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CERT | NASDAQ

$9.42 $0.22 | 2.39%
SIGNAL:Signal available — unlock to view |2026-09-25 |F&G 72 |RSI 67.8

Company Overview:

Market Cap: $1.40B
Trailing PE: N/A
FWD PE *: 24.3x
Payout Ratio (TTM): —
52-Week Range: $4.45 - $13.88

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

5.8 Year CERT Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): -75.3% (-21.40% CAGR)
Total Return (no DRIP): -75.3% (-21.40% CAGR)
Share Price: -75.3% (-21.40% CAGR)
Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —
Total Invested: $10,000
Total Value (with DRIP): $2,474
Total Return $ (with DRIP): -$7,526
CERT Total Return
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
CERT Price Chart
1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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CERT Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

CERT - Revenue
CERT Revenue CAGR:1Y: -10.81%2Y: -0.02%5Y: 5.88%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Earnings Per Share (EPS)
CERT EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Net Income
CERT Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - EBITDA
CERT EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -60.32%2Y: 9.38%5Y: -5.35%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Free Cash Flow
CERT Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: -47.41%2Y: 0.16%5Y: -8.06%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Free Cash Flow / Share
CERT Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: -45.17%2Y: 2.13%5Y: -9.47%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Operating Income
CERT Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Gross Profit
CERT Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: -8.93%2Y: 4.25%5Y: 6.44%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Shares Outstanding
CERT Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -4.08%2Y: -1.93%5Y: 0.91%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Share Buybacks
CERT Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: -30.44%2Y: 56.86%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Stock-Based Comp
CERT Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -26.09%2Y: -21.07%5Y: -4.14%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Expenses
CERT Expenses CAGR:1Y: 870.31%2Y: 20.60%5Y: 16.53%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Revenue by Segment
CERT Revenue CAGR:1Y: -10.81%2Y: -0.02%5Y: 5.88%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Revenue by Region
CERT Revenue CAGR:1Y: -10.81%2Y: -0.02%5Y: 5.88%10Y: 0.00%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

CERT - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates
CERT Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: -10.81%2Y: -0.02%5Y: 5.88%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - EPS: Actual + Estimates
CERT Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates
CERT Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates
CERT Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: -60.32%2Y: 9.38%5Y: -5.35%10Y: 0.00%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

CERT - Net Profit Margin
CERT Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Gross Profit Margin
CERT Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 2.10%2Y: 4.27%5Y: 0.53%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Price to Earnings
CERT Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Price To Sales Ratio
CERT Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -39.79%2Y: -32.03%5Y: -28.43%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Return on Capital Employed
CERT Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%
CERT - Return on Invested Capital
CERT Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

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Projected Future Returns & Dividends for CERT

Based on past 5.8-year performance, here are CERT growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -21.4%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using CERT CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

CERT (DRIP)CERT - No DRIP
Current Price$9.42$9.42
Start Shares1,061.571,061.57
Start Value$10,000$10,000
  
After 10 years:
Final Share Count1,061.571,061.57
Dividends Payment$0.00$0.00
Annual Dividends$0$0
Yield on cost0.00%0.00%
Share Price$0.85$9.42
Total Dividends$0$0
Final Value$900$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - CERT

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on CERT's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 5.8 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Certara, Inc. (CERT) had its IPO on 2020-12-11, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

Certara, Inc. provides advanced software solutions and technology-driven services, specializing in biosimulation throughout the entire drug development lifecycle. From initial drug discovery and preclinical research to clinical trials, regulatory submissions, and market entry, the company's core mission is to accelerate the delivery of new medicines to patients by transforming these processes with its innovative biosimulation software and expertise. Its extensive portfolio of technology-enabled services includes mechanistic and empirical biosimulation, strategic guidance for drug development and regulatory affairs, clinical pharmacology, model-based meta-analysis, specialized regulatory writing and medical communications, regulatory operations support, and market access consultation. Furthermore, Certara offers a robust suite of software platforms covering mechanistic and empirical PK/PD biosimulation, data standardization and compliance, scientific informatics, clinical outcomes databases for biosimulation, authoring and management of regulatory submissions, and market access communication. The company's clientele primarily comprises biopharmaceutical firms, academic institutions, and governmental organizations. Established in 2008 and headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey, Certara maintains a significant global presence, with operations spanning numerous countries including the United States, Canada, Spain, Luxembourg, Portugal, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, the Netherlands, Denmark, Switzerland, Italy, Poland, Japan, the Philippines, India, Australia, and China.

CERT website: https://www.certara.com


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DCF Model — CERT

Value from:
Pay up to today
—
vs current price $9.42
—
Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today
—
grows for the next years
Then mature
—
every future dollar counted back to today
Pile of today-dollars
—
÷ shares
Implied price path
YearFCFImplied price
Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →