Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. YMM | NYSE
$8.50
-$0.06 | -0.70%
TREND SIGNAL:
|2026-10-12
|2026-10-12
Company Overview:
Market Cap:
$8.95B
Trailing PE:
2.1x
FWD PE *:
1.7x
Payout Ratio (TTM):
0.0%
52-Week Range:
$7.46 - $13.40
* Forward PE is based on street estimates.
5.3 Year YMM Performance Metrics:
Total Return (with DRIP):
-58.3% (-15.20% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP):
-58.1% (-15.14% CAGR)
Share Price:
-60.5% (-16.06% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP):
1.65%
Total Invested:
$10,000
Total Value (with DRIP):
$4,172
Total Return $ (with DRIP):
-$5,828
Dividend Increase:
-12.5% (-5.75% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD):
3.95% ($0.34)
YMM 5.3-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
YMM Share Price
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All
YMM Price CAGR:1Y: -31.29%2Y: -4.40%5Y: -9.75%10Y: -16.05%
YMM Dividend Charts
YMM Dividend CAGR:1Y: -12.50%2Y: -19.30%5Y: -19.30%10Y: -19.30%
YMM Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -22.60%2Y: -42.02%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
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YMM Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:
YMM Revenue CAGR:1Y: 4.40%2Y: 10.60%5Y: 24.76%10Y: 0.00%
YMM EPS CAGR:1Y: -95.00%2Y: 23.25%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Net Income CAGR:1Y: 8.08%2Y: 27.83%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 27.71%2Y: 57.85%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 30.41%2Y: 62.13%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 22.74%2Y: -20.08%5Y: 37.93%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -0.67%2Y: -0.21%5Y: -0.74%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Expenses CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:
YMM Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 4.40%2Y: 10.60%5Y: 24.76%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: -95.00%2Y: 23.25%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 8.08%2Y: 27.83%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 27.71%2Y: 57.85%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:
YMM Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 2.37%2Y: 14.92%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 18.70%2Y: -27.39%5Y: 10.77%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 1,111.58%2Y: -23.10%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -37.74%2Y: -11.15%5Y: -33.16%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 23.34%2Y: 50.26%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 12.92%2Y: 39.06%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YMM Dividends Info:
Annual Dividend:
$0.336
Forward Yield:
3.95%
Ex-Dividend Date:
2026-10-14
Lifetime Dividends / Share:
$0.59
YMM Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list
Below is a schedule of all YMM dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield
| Ex-Date | Payment Date | Amount | Yield | Forward Yield | Price on Ex-Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/14/2026 | 10/28/2026 | $0.084 | 3.93% | 0% | $0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 07/21/2026 | $0.084 | 4.02% | 3.71% | $9.05 |
| 04/08/2026 | 04/22/2026 | $0.084 | 4.03% | 3.85% | $8.73 |
| 10/10/2025 | 10/27/2025 | $0.096 | 3.26% | 2.89% | $13.30 |
| 04/07/2025 | 04/17/2025 | $0.096 | 3.65% | 3.81% | $10.07 |
| 04/04/2024 | 04/19/2024 | $0.144 | 7.82% | 7.43% | $7.77 |
Projected Future Returns & Dividends for YMM
Based on past 5.3-year performance, here are YMM growth metrics:
Share price CAGR of -16.06%
Dividend CAGR of -19.32%
Using YMM CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:
| YMM (DRIP) | YMM - No DRIP | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $8.50 | $8.50 |
| Start Shares | 1,176.47 | 1,176.47 |
| Start Value | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| After 10 years: | ||
| Final Share Count | 1,549.34 | 1,176.47 |
| Dividends Payment | $0.02 | $0.02 |
| Annual Dividends | $93 | $71 |
| Yield on cost | 0.93% | 0.71% |
| Share Price | $2.09 | $2.09 |
| Total Dividends | $1,867 | $1,679 |
| Final Value | $3,245 | $4,143 |
Estimated Future Value + Dividends - YMM
NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on YMM's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 5.3 years.
These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.
We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.
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Company Info
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) had its IPO on 2021-06-23, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., along with its subsidiaries, operates a prominent digital logistics platform across the People's Republic of China. This platform's core purpose is to seamlessly connect cargo owners (shippers) with truck drivers, streamlining the transportation of goods regardless of distance, weight, or type. The company offers essential services like freight posting, carrier matching, and brokerage assistance, complemented by secure online payment processing. Furthermore, it provides an array of supplementary offerings designed to benefit its users, including financing solutions, insurance services, electronic toll management, and energy-related services. Full Truck Alliance also dedicates resources to technology development and various other support functions. The enterprise was established in 2011 and is headquartered in Guiyang, China.
YMM website: https://www.fulltruckalliance.com
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DCF Model — YMM
Value from:
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vs current price $8.50
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Cash flow & implied price by year
FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.
EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.
Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
| Year | FCF | Implied price |
|---|
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →
