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Warner Music Group Corp. WMG | NASDAQ

$28.70 -$0.02 | -0.07%
TREND SIGNAL:Signal available — unlock to view |2026-10-09

Company Overview:

Market Cap: $15.02B
Trailing PE: 22.2x
FWD PE *: 17.3x
Payout Ratio (TTM): 89.3%
52-Week Range: $23.34 - $35.42

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

6.4 Year WMG Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 7.9% (1.19% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP): 8.3% (1.25% CAGR)
Share Price: -4.7% (-0.75% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 3.01%
Total Invested: $10,000
Total Value (with DRIP): $10,789
Total Return $ (with DRIP): $789
Dividend Increase: 58.3% (7.98% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD): 2.79% ($0.80)
WMG 6.4-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
WMG Share Price
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All
WMG Price CAGR:1Y: -10.73%2Y: -4.00%5Y: -9.27%10Y: -0.76%
WMG Dividend Charts
WMG - Dividends
WMG Dividend CAGR:1Y: 5.26%2Y: 5.41%5Y: 5.92%10Y: 8.91%
WMG - Dividend Payout Ratio
WMG Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 51.55%5Y: 7.67%10Y: 0.00%
WMG - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio
WMG Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: -80.40%2Y: 117.51%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

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WMG Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

WMG - Revenue
WMG Revenue CAGR:1Y: 10.36%2Y: 9.52%5Y: 6.82%10Y: 8.68%
WMG - Earnings Per Share (EPS)
WMG EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 22.47%5Y: 26.58%10Y: 0.00%
WMG - Net Income
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WMG Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 21.15%5Y: 27.31%10Y: 0.00%
WMG - EBITDA
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WMG EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 216.41%2Y: 17.97%5Y: 13.93%10Y: 13.42%
WMG - Free Cash Flow
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WMG Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 1,528.57%2Y: -15.59%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 16.38%
WMG - Free Cash Flow / Share
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WMG Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 1,527.26%2Y: -16.15%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 15.94%
WMG - Operating Income
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WMG Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 80.47%2Y: 21.38%5Y: 13.49%10Y: 21.09%
WMG - Gross Profit
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WMG Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 10.05%2Y: 8.61%5Y: 5.32%10Y: 8.93%
WMG - Shares Outstanding
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WMG Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.61%2Y: 0.63%5Y: 0.39%10Y: 0.44%
WMG - Share Buybacks
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WMG Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 4,700.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
WMG - Stock-Based Comp
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WMG Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 106.25%2Y: 81.66%5Y: 22.42%10Y: 20.77%
WMG - Expenses
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WMG Expenses CAGR:1Y: -28.21%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -28.70%10Y: 10.84%
WMG - Revenue vs Net Income
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WMG - EPS vs FCF / Share
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WMG - EPS vs PE Ratio
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WMG - FCF vs FCF / Share
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WMG - FCF vs Stock Based Comp
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WMG - Cash & Debt
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WMG - Revenue by Segment
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WMG Revenue CAGR:1Y: 10.36%2Y: 9.52%5Y: 6.82%10Y: 8.68%
WMG - Revenue by Region
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WMG Revenue CAGR:1Y: 10.36%2Y: 9.52%5Y: 6.82%10Y: 8.68%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

WMG - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates
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WMG Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 10.36%2Y: 9.52%5Y: 6.82%10Y: 8.68%
WMG - EPS: Actual + Estimates
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WMG Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 22.47%5Y: 26.58%10Y: 0.00%
WMG - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates
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WMG Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 21.15%5Y: 27.31%10Y: 0.00%
WMG - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates
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WMG Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 216.41%2Y: 17.97%5Y: 13.93%10Y: 13.42%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

WMG - Net Profit Margin
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WMG Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 10.62%5Y: 19.18%10Y: 0.00%
WMG - Gross Profit Margin
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WMG Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -0.26%2Y: -0.83%5Y: -1.41%10Y: 0.23%
WMG - Price to Earnings
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WMG Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -22.76%5Y: -25.40%10Y: 0.00%
WMG - Price To Sales Ratio
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WMG Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -9.88%2Y: -13.05%5Y: -11.35%10Y: -8.61%
WMG - Return on Capital Employed
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WMG Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 64.48%2Y: 11.02%5Y: 4.39%10Y: 14.35%
WMG - Return on Invested Capital
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WMG Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 23.27%2Y: 5.88%5Y: 9.27%10Y: 11.36%

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WMG Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $0.8
Forward Yield: 2.79%
Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-08-20
Lifetime Dividends / Share: $4.08

WMG Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all WMG dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date Payment Date Amount Yield Forward Yield Price on Ex-Date
08/20/202608/24/2026$0.2002.95%2.88%$27.76
05/26/202605/28/2026$0.1902.2%2.35%$32.35
02/18/202602/20/2026$0.1902.6%2.54%$29.89
11/19/202511/21/2025$0.1902.49%2.48%$30.69
08/20/202508/22/2025$0.1902.34%2.25%$33.77
05/27/202505/29/2025$0.1802.75%2.75%$26.18
02/24/202502/26/2025$0.1802.02%2.1%$34.27
11/19/202411/21/2024$0.1802.19%2.31%$31.18
08/27/202408/29/2024$0.1802.47%2.51%$28.68
05/22/202405/24/2024$0.1702.17%2.23%$30.46
02/21/202402/23/2024$0.1701.96%1.98%$34.38
11/20/202311/22/2023$0.1702.15%2.04%$33.40
08/23/202308/25/2023$0.1702.09%2.09%$32.48
05/22/202305/24/2023$0.1602.44%2.52%$25.39
02/17/202302/20/2023$0.1601.93%2.05%$31.21
11/21/202212/01/2022$0.1602.37%1.87%$34.21
08/23/202209/01/2022$0.1602.25%2.35%$27.23
05/20/202206/01/2022$0.1502.02%2.05%$29.33
02/17/202203/01/2022$0.1501.65%1.68%$35.71
11/22/202112/01/2021$0.1501.4%1.41%$42.65
08/24/202109/01/2021$0.1501.65%1.57%$38.21
05/21/202106/01/2021$0.1201.39%1.35%$35.53
02/19/202103/01/2021$0.1201.32%1.28%$37.41
11/23/202012/01/2020$0.1201.71%1.64%$29.30
08/24/202009/01/2020$0.1201.59%1.61%$29.88

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for WMG

Based on past 6.4-year performance, here are WMG growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -0.75%
Dividend CAGR of +8.92%

Using WMG CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

WMG (DRIP)WMG - No DRIP
Current Price$28.70$28.70
Start Shares348.43348.43
Start Value$10,000$10,000
  
After 10 years:
Final Share Count539.04348.43
Dividends Payment$0.47$0.47
Annual Dividends$1,014$655
Yield on cost10.14%6.55%
Share Price$26.61$26.61
Total Dividends$5,245$4,219
Final Value$14,346$13,493

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - WMG

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on WMG's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 6.4 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) had its IPO on 2020-06-03, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG), established in 1929 and based in New York City, functions as a prominent global entertainment enterprise primarily focused on music. Its operations span the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and numerous other international markets. The company's activities are organized into two distinct divisions: Recorded Music and Music Publishing. The Recorded Music division is dedicated to identifying and cultivating emerging musical talent. It handles the subsequent marketing, promotional campaigns, distribution logistics, sales, and licensing of the recordings produced by these artists. This segment also actively markets its vast catalog of existing music, issuing compilations, re-releases of classic tracks and videos, and previously unreleased material. Its operations are chiefly conducted through a diverse portfolio of renowned record labels, including but not limited to Warner Records, Atlantic Records, Asylum, Big Beat, Canvasback, East West, Erato, FFRR, Fueled by Ramen, Nonesuch, Parlophone, Reprise, Roadrunner, Sire, Spinnin' Records, Warner Classics, and Warner Music Nashville. Music and video products are distributed and sold by this division to a wide array of channels, encompassing direct retailers, wholesale distributors, independent labels, various distribution centers and joint ventures, physical retail locations, online stores, streaming platforms, and digital download services. The Music Publishing division is responsible for owning and acquiring the intellectual property rights to approximately one million musical compositions. This extensive collection includes iconic pop hits, American classics, folk melodies, and scores for motion pictures and theatrical productions. Its comprehensive catalog represents the work of roughly 100,000 songwriters and composers, covering an expansive spectrum of musical styles such as pop, rock, jazz, classical, country, R&B, hip-hop, rap, reggae, Latin, folk, blues, symphonic, soul, Broadway, electronic, alternative, and gospel. Furthermore, this segment provides administrative services for the musical scores and soundtracks associated with various external television and film production companies and studios.

WMG website: https://www.wmg.com


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DCF Model — WMG

Value from:
Pay up to today
—
vs current price $28.70
—
Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
YearFCFImplied price
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →