El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. LOCO | NASDAQ
$15.30
$0.08 | 0.53%
TREND SIGNAL:
|2026-10-12
|2026-10-12
Company Overview:
Market Cap:
$463.19M
Trailing PE:
13.1x
FWD PE *:
15x
Payout Ratio (TTM):
0.0%
52-Week Range:
$8.99 - $17.40
* Forward PE is based on street estimates.
10 Year LOCO Performance Metrics:
Total Return (with DRIP):
49.9% (4.13% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP):
44.2% (3.73% CAGR)
Share Price:
31.3% (2.76% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP):
58.79%
Total Invested:
$10,000
Total Value (with DRIP):
$14,991
Total Return $ (with DRIP):
$4,991
Dividend Increase:
0.0% (0.00% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD):
39.22% ($6.00)
LOCO 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
LOCO Share Price
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All
LOCO Price CAGR:1Y: 61.73%2Y: 5.91%5Y: -1.57%10Y: 2.76%
LOCO Dividend Charts
LOCO Dividend CAGR:1Y: N/A2Y: N/A5Y: N/A10Y: N/A
LOCO Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
LOCO Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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LOCO Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:
LOCO Revenue CAGR:1Y: 2.97%2Y: 2.98%5Y: 1.21%10Y: 2.89%
LOCO EPS CAGR:1Y: 79.17%2Y: 31.15%5Y: 12.37%10Y: 8.51%
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LOCO Net Income CAGR:1Y: 80.20%2Y: 29.53%5Y: 7.75%10Y: 5.83%
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LOCO EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 22.64%2Y: 7.43%5Y: 2.59%10Y: 0.71%
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LOCO Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 155.53%2Y: 49.31%5Y: 8.23%10Y: 30.37%
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LOCO Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 150.12%2Y: 50.60%5Y: 12.41%10Y: 33.72%
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LOCO Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 54.87%2Y: 22.50%5Y: 8.08%10Y: 3.38%
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LOCO Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 70.77%2Y: 32.57%5Y: 7.88%10Y: 5.30%
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LOCO Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 2.80%2Y: -0.47%5Y: -3.74%10Y: -2.55%
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LOCO Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 625.00%2Y: -82.99%5Y: -5.67%10Y: 0.00%
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LOCO Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -7.18%2Y: 32.63%5Y: 8.68%10Y: 28.56%
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LOCO Expenses CAGR:1Y: 68.30%2Y: 13.99%5Y: 18.88%10Y: 0.12%
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LOCO Revenue CAGR:1Y: 2.97%2Y: 2.98%5Y: 1.21%10Y: 2.89%
Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:
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LOCO Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 2.97%2Y: 2.98%5Y: 1.21%10Y: 2.89%
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LOCO Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 79.17%2Y: 31.15%5Y: 12.37%10Y: 8.51%
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LOCO Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 80.20%2Y: 29.53%5Y: 7.75%10Y: 5.83%
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LOCO Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 22.64%2Y: 7.43%5Y: 2.59%10Y: 0.71%
Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:
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LOCO Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 74.87%2Y: 25.73%5Y: 6.44%10Y: 2.85%
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LOCO Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 65.82%2Y: 28.74%5Y: 6.59%10Y: 2.35%
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LOCO Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -11.19%2Y: -5.10%5Y: -11.70%10Y: -4.99%
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LOCO Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 57.87%2Y: 19.26%5Y: -6.03%10Y: -2.30%
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LOCO Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 50.74%2Y: 20.73%5Y: 7.72%10Y: 1.22%
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LOCO Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 53.90%2Y: 23.64%5Y: 8.26%10Y: 3.04%
LOCO Dividends Info:
Annual Dividend:
$6
Forward Yield:
39.22%
Ex-Dividend Date:
2022-10-21
Lifetime Dividends / Share:
$1.50
LOCO Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list
Below is a schedule of all LOCO dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield
| Ex-Date | Payment Date | Amount | Yield | Forward Yield | Price on Ex-Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2022 | 11/09/2022 | $1.500 | 61.67% | 56.6% | $10.60 |
Projected Future Returns & Dividends for LOCO
Based on past 10-year performance, here are LOCO growth metrics:
Share price CAGR of +2.76%
Dividend CAGR of +0%
Using LOCO CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:
| LOCO (DRIP) | LOCO - No DRIP | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $15.30 | $15.30 |
| Start Shares | 653.59 | 653.59 |
| Start Value | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| After 10 years: | ||
| Final Share Count | 27,543.72 | 653.59 |
| Dividends Payment | $1.50 | $1.50 |
| Annual Dividends | $165,262 | $3,922 |
| Yield on cost | 1,652.62% | 39.22% |
| Share Price | $15.30 | $15.30 |
| Total Dividends | $411,419 | $39,216 |
| Final Value | $421,419 | $49,216 |
Estimated Future Value + Dividends - LOCO
NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on LOCO's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years.
These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.
We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.
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Company Info
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) had its IPO on 2014-07-25, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., primarily operating through its El Pollo Loco, Inc. subsidiary, is engaged in the development, franchising, licensing, and direct management of quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco brand. By May 4, 2022, its network encompassed 480 establishments: 189 company-owned locations and 291 franchised outlets situated across California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Utah, and Louisiana. The company also licenses a single restaurant operating in the Philippines. Founded in 1975 and headquartered in Costa Mesa, California, the company adopted its current name, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., in April 2014, having previously been known as Chicken Acquisition Corp.
LOCO website: https://www.elpolloloco.com
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DCF Model — LOCO
Value from:
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vs current price $15.30
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Cash flow & implied price by year
FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.
EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.
Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
| Year | FCF | Implied price |
|---|
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →
