91%
JAPAY - Dividend Payout Ratio
JAPAY Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -31.54%2Y: -19.80%5Y: -13.56%10Y: 7.08%
JAPAY - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio
JAPAY Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: -43.99%2Y: -20.05%5Y: -11.80%10Y: -3.48%

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JAPAY Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

JAPAY - Revenue
JAPAY Revenue CAGR:1Y: 17.03%2Y: 13.15%5Y: 12.21%10Y: 6.94%
JAPAY - Earnings Per Share (EPS)
JAPAY EPS CAGR:1Y: 44.55%2Y: 26.01%5Y: 16.08%10Y: 8.83%
JAPAY - Net Income
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JAPAY Net Income CAGR:1Y: 44.55%2Y: 25.99%5Y: 16.08%10Y: 8.73%
JAPAY - EBITDA
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JAPAY EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 39.11%2Y: 17.46%5Y: 12.53%10Y: 7.94%
JAPAY - Free Cash Flow
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JAPAY Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 76.67%2Y: 26.39%5Y: 13.77%10Y: 20.63%
JAPAY - Free Cash Flow / Share
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JAPAY Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 76.68%2Y: 26.40%5Y: 30.67%10Y: 29.40%
JAPAY - Operating Income
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JAPAY Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 56.52%2Y: 25.29%5Y: 16.02%10Y: 9.19%
JAPAY - Gross Profit
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JAPAY Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 19.51%2Y: 15.64%5Y: 11.77%10Y: 6.80%
JAPAY - Shares Outstanding
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JAPAY Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -0.01%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -0.09%
JAPAY - Share Buybacks
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JAPAY Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: -98.33%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
JAPAY - Stock-Based Comp
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JAPAY Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
JAPAY - Expenses
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JAPAY Expenses CAGR:1Y: 14.84%2Y: -7.37%5Y: 3.34%10Y: 1.40%
JAPAY - Revenue vs Net Income
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JAPAY - EPS vs FCF / Share
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JAPAY - EPS vs PE Ratio
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JAPAY - FCF vs FCF / Share
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JAPAY - FCF vs Stock Based Comp
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JAPAY - Cash & Debt
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Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

JAPAY - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates
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JAPAY Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 17.03%2Y: 13.15%5Y: 12.21%10Y: 6.94%
JAPAY - EPS: Actual + Estimates
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JAPAY Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 44.55%2Y: 26.01%5Y: 16.08%10Y: 8.83%
JAPAY - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates
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JAPAY Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 44.55%2Y: 25.99%5Y: 16.08%10Y: 8.73%
JAPAY - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates
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JAPAY Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 39.11%2Y: 17.46%5Y: 12.53%10Y: 7.94%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

JAPAY - Net Profit Margin
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JAPAY Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 23.52%2Y: 11.36%5Y: 3.45%10Y: 1.67%
JAPAY - Gross Profit Margin
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JAPAY Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 2.12%2Y: 5.11%5Y: -0.39%10Y: -0.13%
JAPAY - Price to Earnings
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JAPAY Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -2.09%2Y: -7.39%5Y: 6.38%10Y: -4.58%
JAPAY - Price To Sales Ratio
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JAPAY Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 20.93%2Y: 3.12%5Y: 10.05%10Y: -2.98%
JAPAY - Return on Capital Employed
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JAPAY Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 40.10%2Y: 20.69%5Y: 5.61%10Y: 0.96%
JAPAY - Return on Invested Capital
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JAPAY Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 35.86%2Y: 19.29%5Y: 2.93%10Y: 0.00%

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JAPAY Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $0.87318
Forward Yield: 3.82%
Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-12-29
Lifetime Dividends / Share: $4.68

JAPAY Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all JAPAY dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date Payment Date Amount Yield Forward Yield Price on Ex-Date
12/29/202603/26/2027$0.4373.82%0%$0.00
06/30/202609/21/2026$0.2943.19%2.69%$21.86
06/29/202609/01/2026$0.3743.97%0%$0.00
12/31/202504/10/2026$0.4064.53%4.31%$18.83
12/29/202512/31/2025$0.3373.63%3.76%$17.94
06/30/202509/15/2025$0.3494.75%4.34%$16.10
12/31/202404/10/2025$0.3215.01%4.63%$13.86
06/27/202409/19/2024$0.2183.14%3.02%$14.40
06/28/202409/19/2024$0.3364.99%4.67%$14.40
12/29/202304/09/2024$0.3305.13%4.87%$13.55
12/28/202304/09/2024$0.2233.5%3.29%$13.55
06/30/202309/18/2023$0.3225.88%5.74%$11.22
06/29/202309/18/2023$0.2302.15%2.05%$11.22
12/29/202204/11/2023$0.3103.08%2.95%$10.51
06/29/202209/16/2022$0.1962.29%2.4%$8.15

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for JAPAY

Based on past 10-year performance, here are JAPAY growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +1.37%
Dividend CAGR of +29.91%

Using JAPAY CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

JAPAY (DRIP)JAPAY - No DRIP
Current Price$22.85$22.85
Start Shares437.64437.64
Start Value$10,000$10,000
  
After 10 years:
Final Share Count857.87437.64
Dividends Payment$1.28$1.28
Annual Dividends$2,199$1,122
Yield on cost21.99%11.22%
Share Price$26.17$26.17
Total Dividends$10,346$7,329
Final Value$22,452$18,783

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - JAPAY

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on JAPAY's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Japan Tobacco Inc. (JAPAY) had its IPO on 2014-10-03, and is traded on OTC stock exchange.

Japan Tobacco Inc. (JAPAY) is a multinational conglomerate with significant operations spanning tobacco products, pharmaceuticals, and processed foods. The company manages its diverse activities through four key business segments: Domestic Tobacco, International Tobacco, Pharmaceutical, and Processed Food, serving both the Japanese market and a global customer base. In its primary tobacco division, Japan Tobacco offers a broad range of traditional products, including cigarettes, cigars, pipe tobacco, oral tobacco, waterpipe tobacco, kretek, and fine-cut tobacco, distributed under prominent brands such as Winston, Camel, MEVIUS, and LD. Additionally, the company is a leader in developing reduced-risk alternatives, providing innovative tobacco-infused vapor, heated tobacco, and E-Vapor products under its Ploom, Logic, Ploom TECH, Ploom TECH+, and Ploom S brands. Beyond tobacco, Japan Tobacco's pharmaceutical arm is dedicated to the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of prescription drugs, addressing critical therapeutic areas like cardiovascular, renal and metabolic disorders, immunology, and neuroscience. Its processed food segment delivers a variety of offerings, encompassing staple items such as frozen noodles, okonomiyaki, and pre-cooked rice, alongside ambient processed foods, bakery goods, and various seasonings, including yeast extracts and oyster sauce. Founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1898, Japan Tobacco Inc. boasts a rich history spanning over a century.

JAPAY website: https://www.jti.co.jp


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DCF Model — JAPAY

Value from:
Pay up to today
—
vs current price $22.85
—
Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
YearFCFImplied price
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →