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MDA | NYSE

$29.64 -$1.41 | -4.54%

SIGNAL:

Signal available — unlock to view

|2026-09-23 |F&G 41 |RSI 44.1

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $4.81B

Trailing PE: 43.4x

FWD PE *: 28.5x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $23.23 - $49.37

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

0.6 Year MDA Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 9.8% (16.82% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 9.8% (16.82% CAGR)

Share Price: 9.8% (16.82% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $10,978

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $978

MDA Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

MDA Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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MDA Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

MDA - Revenue

MDA Revenue CAGR:1Y: 81.85%2Y: 67.92%5Y: 37.27%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

MDA EPS CAGR:1Y: -12.50%2Y: 46.65%5Y: 188.54%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Net Income

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MDA Net Income CAGR:1Y: 39.65%2Y: 86.31%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - EBITDA

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MDA EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 47.67%2Y: 60.63%5Y: 21.24%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Free Cash Flow

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MDA Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Free Cash Flow / Share

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MDA Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Operating Income

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MDA Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 8.49%2Y: 93.37%5Y: 54.53%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Gross Profit

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MDA Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 106.27%2Y: 77.64%5Y: 39.23%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Shares Outstanding

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MDA Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 11.29%2Y: 7.42%5Y: 3.73%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Share Buybacks

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MDA Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Stock-Based Comp

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MDA Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Expenses

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MDA Expenses CAGR:1Y: 6.47%2Y: 41.42%5Y: 72.20%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Revenue vs Net Income

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MDA - EPS vs FCF / Share

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MDA - EPS vs PE Ratio

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MDA - FCF vs FCF / Share

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MDA - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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MDA - Cash & Debt

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Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

MDA - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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MDA Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 81.85%2Y: 67.92%5Y: 37.27%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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MDA Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -12.50%2Y: 46.65%5Y: 188.54%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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MDA Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 39.65%2Y: 86.31%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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MDA Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 47.67%2Y: 60.63%5Y: 21.24%10Y: 0.00%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

MDA - Net Profit Margin

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MDA Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -23.18%2Y: 10.94%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Gross Profit Margin

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MDA Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -34.99%2Y: -22.92%5Y: -13.77%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Price to Earnings

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MDA Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 83.59%2Y: 40.17%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Price To Sales Ratio

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MDA Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 40.92%2Y: 55.18%5Y: 1.83%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Return on Capital Employed

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MDA Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: -61.77%2Y: -14.86%5Y: 0.77%10Y: 0.00%

MDA - Return on Invested Capital

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MDA Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: -57.66%2Y: -10.62%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for MDA

Based on past 0.6-year performance, here are MDA growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +16.82%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using MDA CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	MDA (DRIP)	MDA - No DRIP
Current Price	$29.64	$29.64
Start Shares	337.38	337.38
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	337.38	337.38
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$29.64	$29.64
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$10,000	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - MDA

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on MDA's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 0.6 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

MDA Space Ltd (MDA) had its IPO on 2026-03-13, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

MDA Space Ltd. operates as a crucial international collaborator in the space sector, furnishing sophisticated technology, innovative solutions, and vital services to the flourishing global space market. The company organizes its activities across three primary segments. Its Geointelligence division provides comprehensive, turnkey solutions and services pertaining to Earth observation and intelligence systems. The Robotics and Space Operations division contributes to humanity's endeavors in space exploration and infrastructure development by supplying autonomous robotics and advanced vision sensors specifically engineered for deployment in orbit, on the lunar surface, and on Mars. Finally, the Satellite Systems division focuses on creating essential sub-systems and complete spacecraft. This includes pioneering communication technologies like space-based broadband internet and direct satellite-to-device connectivity from non-geostationary orbits, specifically Low Earth Orbit (LEO) and Medium Earth Orbit (MEO) constellations, as well as offerings that span the full range of communication frequencies. Established on June 2, 2020, MDA Space Ltd. is headquartered in Brampton, Canada.

MDA website: http://www.mda.space

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DCF Model — MDA

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $29.64

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →

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