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Medtronic plc MDT | NYSE

$96.54 -$0.57 | -0.59%

TREND SIGNAL: Signal available — unlock to view

|2026-10-15

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $124.45B

Trailing PE: 23.8x

FWD PE *: 16.1x

Payout Ratio (TTM): 69.3%

52-Week Range: $73.31 - $106.33

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year MDT Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 54.7% (4.46% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 48.7% (4.04% CAGR)

Share Price: 19.3% (1.78% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 4.62%

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $15,471

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $5,471

Dividend Increase: 67.4% (5.42% CAGR)

Dividend Yield (FWD): 2.98% ($2.88)

MDT 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

MDT Share Price

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

MDT Price CAGR:1Y: 6.12%2Y: 3.28%5Y: -4.24%10Y: 1.64%

MDT Dividend Charts

MDT - Dividends

MDT Dividend CAGR:1Y: 1.41%2Y: 1.42%5Y: 2.71%10Y: 5.29%

MDT - Dividend Payout Ratio

MDT Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -28.40%2Y: -5.82%5Y: -0.61%10Y: 1.65%

MDT - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio

MDT Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: -54.18%2Y: -33.60%5Y: 4.78%10Y: 3.78%

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MDT - Chart 1

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Combined 55% Lifetime Discount

MDT Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

MDT - Revenue

MDT Revenue CAGR:1Y: 13.73%2Y: 7.75%5Y: 4.45%10Y: 2.88%

MDT - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

MDT EPS CAGR:1Y: 40.74%2Y: 7.31%5Y: 3.28%10Y: 3.61%

MDT - Net Income

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MDT Net Income CAGR:1Y: 42.21%2Y: 7.92%5Y: 2.44%10Y: 2.87%

MDT - EBITDA

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MDT EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 23.87%2Y: 6.21%5Y: 3.25%10Y: 1.90%

MDT - Free Cash Flow

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MDT Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 120.89%2Y: 52.59%5Y: -2.95%10Y: 0.69%

MDT - Free Cash Flow / Share

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MDT Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 121.20%2Y: 52.75%5Y: -1.97%10Y: 1.45%

MDT - Operating Income

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MDT Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 27.06%2Y: 7.29%5Y: 3.27%10Y: 2.86%

MDT - Gross Profit

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MDT Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 28.18%2Y: 7.79%5Y: 3.45%10Y: 2.36%

MDT - Shares Outstanding

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MDT Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -0.16%2Y: -0.07%5Y: -1.06%10Y: -0.80%

MDT - Share Buybacks

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MDT Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 117.07%2Y: -3.71%5Y: -9.05%10Y: -12.64%

MDT - Stock-Based Comp

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MDT Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 45.35%2Y: -11.33%5Y: -2.24%10Y: 1.19%

MDT - Expenses

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MDT Expenses CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

MDT - Revenue vs Net Income

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MDT - EPS vs FCF / Share

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MDT - EPS vs PE Ratio

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MDT - FCF vs FCF / Share

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MDT - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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MDT - Cash & Debt

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MDT - Revenue by Segment

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MDT Revenue CAGR:1Y: 13.73%2Y: 7.75%5Y: 4.45%10Y: 2.88%

MDT - Revenue by Region

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MDT Revenue CAGR:1Y: 13.73%2Y: 7.75%5Y: 4.45%10Y: 2.88%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

MDT - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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MDT Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 13.73%2Y: 7.75%5Y: 4.45%10Y: 2.88%

MDT - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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MDT Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 40.74%2Y: 7.31%5Y: 3.28%10Y: 3.61%

MDT - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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MDT Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 42.21%2Y: 7.92%5Y: 2.44%10Y: 2.87%

MDT - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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MDT Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 23.87%2Y: 6.21%5Y: 3.25%10Y: 1.90%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

MDT - Net Profit Margin

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MDT Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 24.34%2Y: -0.13%5Y: -2.04%10Y: -0.07%

MDT - Gross Profit Margin

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MDT Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 12.71%2Y: 0.04%5Y: -0.95%10Y: -0.50%

MDT - Price to Earnings

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MDT Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -35.29%2Y: -9.90%5Y: -9.60%10Y: -3.07%

MDT - Price To Sales Ratio

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MDT Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -19.33%2Y: -9.99%5Y: -11.43%10Y: -3.13%

MDT - Return on Capital Employed

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MDT Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 18.98%2Y: 2.78%5Y: 3.06%10Y: 3.33%

MDT - Return on Invested Capital

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MDT Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 23.73%2Y: 4.66%5Y: -0.23%10Y: 1.34%

MDT Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $2.88

Forward Yield: 2.98%

Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-09-25

Lifetime Dividends / Share: $36.45

MDT Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all MDT dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date	Payment Date	Amount	Yield	Forward Yield	Price on Ex-Date
09/25/2026	09/28/2026	$0.720	3.25%	3.22%	$89.50
06/26/2026	06/29/2026	$0.720	3.56%	3.56%	$80.93
03/27/2026	03/30/2026	$0.710	3.26%	3.31%	$85.74
12/26/2025	12/29/2025	$0.710	2.94%	2.95%	$96.15
09/26/2025	09/29/2025	$0.710	3.01%	3.02%	$93.97
06/27/2025	06/30/2025	$0.710	3.3%	3.26%	$87.17
03/28/2025	03/31/2025	$0.700	3.2%	3.12%	$89.86
12/27/2024	12/30/2024	$0.700	3.47%	3.52%	$79.61
09/27/2024	09/30/2024	$0.700	3.13%	3.11%	$90.03
06/28/2024	07/01/2024	$0.700	3.56%	3.63%	$77.12
03/21/2024	03/25/2024	$0.690	3.31%	3.32%	$83.24
12/19/2023	12/21/2023	$0.690	3.36%	3.37%	$81.96
09/21/2023	09/25/2023	$0.690	3.43%	3.45%	$79.97
06/22/2023	06/26/2023	$0.690	3.16%	3.17%	$87.00
03/23/2023	03/27/2023	$0.680	3.51%	3.42%	$79.64
12/20/2022	01/13/2023	$0.680	3.55%	3.38%	$80.59
09/22/2022	10/14/2022	$0.680	3.26%	3.33%	$81.61
06/23/2022	07/15/2022	$0.680	3.07%	3.05%	$89.12
03/24/2022	04/22/2022	$0.630	2.37%	2.34%	$107.80
12/21/2021	01/14/2022	$0.630	2.48%	2.32%	$108.55
09/23/2021	10/15/2021	$0.630	1.93%	1.97%	$127.75
06/24/2021	07/16/2021	$0.630	2.01%	2%	$125.80
03/25/2021	04/16/2021	$0.580	1.99%	1.84%	$125.91
12/21/2020	01/15/2021	$0.580	2.03%	1.99%	$116.81
09/24/2020	10/16/2020	$0.580	2.29%	2.11%	$110.13
06/25/2020	07/17/2020	$0.580	2.61%	2.35%	$98.58
03/26/2020	04/17/2020	$0.540	2.35%	2.09%	$103.33
12/26/2019	01/17/2020	$0.540	1.92%	1.81%	$119.03
09/26/2019	10/18/2019	$0.540	2.01%	2%	$108.12
07/05/2019	07/25/2019	$0.540	2.2%	2.12%	$102.09
03/21/2019	04/12/2019	$0.500	2.17%	2.31%	$86.75
12/27/2018	01/18/2019	$0.500	2.23%	2.29%	$87.30
07/05/2018	07/25/2018	$0.500	2.33%	2.23%	$89.73
03/22/2018	04/13/2018	$0.460	2.35%	2.31%	$79.57
12/28/2017	01/19/2018	$0.460	2.26%	2.12%	$86.68
09/28/2017	10/20/2017	$0.460	2.37%	2.35%	$78.34
07/05/2017	07/26/2017	$0.460	2.07%	2.15%	$85.74
03/22/2017	04/13/2017	$0.430	2.12%	2.15%	$80.01
12/21/2016	01/13/2017	$0.430	2.4%	2.29%	$75.09
09/27/2016	10/21/2016	$0.430	1.98%	2.05%	$83.91
07/06/2016	07/27/2016	$0.430	1.97%	1.97%	$87.48
03/22/2016	04/15/2016	$0.380	2.03%	1.97%	$77.10
12/22/2015	01/15/2016	$0.380	1.97%	2.06%	$73.92
09/23/2015	10/16/2015	$0.380	2.19%	2.05%	$74.11
06/25/2015	07/17/2015	$0.380	2.01%	1.98%	$76.91
03/26/2015	04/17/2015	$0.305	1.59%	1.59%	$76.49
12/30/2014	01/16/2015	$0.305	1.67%	1.68%	$72.76
10/01/2014	10/24/2014	$0.305	1.95%	1.83%	$66.56
07/01/2014	07/25/2014	$0.305	1.91%	1.94%	$62.90
04/02/2014	04/25/2014	$0.280	1.81%	1.92%	$58.21
12/31/2013	01/24/2014	$0.280	1.95%	1.96%	$57.16
10/02/2013	10/25/2013	$0.280	2.09%	1.95%	$57.36
07/02/2013	07/26/2013	$0.280	2.16%	2.01%	$55.60
04/03/2013	04/26/2013	$0.260	2.21%	2.24%	$46.36
12/13/2012	12/28/2012	$0.260	2.47%	2.55%	$40.75
10/03/2012	10/26/2012	$0.260	2.39%	2.5%	$41.60
07/03/2012	07/27/2012	$0.260	2.66%	2.66%	$39.03
04/03/2012	04/27/2012	$0.243	2.48%	2.57%	$37.69
01/04/2012	01/27/2012	$0.243	2.53%	2.47%	$39.28
10/05/2011	10/28/2011	$0.243	3.01%	2.73%	$35.48
07/06/2011	07/29/2011	$0.243	2.55%	2.69%	$36.05
04/06/2011	04/29/2011	$0.225	2.28%	2.16%	$41.75
01/05/2011	01/28/2011	$0.225	2.47%	2.37%	$38.05
10/06/2010	10/29/2010	$0.225	2.67%	2.55%	$35.23
07/07/2010	07/30/2010	$0.225	2.43%	2.43%	$36.97
04/07/2010	04/30/2010	$0.205	1.83%	1.88%	$43.69
01/06/2010	01/29/2010	$0.205	1.81%	1.91%	$42.89
10/07/2009	10/30/2009	$0.205	2.23%	2.3%	$35.70
07/08/2009	07/31/2009	$0.205	2.5%	2.32%	$35.42
04/01/2009	04/24/2009	$0.188	2.54%	2.54%	$29.58
12/30/2008	01/23/2009	$0.188	2.46%	2.32%	$32.33
10/01/2008	10/24/2008	$0.188	1.51%	1.98%	$37.81
07/01/2008	07/25/2008	$0.188	1.46%	1.4%	$53.59
04/02/2008	04/25/2008	$0.125	1.01%	1.01%	$49.42
01/02/2008	01/25/2008	$0.125	1.01%	1.08%	$46.12
10/03/2007	10/26/2007	$0.125	0.88%	1.05%	$47.82
07/03/2007	07/27/2007	$0.125	0.95%	0.98%	$50.81
04/03/2007	04/27/2007	$0.110	0.89%	0.82%	$53.60
01/03/2007	01/26/2007	$0.110	0.84%	0.83%	$53.14
10/04/2006	10/27/2006	$0.110	0.9%	0.9%	$48.67
07/05/2006	07/28/2006	$0.110	0.94%	0.87%	$50.50
04/05/2006	04/28/2006	$0.096	0.76%	0.77%	$50.12
01/04/2006	01/27/2006	$0.096	0.66%	0.68%	$57.00
10/05/2005	10/28/2005	$0.096	0.73%	0.68%	$56.79
06/29/2005	07/29/2005	$0.096	0.74%	0.71%	$53.94
03/30/2005	04/29/2005	$0.084	0.65%	0.64%	$52.70
01/05/2005	01/28/2005	$0.085	0.7%	0.65%	$52.43
09/29/2004	10/29/2004	$0.085	0.66%	0.67%	$51.11
06/30/2004	07/30/2004	$0.085	0.7%	0.68%	$49.67
03/31/2004	04/30/2004	$0.073	0.61%	0.57%	$50.46
12/30/2003	01/23/2004	$0.073	0.59%	0.6%	$48.55
10/01/2003	10/24/2003	$0.073	0.61%	0.63%	$46.33
07/01/2003	07/25/2003	$0.073	0.6%	0.57%	$50.64
04/02/2003	04/25/2003	$0.063	0.53%	0.52%	$48.08
12/31/2002	01/24/2003	$0.058	0.51%	0.52%	$44.86
10/02/2002	10/25/2002	$0.063	0.58%	0.55%	$45.45
07/02/2002	07/26/2002	$0.063	0.62%	0.67%	$37.25
04/03/2002	04/26/2002	$0.058	0.52%	0.52%	$43.81
01/02/2002	01/25/2002	$0.058	0.46%	0.47%	$48.58
10/03/2001	10/26/2001	$0.058	0.52%	0.54%	$42.25
07/03/2001	07/27/2001	$0.058	0.49%	0.47%	$48.55
04/04/2001	04/27/2001	$0.050	0.49%	0.45%	$44.25
01/03/2001	01/26/2001	$0.050	0.34%	0.36%	$54.94
12/19/2000	12/21/2000	$0.001	0.01%	0.01%	$55.38
10/04/2000	10/27/2000	$0.050	0.39%	0.39%	$51.88
07/05/2000	07/28/2000	$0.050	0.42%	0.38%	$52.00
04/05/2000	04/28/2000	$0.040	0.29%	0.31%	$51.94
01/05/2000	01/28/2000	$0.040	0.44%	0.36%	$44.81
10/06/1999	10/29/1999	$0.040	0.45%	0.46%	$34.50
06/30/1999	07/30/1999	$0.040	0.41%	0.44%	$36.03
04/07/1999	04/30/1999	$0.033	0.37%	0.36%	$35.97
01/06/1999	01/29/1999	$0.033	0.36%	0.33%	$39.84
10/07/1998	10/30/1998	$0.033	0.5%	0.4%	$32.50
06/30/1998	07/31/1998	$0.033	0.41%	0.42%	$30.97
04/07/1998	04/30/1998	$0.028	0.4%	0.42%	$26.50
01/07/1998	01/30/1998	$0.028	0.44%	0.43%	$25.53
10/08/1997	10/31/1997	$0.028	0.45%	0.51%	$21.75
07/01/1997	08/01/1997	$0.028	0.5%	0.5%	$22.22
04/02/1997	04/30/1997	$0.024	0.62%	0.55%	$17.31
01/08/1997	01/31/1997	$0.024	0.54%	0.55%	$17.13
10/09/1996	11/01/1996	$0.024	0.61%	0.59%	$16.00
07/02/1996	08/02/1996	$0.024	0.68%	0.73%	$12.94
04/02/1996	04/30/1996	$0.016	0.45%	0.49%	$13.28
01/03/1996	01/26/1996	$0.016	0.5%	0.47%	$13.69
10/04/1995	10/27/1995	$0.016	0.5%	0.45%	$14.31
07/05/1995	07/28/1995	$0.016	0.68%	0.63%	$10.27
04/03/1995	05/01/1995	$0.013	0.59%	0.56%	$9.17
12/30/1994	01/27/1995	$0.013	0.73%	0.69%	$7.44
10/07/1994	10/28/1994	$0.013	0.8%	0.78%	$6.53
07/01/1994	07/06/1994	$0.013	1.02%	1.02%	$5.02
04/04/1994	05/02/1994	$0.011	0.9%	0.91%	$4.68
01/03/1994	01/28/1994	$0.011	0.82%	0.82%	$5.20
10/04/1993	10/29/1993	$0.011	0.98%	0.92%	$4.63
07/02/1993	07/30/1993	$0.011	1.05%	1.12%	$3.80
04/02/1993	04/30/1993	$0.009	0.83%	0.86%	$4.09
01/04/1993	01/29/1993	$0.009	0.59%	0.62%	$5.63
10/05/1992	10/30/1992	$0.009	0.58%	0.58%	$6.05
07/09/1992	07/31/1992	$0.009	0.69%	0.71%	$4.92
04/06/1992	04/30/1992	$0.008	0.64%	0.73%	$4.09
01/06/1992	01/31/1992	$0.008	0.5%	0.55%	$5.41
10/04/1991	10/31/1991	$0.008	0.7%	0.61%	$4.92
07/03/1991	07/31/1991	$0.008	0.91%	0.83%	$3.98
04/04/1991	04/30/1991	$0.006	0.68%	0.74%	$3.48
01/04/1991	01/31/1991	$0.006	1.01%	0.89%	$2.88
10/03/1990	10/31/1990	$0.006	1.06%	0.97%	$2.63
07/03/1990	07/31/1990	$0.006	0.97%	1.02%	$2.52
04/04/1990	04/30/1990	$0.005	1.1%	1.1%	$1.99
01/04/1990	01/31/1990	$0.005	1.04%	1.1%	$1.99
10/03/1989	10/31/1989	$0.005	1.13%	1.19%	$1.84
07/03/1989	07/31/1989	$0.005	1.45%	1.26%	$1.73
04/04/1989	04/28/1989	$0.005	1.36%	1.27%	$1.48
01/04/1989	01/31/1989	$0.005	1.51%	1.46%	$1.28
10/03/1988	10/31/1988	$0.005	1.43%	1.44%	$1.30
07/05/1988	07/29/1988	$0.005	1.56%	1.5%	$1.25
04/05/1988	04/29/1988	$0.004	1.2%	1.37%	$1.19
12/31/1987	01/29/1988	$0.004	1.11%	1.14%	$1.42
07/06/1987	07/31/1987	$0.004	1.09%	1.04%	$1.57
04/06/1987	04/30/1987	$0.003	1.02%	0.99%	$1.39
01/05/1987	01/30/1987	$0.003	1.11%	1.12%	$1.23
10/06/1986	10/08/1986	$0.003	1.08%	1.09%	$1.26
07/03/1986	07/07/1986	$0.003	1.11%	1.13%	$1.22
04/04/1986	04/09/1986	$0.003	1.28%	1.24%	$1.01
01/06/1986	01/08/1986	$0.003	1.79%	1.76%	$0.71
10/04/1985	10/09/1985	$0.003	2.12%	2.08%	$0.60
07/03/1985	07/05/1985	$0.003	2.5%	2.45%	$0.51
04/03/1985	04/05/1985	$0.003	2.47%	2.47%	$0.48
01/04/1985	01/09/1985	$0.003	2.9%	2.97%	$0.40
10/03/1984	10/05/1984	$0.003	2.9%	2.83%	$0.42
07/09/1984	07/11/1984	$0.003	2.76%	2.76%	$0.43
04/04/1984	04/06/1984	$0.003	2.3%	2.3%	$0.49
01/04/1984	01/06/1984	$0.003	0%	1.73%	$0.65
10/04/1983	10/06/1983	$0.003	0%	1.73%	$0.65
07/01/1983	07/06/1983	$0.003	0%	1.73%	$0.65
04/05/1983	04/07/1983	$0.003	0%	1.54%	$0.65
01/04/1983	01/06/1983	$0.003	0%	1.54%	$0.65
10/04/1982	10/06/1982	$0.003	0%	1.54%	$0.65
07/02/1982	07/07/1982	$0.003	0%	1.54%	$0.65
04/02/1982	04/07/1982	$0.002	0%	1.35%	$0.65
01/04/1982	01/06/1982	$0.002	0%	1.35%	$0.65

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for MDT

Based on past 10-year performance, here are MDT growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +1.64%
Dividend CAGR of +5.32%

Using MDT CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	MDT (DRIP)	MDT - No DRIP
Current Price	$96.54	$96.54
Start Shares	103.58	103.58
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	147.05	103.58
Dividends Payment	$1.21	$1.21
Annual Dividends	$712	$501
Yield on cost	7.12%	5.01%
Share Price	$113.63	$113.63
Total Dividends	$4,563	$3,810
Final Value	$16,710	$15,580

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - MDT

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on MDT's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Medtronic plc (MDT) had its IPO on 1973-05-02, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Medtronic plc is a leading global medical technology enterprise that invents, develops, manufactures, and distributes an extensive range of device-based medical therapies. These solutions serve healthcare systems, clinicians, physicians, and patients across the world. The company's operations are categorized into several key portfolios: Cardiovascular Portfolio: This segment focuses on cardiac health, providing technologies for heart rhythm management, including implantable pacemakers, defibrillators, and monitoring systems, alongside cardiac ablation tools and remote patient software. It also addresses structural heart issues with products like aortic and pulmonary valves, surgical repair devices, and endovascular stent grafts, in addition to offerings for percutaneous coronary interventions (e.g., angioplasty balloons). Medical Surgical Portfolio: Offering a broad spectrum of surgical instruments and therapies, this division includes staples, vessel sealing devices, wound closure products, and electrosurgical equipment. It also pioneers surgical artificial intelligence and robotic-assisted platforms, alongside solutions for hernia repair, gynecology, lung conditions, minimally invasive gastrointestinal and hepatologic diagnostics, patient monitoring, airway management, ventilation therapies, and renal disease. Neuroscience Portfolio: This division delivers specialized products for a diverse group of medical professionals, such as spinal surgeons, neurosurgeons, neurologists, pain management specialists, and ENT experts. Its offerings span energy surgical instruments, advanced image-guided and intra-operative imaging systems, robotic guidance for spine procedures, and therapies targeting the brain's vasculature. Diabetes Operating Unit: Dedicated to diabetes management, this unit provides innovative solutions like insulin pumps and their associated consumables, continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems, and smart insulin pen technologies. Established in 1949, Medtronic plc maintains its corporate headquarters in Dublin, Ireland.

MDT website: https://www.medtronic.com

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DCF Model — MDT

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $96.54

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Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →