Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund MSDL | NYSE
$13.26
$0.28 | 2.16%
TREND SIGNAL:
|2026-08-28
|2026-08-28
Company Overview:
Market Cap:
$1.09B
Trailing PE:
19.2x
FWD PE *:
7.5x
Payout Ratio (TTM):
281.9%
52-Week Range:
$12.94 - $17.91
* Forward PE is based on street estimates.
2.7 Year MSDL Performance Metrics:
Total Return (with DRIP):
-12.2% (-4.69% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP):
-8.4% (-3.19% CAGR)
Share Price:
-35.8% (-15.12% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP):
11.92%
Total Invested:
$10,000
Total Value (with DRIP):
$8,783
Total Return $ (with DRIP):
-$1,217
Dividend Increase:
-10.0% (-3.75% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD):
13.57% ($1.80)
MSDL 2.7-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
MSDL Share Price
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All
MSDL Price CAGR:1Y: -21.95%2Y: -18.62%5Y: -14.99%10Y: -14.99%
MSDL Dividend Charts
MSDL Dividend CAGR:1Y: -10.00%2Y: 112.13%5Y: -9.90%10Y: -9.90%
MSDL Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 297.37%2Y: 190.79%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
MSDL Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: -65.69%2Y: -9.41%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:
MSDL Revenue CAGR:1Y: -85.18%2Y: -67.71%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
MSDL EPS CAGR:1Y: -78.05%2Y: -63.07%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Net Income CAGR:1Y: -78.04%2Y: -63.36%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 10.06%2Y: -32.76%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 154.39%2Y: 17.63%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 161.70%2Y: 20.72%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 10.14%2Y: -28.30%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 69.04%2Y: -13.89%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -2.79%2Y: -2.56%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: -39.07%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Expenses CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:
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MSDL Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: -85.18%2Y: -67.71%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -78.05%2Y: -63.07%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: -78.04%2Y: -63.36%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 10.06%2Y: -32.76%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:
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MSDL Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -80.57%2Y: -58.92%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 16.71%2Y: -14.71%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 267.95%2Y: 126.13%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -30.59%2Y: -8.90%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 42.22%2Y: -21.99%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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MSDL Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 30.01%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
MSDL Dividends Info:
Annual Dividend:
$1.8
Forward Yield:
13.57%
Ex-Dividend Date:
2026-09-30
Lifetime Dividends / Share:
$6.15
MSDL Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list
Below is a schedule of all MSDL dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield
| Ex-Date | Payment Date | Amount | Yield | Forward Yield | Price on Ex-Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2026 | 10/02/2026 | $0.450 | 13.21% | 13.3% | $13.53 |
| 06/30/2026 | 07/02/2026 | $0.450 | 11.9% | 11.69% | $15.40 |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/02/2026 | $0.450 | 12.89% | 12.74% | $14.13 |
| 12/31/2025 | 01/02/2026 | $0.500 | 12.14% | 12.15% | $16.46 |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/02/2025 | $0.500 | 12.44% | 12.2% | $16.40 |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/02/2025 | $0.500 | 10.68% | 10.44% | $19.15 |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/02/2025 | $0.500 | 10.02% | 9.86% | $20.28 |
| 12/31/2024 | 01/02/2025 | $0.500 | 9.68% | 9.56% | $20.91 |
| 11/04/2024 | 11/06/2024 | $0.100 | 2.04% | 2.02% | $19.84 |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/02/2024 | $0.500 | 10.11% | 9.93% | $20.14 |
| 08/05/2024 | 08/07/2024 | $0.100 | 2.03% | 2.07% | $19.33 |
| 06/28/2024 | 07/01/2024 | $0.500 | 9.15% | 9.2% | $21.73 |
| 03/27/2024 | 03/29/2024 | $0.500 | 9% | 9.28% | $21.55 |
| 12/27/2023 | 01/25/2024 | $0.600 | 0% | 11.62% | $20.65 |
Projected Future Returns & Dividends for MSDL
Based on past 2.7-year performance, here are MSDL growth metrics:
Share price CAGR of -15.12%
Dividend CAGR of -10.16%
Using MSDL CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:
| MSDL (DRIP) | MSDL - No DRIP | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $13.26 | $13.26 |
| Start Shares | 754.15 | 754.15 |
| Start Value | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| After 10 years: | ||
| Final Share Count | 2,194.13 | 754.15 |
| Dividends Payment | $0.12 | $0.12 |
| Annual Dividends | $1,065 | $366 |
| Yield on cost | 10.65% | 3.66% |
| Share Price | $3.57 | $3.57 |
| Total Dividends | $10,297 | $6,560 |
| Final Value | $7,842 | $9,255 |
Estimated Future Value + Dividends - MSDL
NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on MSDL's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 2.7 years.
These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.
We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.
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Company Info
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) had its IPO on 2024-01-24, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund functions as a business development company (BDC) specializing in finance, primarily providing capital to mid-sized enterprises. Its investment strategy focuses on directly originating and funding senior secured term loans, encompassing both first-lien and second-lien security interests. This entity commenced operations on May 30, 2019, and maintains its principal headquarters in New York City.
MSDL website: http://www.msdl.com
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DCF Model — MSDL
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vs current price $13.26
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Cash flow & implied price by year
FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.
EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.
Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
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÷ shares
Implied price path
| Year | FCF | Implied price |
|---|
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →
