Yum China Holdings, Inc. YUMC | NYSE
$44.83
$1.63 | 3.77%
TREND SIGNAL:
|2026-10-15
|2026-10-15
Company Overview:
Market Cap:
$14.58B
Trailing PE:
16.4x
FWD PE *:
14.2x
Payout Ratio (TTM):
35.7%
52-Week Range:
$39.72 - $58.39
* Forward PE is based on street estimates.
10 Year YUMC Performance Metrics:
Total Return (with DRIP):
93.9% (6.85% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP):
93.3% (6.81% CAGR)
Share Price:
74.8% (5.74% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP):
5.02%
Total Invested:
$10,000
Total Value (with DRIP):
$19,389
Total Return $ (with DRIP):
$9,389
Dividend Increase:
190.0% (12.95% CAGR)
Dividend Yield (FWD):
2.59% ($1.16)
YUMC 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
YUMC Share Price
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All
YUMC Price CAGR:1Y: 1.79%2Y: 0.72%5Y: -5.93%10Y: 5.75%
YUMC Dividend Charts
YUMC Dividend CAGR:1Y: 20.83%2Y: 34.63%5Y: 19.30%10Y: 12.95%
YUMC Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.54%2Y: 19.96%5Y: 8.35%10Y: 0.00%
YUMC Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 8.84%2Y: 11.99%5Y: 15.08%10Y: 0.00%
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YUMC Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:
YUMC Revenue CAGR:1Y: 12.59%2Y: 8.23%5Y: 5.07%10Y: 7.05%
YUMC EPS CAGR:1Y: 22.81%2Y: 13.86%5Y: 10.76%10Y: 13.35%
YUMC Net Income CAGR:1Y: 22.79%2Y: 11.59%5Y: 7.84%10Y: 13.11%
YUMC EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 17.18%2Y: 12.00%5Y: 0.45%10Y: 13.94%
YUMC Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 3.10%2Y: 13.96%5Y: -0.38%10Y: 0.00%
YUMC Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 12.67%2Y: 21.66%5Y: 3.89%10Y: 0.00%
YUMC Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 18.42%2Y: 16.34%5Y: 6.72%10Y: 15.26%
YUMC Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 12.82%2Y: 10.35%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YUMC Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -6.43%2Y: -5.52%5Y: -4.31%10Y: -1.10%
YUMC Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 60.00%2Y: 28.14%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
YUMC Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: -2.82%10Y: 20.58%
YUMC Expenses CAGR:1Y: 4.10%2Y: -12.97%5Y: -1.72%10Y: 3.28%
YUMC Revenue CAGR:1Y: 12.59%2Y: 8.23%5Y: 5.07%10Y: 7.05%
Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:
YUMC Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 12.59%2Y: 8.23%5Y: 5.07%10Y: 7.05%
YUMC Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 22.81%2Y: 13.86%5Y: 10.76%10Y: 13.35%
YUMC Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 22.79%2Y: 11.59%5Y: 7.84%10Y: 13.11%
YUMC Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 17.18%2Y: 12.00%5Y: 0.45%10Y: 13.94%
Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:
YUMC Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.91%2Y: -0.83%5Y: 1.06%10Y: 4.84%
YUMC Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.18%2Y: 1.96%5Y: 1.67%10Y: 2.66%
YUMC Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -24.26%2Y: 2.07%5Y: -17.64%10Y: -7.69%
YUMC Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -24.25%2Y: 1.10%5Y: -16.82%10Y: -3.24%
YUMC Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 36.99%2Y: 25.58%5Y: 10.77%10Y: 4.21%
YUMC Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 35.01%2Y: 27.14%5Y: 9.04%10Y: 1.44%
YUMC Dividends Info:
Annual Dividend:
$1.16
Forward Yield:
2.59%
Ex-Dividend Date:
2026-08-27
Lifetime Dividends / Share:
$5.19
YUMC Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list
Below is a schedule of all YUMC dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield
| Ex-Date | Payment Date | Amount | Yield | Forward Yield | Price on Ex-Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/27/2026 | 08/31/2026 | $0.290 | 2.58% | 2.6% | $44.61 |
| 05/27/2026 | 05/29/2026 | $0.290 | 2.63% | 2.73% | $42.43 |
| 03/04/2026 | 03/06/2026 | $0.290 | 2.22% | 2.24% | $51.83 |
| 12/02/2025 | 12/23/2025 | $0.240 | 1.99% | 1.98% | $48.51 |
| 09/02/2025 | 09/23/2025 | $0.240 | 2.2% | 2.26% | $42.56 |
| 05/28/2025 | 05/30/2025 | $0.240 | 2.21% | 2.2% | $43.65 |
| 03/06/2025 | 03/10/2025 | $0.240 | 1.95% | 1.94% | $49.36 |
| 11/26/2024 | 11/28/2024 | $0.160 | 1.41% | 1.29% | $49.68 |
| 08/27/2024 | 08/29/2024 | $0.160 | 1.91% | 1.91% | $33.47 |
| 05/24/2024 | 05/27/2024 | $0.160 | 1.79% | 1.94% | $33.00 |
| 03/04/2024 | 03/06/2024 | $0.160 | 1.53% | 1.53% | $41.72 |
| 11/27/2023 | 11/29/2023 | $0.130 | 1.17% | 1.21% | $43.00 |
| 08/25/2023 | 08/28/2023 | $0.130 | 0.98% | 0.97% | $53.34 |
| 05/26/2023 | 05/29/2023 | $0.130 | 0.9% | 0.9% | $58.07 |
| 03/06/2023 | 03/08/2023 | $0.130 | 0.85% | 0.87% | $59.70 |
| 11/28/2022 | 12/20/2022 | $0.120 | 0.93% | 0.87% | $55.41 |
| 08/24/2022 | 09/15/2022 | $0.120 | 1% | 0.95% | $50.48 |
| 05/27/2022 | 06/21/2022 | $0.120 | 1.11% | 1.15% | $41.67 |
| 03/07/2022 | 03/29/2022 | $0.120 | 1.03% | 1.1% | $43.56 |
| 11/23/2021 | 12/16/2021 | $0.120 | 0.91% | 0.99% | $48.72 |
| 08/24/2021 | 09/16/2021 | $0.120 | 0.79% | 0.86% | $55.68 |
| 05/24/2021 | 06/18/2021 | $0.120 | 0.74% | 0.73% | $65.81 |
| 03/02/2021 | 03/25/2021 | $0.120 | 0.81% | 0.8% | $59.72 |
| 11/24/2020 | 12/16/2020 | $0.120 | 0.8% | 0.83% | $57.82 |
| 03/03/2020 | 03/25/2020 | $0.120 | 1.07% | 1.08% | $44.46 |
| 11/25/2019 | 12/17/2019 | $0.120 | 1.1% | 1.01% | $47.75 |
| 08/26/2019 | 09/17/2019 | $0.120 | 1.13% | 1.03% | $46.50 |
| 05/24/2019 | 06/17/2019 | $0.120 | 1.25% | 1.17% | $40.97 |
| 02/27/2019 | 03/21/2019 | $0.120 | 1.16% | 1.11% | $43.23 |
| 11/26/2018 | 12/18/2018 | $0.120 | 1.37% | 1.38% | $34.84 |
| 08/28/2018 | 09/19/2018 | $0.100 | 1.08% | 1.15% | $34.81 |
| 05/29/2018 | 06/20/2018 | $0.100 | 1.04% | 1% | $40.07 |
| 02/27/2018 | 03/21/2018 | $0.100 | 0.92% | 0.96% | $41.55 |
| 11/29/2017 | 12/21/2017 | $0.100 | 0.98% | 0.97% | $41.09 |
Projected Future Returns & Dividends for YUMC
Based on past 10-year performance, here are YUMC growth metrics:
Share price CAGR of +5.74%
Dividend CAGR of +13.03%
Using YUMC CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:
| YUMC (DRIP) | YUMC - No DRIP | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $44.83 | $44.83 |
| Start Shares | 223.06 | 223.06 |
| Start Value | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| After 10 years: | ||
| Final Share Count | 317.83 | 223.06 |
| Dividends Payment | $0.99 | $0.99 |
| Annual Dividends | $1,255 | $881 |
| Yield on cost | 12.55% | 8.81% |
| Share Price | $78.35 | $78.35 |
| Total Dividends | $5,790 | $4,773 |
| Final Value | $24,903 | $22,251 |
Estimated Future Value + Dividends - YUMC
NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on YUMC's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years.
These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.
We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.
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Company Info
Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) had its IPO on 2016-10-17, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.
Yum China Holdings, Inc. is a prominent player in China's restaurant sector, engaging in the ownership, operation, and franchising of various dining establishments. Its core operations are structured around two primary segments: KFC and Pizza Hut. The company manages a diverse portfolio of restaurant brands, including popular names like KFC (known for chicken), Pizza Hut (pizza), Little Sheep (hot pot), Huang Ji Huang (simmer pot), Lavazza (Italian coffee), COFFii & JOY (specialty coffee), Taco Bell (Mexican-style cuisine), and East Dawning (Chinese food), operating and franchising these brands across the nation. Beyond its dining ventures, Yum China also runs V-Gold Mall, a mobile e-commerce platform offering a broad array of products. This includes electronics, home and kitchen accessories, and other general merchandise, alongside prepared meals such as fried rice, steak, and pasta, as well as coffee capsules. As of March 31, 2022, Yum China's extensive network comprised 12,117 restaurants situated across approximately 1,700 cities. Established in 2016, Yum China Holdings, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Shanghai, China.
YUMC website: https://www.yumchina.com
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DCF Model — YUMC
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vs current price $44.83
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Cash flow & implied price by year
FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.
EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.
Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
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÷ shares
Implied price path
| Year | FCF | Implied price |
|---|
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →
