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HighPeak Energy, Inc. HPK | NASDAQ

$8.16 $0.37 | 4.75%

SIGNAL:

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|2026-09-25 |F&G 45 |RSI 53.8

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $1.03B

Trailing PE: N/A

FWD PE: —

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $3.85 - $9.13

8.3 Year HPK Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): -11.2% (-1.42% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): -9.1% (-1.15% CAGR)

Share Price: -15.8% (-2.05% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 1.74%

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $8,884

Total Return $ (with DRIP): -$1,116

Dividend Increase: 60.0% (11.32% CAGR)

Dividend Yield (FWD): 1.96% ($0.16)

HPK 8.3-yr Total Return ($10K invested)

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

HPK Share Price

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

HPK Price CAGR:1Y: 15.42%2Y: -23.33%5Y: -1.94%10Y: -2.04%

HPK Dividend Charts

HPK - Dividends

HPK Dividend CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 26.49%5Y: -18.86%10Y: -18.86%

HPK - Dividend Payout Ratio

HPK Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio

HPK Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

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HPK Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

HPK - Revenue

HPK Revenue CAGR:1Y: 35.94%2Y: -0.52%5Y: 41.36%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

HPK EPS CAGR:1Y: 210.53%2Y: 67.62%5Y: 57.96%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Net Income

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HPK Net Income CAGR:1Y: 214.31%2Y: 66.39%5Y: 70.30%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - EBITDA

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HPK EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 16.68%2Y: -4.09%5Y: 52.39%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Free Cash Flow

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HPK Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 16.09%2Y: -23.79%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Free Cash Flow / Share

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HPK Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 13.82%2Y: -24.11%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Operating Income

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HPK Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 84.70%2Y: -4.10%5Y: 30.70%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Gross Profit

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HPK Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 294.46%2Y: 46.31%5Y: 53.98%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Shares Outstanding

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HPK Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 0.25%2Y: -1.10%5Y: 6.41%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Share Buybacks

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HPK Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Stock-Based Comp

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HPK Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 886.36%2Y: -52.05%5Y: -3.23%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Expenses

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HPK Expenses CAGR:1Y: -13.41%2Y: -20.54%5Y: 18.65%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Revenue vs Net Income

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HPK - EPS vs FCF / Share

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HPK - EPS vs PE Ratio

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HPK - FCF vs FCF / Share

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HPK - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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HPK - Cash & Debt

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HPK - Revenue by Segment

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HPK Revenue CAGR:1Y: 35.94%2Y: -0.52%5Y: 41.36%10Y: 0.00%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

HPK - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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HPK Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 35.94%2Y: -0.52%5Y: 41.36%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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HPK Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 210.53%2Y: 67.62%5Y: 57.96%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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HPK Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 214.31%2Y: 66.39%5Y: 70.30%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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HPK Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 16.68%2Y: -4.09%5Y: 52.39%10Y: 0.00%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

HPK - Net Profit Margin

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HPK Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 131.24%2Y: 67.22%5Y: 20.47%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Gross Profit Margin

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HPK Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 190.14%2Y: 47.07%5Y: 8.93%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Price to Earnings

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HPK Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -77.03%2Y: -55.24%5Y: -40.95%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Price To Sales Ratio

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HPK Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: -46.48%2Y: -28.72%5Y: -30.25%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Return on Capital Employed

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HPK Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 89.83%2Y: -4.38%5Y: -6.07%10Y: 0.00%

HPK - Return on Invested Capital

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HPK Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 96.34%2Y: 6.19%5Y: -7.68%10Y: 0.00%

HPK Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $0.16

Forward Yield: 1.96%

Ex-Dividend Date: 2025-12-01

Lifetime Dividends / Share: $0.65

HPK Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all HPK dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date	Payment Date	Amount	Yield	Forward Yield	Price on Ex-Date
12/01/2025	12/23/2025	$0.040	2.33%	3.71%	$4.31
09/02/2025	09/25/2025	$0.040	2.04%	2.19%	$7.30
06/02/2025	06/25/2025	$0.040	1.58%	1.65%	$9.71
03/03/2025	03/25/2025	$0.040	1.34%	1.27%	$12.64
12/02/2024	12/23/2024	$0.040	1.06%	1.11%	$14.41
09/03/2024	09/25/2024	$0.040	1.05%	1.07%	$14.98
06/03/2024	06/25/2024	$0.040	1.07%	1.14%	$14.00
02/29/2024	03/25/2024	$0.040	0.97%	1%	$16.07
10/31/2023	11/22/2023	$0.025	0.56%	0.62%	$16.10
08/07/2023	08/25/2023	$0.025	0.71%	0.73%	$13.65
04/28/2023	05/25/2023	$0.025	0.51%	0.7%	$14.30
01/31/2023	02/24/2023	$0.025	0.36%	0.36%	$27.41
10/31/2022	11/23/2022	$0.025	0.43%	0.44%	$22.78
07/29/2022	08/25/2022	$0.025	0.41%	0.35%	$28.17
04/29/2022	05/25/2022	$0.025	0.37%	0.34%	$29.15
01/31/2022	02/25/2022	$0.025	0.56%	0.47%	$21.25
10/14/2021	10/25/2021	$0.025	0.8%	0.77%	$12.95
07/14/2021	07/26/2021	$0.100	3.69%	3.54%	$11.30

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for HPK

Based on past 8.3-year performance, here are HPK growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -2.05%
Dividend CAGR of -18.76%

Using HPK CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	HPK (DRIP)	HPK - No DRIP
Current Price	$8.16	$8.16
Start Shares	1,225.49	1,225.49
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	1,350.43	1,225.49
Dividends Payment	$0.01	$0.01
Annual Dividends	$27	$25
Yield on cost	0.27%	0.25%
Share Price	$6.63	$6.63
Total Dividends	$957	$914
Final Value	$8,959	$9,044

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - HPK

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on HPK's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 8.3 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) had its IPO on 2018-05-29, and is traded on NASDAQ stock exchange.

HighPeak Energy, Inc. operates as an independent energy company, primarily focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and extraction of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Its principal area of operations is the Midland Basin within West Texas. As of the close of 2021 (December 31st), the company reported proved reserves totaling approximately 64,213 MBoe. HighPeak Energy was established in 2019 and maintains its corporate headquarters in Fort Worth, Texas.

HPK website: https://www.highpeakenergy.com

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DCF Model — HPK

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $8.16

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →

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