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GDS | NASDAQ

$31.28 -$0.38 | -1.20%

SIGNAL:

|2026-09-29 |F&G 43 |RSI 48.1

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $6.27B

Trailing PE: 2.2x

FWD PE *: 10.5x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $26.97 - $48.61

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

9.9 Year GDS Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 200.5% (11.75% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 200.5% (11.75% CAGR)

Share Price: 200.5% (11.75% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $30,048

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $20,048

GDS Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

GDS Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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GDS Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

GDS - Revenue

GDS Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.17%2Y: 4.38%5Y: 10.56%10Y: 29.28%

GDS - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

GDS EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Net Income

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GDS Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - EBITDA

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GDS EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 0.65%2Y: 4.08%5Y: 10.42%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Free Cash Flow

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GDS Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Free Cash Flow / Share

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GDS Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Operating Income

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GDS Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 5.63%2Y: 17.79%5Y: 24.41%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Gross Profit

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GDS Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: -12.92%2Y: -3.02%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Shares Outstanding

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GDS Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 38.31%2Y: 18.83%5Y: 7.44%10Y: 5.14%

GDS - Share Buybacks

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GDS Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Stock-Based Comp

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GDS Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Expenses

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GDS Expenses CAGR:1Y: -1.68%2Y: -20.37%5Y: -7.82%10Y: 24.04%

GDS - Revenue vs Net Income

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GDS - EPS vs FCF / Share

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GDS - EPS vs PE Ratio

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GDS - FCF vs FCF / Share

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GDS - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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GDS - Cash & Debt

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GDS - Revenue by Segment

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GDS Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.17%2Y: 4.38%5Y: 10.56%10Y: 29.28%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

GDS - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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GDS Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 6.17%2Y: 4.38%5Y: 10.56%10Y: 29.28%

GDS - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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GDS Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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GDS Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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GDS Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 0.65%2Y: 4.08%5Y: 10.42%10Y: 0.00%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

GDS - Net Profit Margin

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GDS Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Gross Profit Margin

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GDS Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -17.98%2Y: -7.10%5Y: -3.76%10Y: -2.77%

GDS - Price to Earnings

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GDS Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Price To Sales Ratio

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GDS Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -11.20%2Y: 389.36%5Y: -24.15%10Y: -12.32%

GDS - Return on Capital Employed

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GDS Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 1.98%2Y: 14.64%5Y: 17.19%10Y: 0.00%

GDS - Return on Invested Capital

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GDS Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: -13.61%5Y: 6.04%10Y: 0.00%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for GDS

Based on past 9.9-year performance, here are GDS growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +11.75%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using GDS CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	GDS (DRIP)	GDS - No DRIP
Current Price	$31.28	$31.28
Start Shares	319.69	319.69
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	319.69	319.69
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$31.28	$31.28
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$10,000	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - GDS

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on GDS's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 9.9 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) had its IPO on 2016-11-02, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

GDS Holdings Limited, operating with its subsidiaries, specializes in the development and management of data center facilities across the People's Republic of China. The company offers a wide range of services, including colocation—providing crucial physical space, reliable power, server racks, and cooling infrastructure. It also delivers comprehensive managed hosting solutions such as business continuity and disaster recovery, network administration, secure data storage, system security, and dedicated support for operating systems, databases, and server middleware. Furthermore, GDS provides managed cloud offerings and professional consulting services. Its varied customer base comprises leading cloud service providers, major internet firms, financial institutions, telecommunications and IT service companies, alongside significant domestic private sector entities and multinational corporations. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

GDS website: https://www.gds-services.com

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DCF Model — GDS

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $31.28

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →