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NCLH | NYSE

$15.14 $0.50 | 3.42%

SIGNAL:

|2026-08-07 |F&G 21 |RSI 46.4

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $6.95B

Trailing PE: 9.5x

FWD PE *: 11.5x

Payout Ratio (TTM): —

52-Week Range: $13.63 - $25.13

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year NCLH Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): -59.9% (-8.74% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): -59.9% (-8.74% CAGR)

Share Price: -59.9% (-8.74% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): —

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $4,007

Total Return $ (with DRIP): -$5,993

NCLH Total Return

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

NCLH Price Chart

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

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NCLH Fundamentals: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

NCLH - Revenue

NCLH Revenue CAGR:1Y: 4.89%2Y: 5.50%5Y: 259.98%10Y: 8.33%

NCLH - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

NCLH EPS CAGR:1Y: 617.49%2Y: 22.47%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -2.84%

NCLH - Net Income

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NCLH Net Income CAGR:1Y: 642.04%2Y: 16.69%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 4.36%

NCLH - EBITDA

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NCLH EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 56.05%2Y: 8.55%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 7.87%

NCLH - Free Cash Flow

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NCLH Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: -61.99%2Y: -33.76%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

NCLH - Free Cash Flow / Share

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NCLH Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: -54.75%2Y: -28.47%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

NCLH - Operating Income

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NCLH Operating Income CAGR:1Y: -14.28%2Y: 3.14%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 4.82%

NCLH - Gross Profit

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NCLH Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: -0.65%2Y: 7.15%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 8.16%

NCLH - Shares Outstanding

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NCLH Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: 4.52%2Y: -4.96%5Y: 4.63%10Y: 7.37%

NCLH - Share Buybacks

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NCLH Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

NCLH - Stock-Based Comp

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NCLH Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: -12.22%2Y: -0.55%5Y: 0.25%10Y: 3.44%

NCLH - Expenses

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NCLH Expenses CAGR:1Y: 37.18%2Y: 15.91%5Y: 21.46%10Y: -3.19%

NCLH - Revenue vs Net Income

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NCLH - EPS vs FCF / Share

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NCLH - EPS vs PE Ratio

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NCLH - FCF vs FCF / Share

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NCLH - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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NCLH - Cash & Debt

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NCLH - Revenue by Segment

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NCLH Revenue CAGR:1Y: 4.89%2Y: 5.50%5Y: 259.98%10Y: 8.33%

NCLH - Revenue by Region

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NCLH Revenue CAGR:1Y: 4.89%2Y: 5.50%5Y: 259.98%10Y: 8.33%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

NCLH - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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NCLH Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 4.89%2Y: 5.50%5Y: 259.98%10Y: 8.33%

NCLH - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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NCLH Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 617.49%2Y: 22.47%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -2.84%

NCLH - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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NCLH Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 642.04%2Y: 16.69%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 4.36%

NCLH - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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NCLH Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 56.05%2Y: 8.55%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 7.87%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

NCLH - Net Profit Margin

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NCLH Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: 608.40%2Y: 10.61%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -3.66%

NCLH - Gross Profit Margin

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NCLH Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -5.27%2Y: 1.58%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -0.15%

NCLH - Price to Earnings

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NCLH Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: -85.43%2Y: -3.30%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -3.42%

NCLH - Price To Sales Ratio

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NCLH Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 2.65%2Y: 6.43%5Y: -72.86%10Y: -7.04%

NCLH - Return on Capital Employed

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NCLH Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: -26.31%2Y: -9.97%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -0.64%

NCLH - Return on Invested Capital

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NCLH Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: -25.19%2Y: -8.20%5Y: 0.00%10Y: -0.95%

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for NCLH

Based on past 10-year performance, here are NCLH growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of -8.74%
Dividend CAGR of +0%

Using NCLH CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	NCLH (DRIP)	NCLH - No DRIP
Current Price	$15.14	$15.14
Start Shares	660.50	660.50
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	660.50	660.50
Dividends Payment	$0.00	$0.00
Annual Dividends	$0	$0
Yield on cost	0.00%	0.00%
Share Price	$6.07	$15.14
Total Dividends	$0	$0
Final Value	$4,007	$10,000

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - NCLH

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on NCLH's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) had its IPO on 2013-01-18, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH), along with its subsidiary companies, operates as a major global cruise enterprise. Its operations span North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific region, and other international markets. The company manages a portfolio of three distinct cruise brands: Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises. NCLH offers an extensive range of voyages, from brief three-day excursions to lengthy 180-day expeditions. These itineraries explore a comprehensive list of destinations worldwide, including Scandinavia, Russia, the Mediterranean, and the Greek Isles; the Alaskan wilderness, Canada and New England; Hawaii, Asia, Tahiti, and the South Pacific; Australia and New Zealand; Africa, India, and South America; as well as the Panama Canal and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2021, the company commanded a fleet of 28 ships, providing approximately 59,150 berths for guests. Its travel products are distributed through multiple channels, including independent retail/travel advisors, direct sales onboard its ships, and specialized services for meetings, incentives, and private charters. Founded in 1966, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. maintains its corporate headquarters in Miami, Florida.

NCLH website: https://www.nclhltd.com

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DCF Model — NCLH

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $15.14

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →