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Waste Connections, Inc. WCN | NYSE

$183.32 $15.04 | 8.94%

TREND SIGNAL: Signal available — unlock to view

|2026-10-20

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $46.04B

Trailing PE: 44.4x

FWD PE *: 31x

Payout Ratio (TTM): 32.7%

52-Week Range: $146.89 - $183.83

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year WCN Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 295.7% (14.75% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 285.1% (14.44% CAGR)

Share Price: 269.8% (13.97% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 3.02%

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $39,570

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $29,570

Dividend Increase: 191.7% (11.60% CAGR)

Dividend Yield (FWD): 0.76% ($1.40)

WCN 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

WCN Share Price

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

WCN Price CAGR:1Y: 2.72%2Y: 0.54%5Y: 6.44%10Y: 13.97%

WCN Dividend Charts

WCN - Dividends

WCN Dividend CAGR:1Y: 11.11%2Y: 10.82%5Y: 11.29%10Y: 13.73%

WCN - Dividend Payout Ratio

WCN Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 6.21%2Y: 5.56%5Y: -0.24%10Y: -7.46%

WCN - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio

WCN Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: -62.84%2Y: -32.31%5Y: -15.17%10Y: -15.30%

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WCN Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

WCN - Revenue

WCN Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.42%2Y: 6.75%5Y: 10.80%10Y: 13.41%

WCN - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

WCN EPS CAGR:1Y: 1.79%2Y: 3.22%5Y: 10.89%10Y: 24.25%

WCN - Net Income

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WCN Net Income CAGR:1Y: 2.11%2Y: 3.73%5Y: 10.86%10Y: 26.84%

WCN - EBITDA

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WCN EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 2.73%2Y: 5.60%5Y: 11.28%10Y: 15.24%

WCN - Free Cash Flow

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WCN Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 191.84%2Y: 61.75%5Y: 30.37%10Y: 38.58%

WCN - Free Cash Flow / Share

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WCN Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 195.30%2Y: 62.59%5Y: 30.94%10Y: 35.92%

WCN - Operating Income

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WCN Operating Income CAGR:1Y: -4.79%2Y: -0.26%5Y: 10.40%10Y: 21.29%

WCN - Gross Profit

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WCN Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 6.72%2Y: 27.91%5Y: 11.33%10Y: 13.27%

WCN - Shares Outstanding

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WCN Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -1.20%2Y: -0.52%5Y: -0.43%10Y: 1.95%

WCN - Share Buybacks

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WCN Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 2,725.64%5Y: 6.64%10Y: 0.00%

WCN - Stock-Based Comp

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WCN Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 29.34%2Y: 12.69%5Y: 5.40%10Y: 1.27%

WCN - Expenses

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WCN Expenses CAGR:1Y: 3.96%2Y: 16.94%5Y: 11.18%10Y: 18.24%

WCN - Revenue vs Net Income

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WCN - EPS vs FCF / Share

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WCN - EPS vs PE Ratio

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WCN - FCF vs FCF / Share

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WCN - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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WCN - Cash & Debt

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WCN - Revenue by Segment

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WCN Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.42%2Y: 6.75%5Y: 10.80%10Y: 13.41%

WCN - Revenue by Region

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WCN Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.42%2Y: 6.75%5Y: 10.80%10Y: 13.41%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

WCN - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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WCN Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.42%2Y: 6.75%5Y: 10.80%10Y: 13.41%

WCN - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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WCN Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 1.79%2Y: 3.22%5Y: 10.89%10Y: 24.25%

WCN - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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WCN Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 2.11%2Y: 3.73%5Y: 10.86%10Y: 26.84%

WCN - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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WCN Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 2.73%2Y: 5.60%5Y: 11.28%10Y: 15.24%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

WCN - Net Profit Margin

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WCN Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -4.06%2Y: -2.85%5Y: 0.05%10Y: 11.84%

WCN - Gross Profit Margin

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WCN Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.28%2Y: 19.82%5Y: 0.48%10Y: -0.13%

WCN - Price to Earnings

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WCN Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -12.29%2Y: -5.25%5Y: -3.64%10Y: -8.80%

WCN - Price To Sales Ratio

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WCN Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -17.10%2Y: -8.77%5Y: -3.94%10Y: 1.81%

WCN - Return on Capital Employed

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WCN Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: -7.85%2Y: -4.95%5Y: 2.03%10Y: 14.03%

WCN - Return on Invested Capital

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WCN Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: -4.59%2Y: -5.03%5Y: -0.66%10Y: 14.79%

WCN Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $1.4

Forward Yield: 0.76%

Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-08-06

Lifetime Dividends / Share: $10.73

WCN Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all WCN dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date	Payment Date	Amount	Yield	Forward Yield	Price on Ex-Date
08/06/2026	08/10/2026	$0.350	0.84%	0.84%	$166.22
05/06/2026	05/08/2026	$0.350	0.91%	0.92%	$151.82
02/25/2026	02/27/2026	$0.350	0.84%	0.81%	$172.13
11/05/2025	11/20/2025	$0.350	0.84%	0.81%	$173.52
08/06/2025	08/08/2025	$0.315	0.67%	0.67%	$187.89
05/07/2025	05/09/2025	$0.315	0.64%	0.65%	$195.29
02/27/2025	03/03/2025	$0.315	0.68%	0.66%	$191.97
11/07/2024	11/11/2024	$0.315	0.69%	0.68%	$185.36
08/07/2024	08/09/2024	$0.285	0.64%	0.63%	$180.30
05/07/2024	05/09/2024	$0.285	0.69%	0.69%	$166.14
02/27/2024	02/29/2024	$0.285	0.68%	0.68%	$166.44
11/07/2023	11/09/2023	$0.285	0.87%	0.87%	$130.50
08/15/2023	08/17/2023	$0.255	0.74%	0.74%	$137.36
05/09/2023	05/11/2023	$0.255	0.71%	0.71%	$143.59
02/28/2023	03/02/2023	$0.255	0.76%	0.76%	$133.69
11/15/2022	12/01/2022	$0.255	0.75%	0.71%	$143.95
08/17/2022	09/01/2022	$0.230	0.64%	0.66%	$139.42
05/17/2022	06/01/2022	$0.230	0.72%	0.72%	$127.41
03/01/2022	03/16/2022	$0.230	0.73%	0.68%	$135.63
11/08/2021	11/23/2021	$0.230	0.68%	0.67%	$137.00
08/17/2021	09/01/2021	$0.205	0.65%	0.63%	$129.97
05/11/2021	05/26/2021	$0.205	0.68%	0.68%	$120.52
03/02/2021	03/17/2021	$0.205	0.82%	0.8%	$101.93
11/09/2020	11/25/2020	$0.205	0.77%	0.79%	$104.12
07/31/2020	08/18/2020	$0.185	0.72%	0.74%	$99.97
05/04/2020	05/19/2020	$0.185	0.87%	0.81%	$91.57
02/26/2020	03/12/2020	$0.185	0.74%	0.88%	$83.89
11/08/2019	11/26/2019	$0.185	0.83%	0.81%	$91.53
08/09/2019	08/26/2019	$0.160	0.7%	0.71%	$90.44
05/07/2019	05/22/2019	$0.160	0.7%	0.67%	$94.93
02/28/2019	03/15/2019	$0.160	0.77%	0.76%	$84.48
11/09/2018	11/27/2018	$0.160	0.83%	0.83%	$76.81
08/06/2018	08/21/2018	$0.140	0.71%	0.71%	$78.99
05/15/2018	05/30/2018	$0.140	0.75%	0.72%	$77.37
02/27/2018	03/14/2018	$0.140	0.78%	0.76%	$73.40
11/07/2017	11/22/2017	$0.140	0.81%	0.82%	$68.54
08/03/2017	08/22/2017	$0.120	0.73%	0.74%	$64.52
05/08/2017	05/24/2017	$0.120	0.78%	0.77%	$62.09
03/03/2017	03/21/2017	$0.120	0.82%	0.83%	$57.61
11/03/2016	11/21/2016	$0.120	0.97%	0.94%	$51.29
07/28/2016	08/15/2016	$0.097	0.78%	0.74%	$51.99
04/29/2016	05/17/2016	$0.097	0.87%	0.84%	$45.91
02/26/2016	03/15/2016	$0.097	0.93%	0.9%	$42.81
11/05/2015	11/23/2015	$0.097	1.18%	1.22%	$31.66
08/06/2015	08/24/2015	$0.087	0.9%	0.95%	$36.36
04/28/2015	05/14/2015	$0.087	0.88%	0.88%	$39.34
02/26/2015	03/16/2015	$0.087	0.9%	0.86%	$40.36
10/31/2014	11/18/2014	$0.087	0.86%	0.82%	$42.27
07/30/2014	08/15/2014	$0.077	0.88%	0.89%	$34.60
04/29/2014	05/15/2014	$0.077	0.92%	0.89%	$34.60
02/07/2014	02/25/2014	$0.077	0.97%	0.91%	$33.87
11/01/2013	11/19/2013	$0.077	0.82%	0.85%	$36.14
08/02/2013	08/20/2013	$0.067	0.8%	0.78%	$33.99
05/06/2013	05/22/2013	$0.067	0.82%	0.84%	$31.90
02/01/2013	02/19/2013	$0.067	0.86%	0.91%	$29.17
11/01/2012	11/19/2012	$0.067	0.99%	1.03%	$25.81
08/02/2012	08/20/2012	$0.060	0.87%	0.86%	$28.05
05/07/2012	05/23/2012	$0.060	0.87%	0.86%	$27.91
02/16/2012	03/06/2012	$0.060	0.81%	0.82%	$29.44
10/31/2011	11/16/2011	$0.060	0.82%	0.86%	$27.97
08/01/2011	08/17/2011	$0.050	0.64%	0.67%	$29.84
05/04/2011	05/20/2011	$0.050	0.58%	0.58%	$34.70
02/17/2011	03/01/2011	$0.050	0.6%	0.59%	$33.71
10/27/2010	11/12/2010	$0.050	0.95%	0.98%	$20.52

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for WCN

Based on past 10-year performance, here are WCN growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +13.97%
Dividend CAGR of +13.75%

Using WCN CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	WCN (DRIP)	WCN - No DRIP
Current Price	$183.32	$183.32
Start Shares	54.55	54.55
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	58.84	54.55
Dividends Payment	$1.27	$1.27
Annual Dividends	$299	$277
Yield on cost	2.99%	2.77%
Share Price	$677.95	$677.95
Total Dividends	$1,526	$1,459
Final Value	$39,888	$38,441

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - WCN

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on WCN's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) had its IPO on 1998-05-22, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Waste Connections, Inc. is a leading environmental services provider that delivers a full spectrum of non-hazardous waste management solutions, including collection, transfer, disposal, and resource recovery, across both the United States and Canada. The company offers essential waste collection services to a diverse customer base, spanning residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and exploration and production (E&P) sectors. Beyond collection, their operations encompass landfill management for final waste disposition and comprehensive recycling programs for a wide array of materials, such as compostables, cardboard, mixed paper, plastic containers, glass bottles, and both ferrous and aluminum metals. Waste Connections also maintains and operates a network of transfer stations, which efficiently receive, compact, and load waste for subsequent transport—by truck, rail, or barge—to either landfills or specialized treatment facilities. In the Pacific Northwest, the company further provides intermodal services through a dedicated network, facilitating the rail movement of general cargo and solid waste containers. A specialized component of their offerings includes the treatment, recovery, and safe disposal of waste generated by oil and natural gas exploration and production activities. This includes complex materials such as drilling fluids, drill cuttings, completion fluids, flowback water, ongoing production wastes, produced water from operational wells, contaminated soils requiring remediation during site reclamation, and substances needing clean-up after spills, reserve pit operations, or pipeline ruptures. Additionally, the company provides equipment leasing options to its customers. As of December 31, 2021, Waste Connections possessed a robust infrastructure, owning 334 solid waste collection operations, 142 transfer stations, 61 municipal solid waste (MSW) landfills, 12 E&P waste landfills, 14 non-MSW landfills, 71 recycling facilities, 4 intermodal operations, 23 E&P liquid waste injection wells, and 19 E&P waste treatment and oil recovery facilities. The company also manages an additional 53 transfer stations, 10 MSW landfills, and 2 intermodal operations. Waste Connections, Inc. was established in 1997 and its corporate headquarters are situated in Woodbridge, Canada.

WCN website: https://www.wasteconnections.com

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DCF Model — WCN

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $183.32

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →