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Union Pacific Corporation UNP | NYSE

$275.07 $0.39 | 0.14%

TREND SIGNAL: Signal available — unlock to view

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|2026-09-01

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Company Overview:

Market Cap: $163.18B

Trailing PE: 22.3x

FWD PE *: 20.3x

Payout Ratio (TTM): 44.7%

52-Week Range: $215.53 - $315.99

* Forward PE is based on street estimates.

10 Year UNP Performance Metrics:

Total Return (with DRIP): 246.2% (13.22% CAGR)

Total Return (no DRIP): 223.4% (12.45% CAGR)

Share Price: 180.5% (10.86% CAGR)

Yield on Cost (with DRIP): 7.15%

Total Invested: $10,000

Total Value (with DRIP): $34,618

Total Return $ (with DRIP): $24,618

Dividend Increase: 128.1% (8.82% CAGR)

Dividend Yield (FWD): 2.06% ($5.68)

UNP 10-yr Total Return ($10K invested)

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y

UNP Share Price

1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y All

UNP Price CAGR:1Y: 18.23%2Y: 7.61%5Y: 4.91%10Y: 10.86%

UNP Dividend Charts

UNP - Dividends

UNP Dividend CAGR:1Y: 2.90%2Y: 2.94%5Y: 5.82%10Y: 9.95%

UNP - Dividend Payout Ratio

UNP Dividend Payout Ratio CAGR:1Y: -3.03%2Y: -6.89%5Y: 1.09%10Y: -1.33%

UNP - Dividend to Free Cash Flow Ratio

UNP Dividend to FCF Ratio CAGR:1Y: -34.67%2Y: -31.22%5Y: -3.12%10Y: -9.64%

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UNP Financials: Earnings, Revenue, Cash Flow, Ebitda, Cash/Debt, Shares Float, etc:

UNP - Revenue

UNP Revenue CAGR:1Y: 11.54%2Y: 6.90%5Y: 4.52%10Y: 3.71%

UNP - Earnings Per Share (EPS)

UNP EPS CAGR:1Y: 6.67%2Y: 10.74%5Y: 4.32%10Y: 11.13%

UNP - Net Income

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UNP Net Income CAGR:1Y: 6.24%2Y: 9.15%5Y: 2.08%10Y: 7.37%

UNP - EBITDA

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UNP EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 7.28%2Y: 6.23%5Y: 6.18%10Y: 4.88%

UNP - Free Cash Flow

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UNP Free Cash Flow CAGR:1Y: 57.70%2Y: 47.76%5Y: 6.51%10Y: 17.24%

UNP - Free Cash Flow / Share

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UNP Free Cash Flow / Share CAGR:1Y: 57.88%2Y: 49.74%5Y: 8.75%10Y: 21.35%

UNP - Operating Income

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UNP Operating Income CAGR:1Y: 9.73%2Y: 7.48%5Y: 2.24%10Y: 5.23%

UNP - Gross Profit

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UNP Gross Profit CAGR:1Y: 10.15%2Y: 7.03%5Y: 2.54%10Y: 5.08%

UNP - Shares Outstanding

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UNP Shares Outstanding CAGR:1Y: -0.13%2Y: -1.34%5Y: -2.09%10Y: -3.41%

UNP - Share Buybacks

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UNP Share Buybacks CAGR:1Y: -97.29%2Y: -49.01%5Y: -61.66%10Y: -26.25%

UNP - Stock-Based Comp

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UNP Stock-Based Comp CAGR:1Y: 0.00%2Y: 0.00%5Y: 0.00%10Y: 0.00%

UNP - Expenses

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UNP Expenses CAGR:1Y: -6.73%2Y: -1.62%5Y: 5.95%10Y: -0.34%

UNP - Revenue vs Net Income

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UNP - EPS vs FCF / Share

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UNP - EPS vs PE Ratio

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UNP - FCF vs FCF / Share

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UNP - FCF vs Stock Based Comp

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UNP - Cash & Debt

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UNP - Revenue by Segment

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UNP Revenue CAGR:1Y: 11.54%2Y: 6.90%5Y: 4.52%10Y: 3.71%

UNP - Revenue by Region

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UNP Revenue CAGR:1Y: 11.54%2Y: 6.90%5Y: 4.52%10Y: 3.71%

Revenue, EPS, Net Income & Ebitda - Estimates VS Actual:

UNP - REVENUE: Actual + Estimates

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UNP Actual Revenue CAGR:1Y: 11.54%2Y: 6.90%5Y: 4.52%10Y: 3.71%

UNP - EPS: Actual + Estimates

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UNP Actual EPS CAGR:1Y: 6.67%2Y: 10.74%5Y: 4.32%10Y: 11.13%

UNP - NET INCOME: Actual + Estimates

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UNP Actual Net Income CAGR:1Y: 6.24%2Y: 9.15%5Y: 2.08%10Y: 7.37%

UNP - EBITDA: Actual + Estimates

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UNP Actual EBITDA CAGR:1Y: 7.28%2Y: 6.23%5Y: 6.18%10Y: 4.88%

Ratios, Profit Margins & Return on Capital:

UNP - Net Profit Margin

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UNP Net Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -4.72%2Y: 2.11%5Y: -2.33%10Y: 3.53%

UNP - Gross Profit Margin

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UNP Gross Profit Margin CAGR:1Y: -1.24%2Y: 0.13%5Y: -1.89%10Y: 1.32%

UNP - Price to Earnings

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UNP Price to Earnings CAGR:1Y: 11.18%2Y: -0.58%5Y: 0.10%10Y: 0.82%

UNP - Price To Sales Ratio

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UNP Price To Sales Ratio CAGR:1Y: 5.87%2Y: 1.53%5Y: -2.22%10Y: 4.38%

UNP - Return on Capital Employed

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UNP Return on Capital Employed CAGR:1Y: 3.92%2Y: 5.77%5Y: -0.34%10Y: 2.93%

UNP - Return on Invested Capital

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UNP Return on Invested Capital CAGR:1Y: 2.13%2Y: 6.38%5Y: -5.79%10Y: 0.96%

UNP Dividends Info:

Annual Dividend: $5.68

Forward Yield: 2.06%

Ex-Dividend Date: 2026-08-31

Lifetime Dividends / Share: $60.59

UNP Dividend History: Dates, Payments & Yield list

Below is a schedule of all UNP dividend payments, ex-dates, share price on the day of the payment as well as the annualized yield & forward yield

Ex-Date	Payment Date	Amount	Yield	Forward Yield	Price on Ex-Date
08/31/2026	09/02/2026	$1.420	1.89%	1.96%	$289.73
05/29/2026	06/01/2026	$1.380	2.1%	2.09%	$263.50
02/27/2026	03/02/2026	$1.380	2.08%	2.07%	$266.97
12/05/2025	12/08/2025	$1.380	2.35%	2.34%	$235.44
08/29/2025	09/01/2025	$1.380	2.47%	2.34%	$236.37
05/30/2025	06/02/2025	$1.340	2.42%	2.45%	$218.89
02/28/2025	03/03/2025	$1.340	2.17%	2.18%	$245.81
12/09/2024	12/11/2024	$1.340	2.3%	2.29%	$233.78
08/30/2024	09/02/2024	$1.340	2.09%	2.17%	$246.48
05/31/2024	06/03/2024	$1.300	2.23%	2.28%	$228.32
02/28/2024	03/01/2024	$1.300	2.05%	2.06%	$252.98
12/07/2023	12/11/2023	$1.300	2.25%	2.24%	$232.03
08/30/2023	09/01/2023	$1.300	2.33%	2.35%	$221.03
05/30/2023	06/01/2023	$1.300	2.68%	2.66%	$195.68
02/27/2023	03/01/2023	$1.300	2.45%	2.5%	$207.99
12/16/2022	12/29/2022	$1.300	2.47%	2.49%	$209.22
08/30/2022	09/30/2022	$1.300	2.31%	2.67%	$194.82
05/27/2022	06/30/2022	$1.300	2.34%	2.44%	$213.28
02/25/2022	03/31/2022	$1.180	1.92%	1.73%	$273.21
12/17/2021	12/30/2021	$1.180	1.94%	1.89%	$249.54
08/30/2021	09/30/2021	$1.070	1.95%	2.18%	$196.01
05/27/2021	06/30/2021	$1.070	1.91%	1.95%	$219.93
02/25/2021	03/31/2021	$0.970	1.86%	1.76%	$220.41
11/27/2020	12/30/2020	$0.970	1.89%	1.88%	$205.98
08/28/2020	09/30/2020	$0.970	1.99%	1.97%	$196.87
05/28/2020	06/30/2020	$0.970	2.28%	2.29%	$169.07
02/27/2020	03/31/2020	$0.970	2.43%	2.75%	$141.04
11/27/2019	12/30/2019	$0.970	2.19%	2.15%	$180.15
08/29/2019	09/30/2019	$0.970	2.4%	2.4%	$161.98
05/30/2019	06/28/2019	$0.880	2.08%	2.08%	$169.11
02/27/2019	03/29/2019	$0.880	2.08%	2.11%	$167.20
11/29/2018	12/28/2018	$0.800	2.13%	2.34%	$136.78
08/30/2018	09/28/2018	$0.800	2.14%	1.97%	$162.83
05/30/2018	06/29/2018	$0.730	2%	2.06%	$141.68
02/27/2018	03/30/2018	$0.730	2.18%	2.19%	$133.10
11/29/2017	12/28/2017	$0.665	2.16%	1.97%	$135.12
08/29/2017	09/29/2017	$0.605	2.31%	2.09%	$115.97
05/26/2017	06/30/2017	$0.605	2.19%	2.22%	$108.91
02/24/2017	03/31/2017	$0.605	2.25%	2.28%	$105.92
11/28/2016	12/29/2016	$0.605	2.4%	2.32%	$104.42
08/29/2016	09/30/2016	$0.550	2.29%	2.26%	$97.53
05/26/2016	06/30/2016	$0.550	2.67%	2.52%	$87.25
02/25/2016	03/31/2016	$0.550	2.77%	2.77%	$79.55
11/25/2015	12/30/2015	$0.550	2.6%	2.8%	$78.51
08/27/2015	09/30/2015	$0.550	2.55%	2.49%	$88.41
05/27/2015	06/30/2015	$0.550	2.14%	2.31%	$95.37
02/25/2015	03/30/2015	$0.550	1.8%	2%	$110.09
11/28/2014	01/02/2015	$0.500	1.71%	1.69%	$118.61
08/27/2014	10/01/2014	$0.500	1.9%	1.89%	$105.80
06/12/2014	07/01/2014	$0.455	1.81%	1.82%	$100.10
02/26/2014	04/01/2014	$0.455	2.05%	1.93%	$94.22
11/29/2013	01/02/2014	$0.395	1.95%	1.89%	$83.56
08/28/2013	10/01/2013	$0.395	2.05%	2.02%	$78.34
05/29/2013	07/01/2013	$0.345	1.77%	1.78%	$77.71
02/26/2013	04/01/2013	$0.345	2.06%	1.97%	$70.05
11/28/2012	01/02/2013	$0.345	2.25%	2.15%	$64.23
08/29/2012	10/01/2012	$0.300	1.95%	2.02%	$59.26
05/29/2012	07/02/2012	$0.300	2.13%	2.02%	$59.28
02/27/2012	04/02/2012	$0.300	2.13%	2.19%	$54.80
11/28/2011	01/02/2012	$0.300	2.44%	2.22%	$54.00
08/29/2011	10/03/2011	$0.238	2.09%	2.38%	$39.92
05/26/2011	07/01/2011	$0.238	1.84%	1.78%	$53.38
02/24/2011	04/01/2011	$0.190	1.62%	1.55%	$49.13
11/26/2010	01/03/2011	$0.190	1.69%	1.62%	$46.85
08/27/2010	10/01/2010	$0.165	1.79%	1.63%	$40.51
05/26/2010	07/01/2010	$0.165	1.88%	1.9%	$34.76
02/24/2010	04/01/2010	$0.135	1.61%	1.47%	$36.83
11/25/2009	01/04/2010	$0.135	1.67%	1.65%	$32.70
08/27/2009	10/01/2009	$0.135	1.78%	1.86%	$29.03
05/27/2009	07/01/2009	$0.135	2.38%	2.05%	$26.38
02/25/2009	04/01/2009	$0.135	2.79%	2.6%	$20.80
11/26/2008	01/02/2009	$0.135	2.13%	2.15%	$25.07
08/27/2008	10/01/2008	$0.135	1.31%	1.56%	$34.72
06/04/2008	07/01/2008	$0.110	1.11%	1.19%	$36.83
03/10/2008	04/01/2008	$0.110	1.48%	1.38%	$31.99
11/27/2007	01/02/2008	$0.110	1.41%	1.42%	$31.06
08/28/2007	10/01/2007	$0.088	1.31%	1.22%	$28.58
05/25/2007	07/02/2007	$0.088	1.19%	1.2%	$29.06
02/26/2007	04/02/2007	$0.088	1.38%	1.37%	$25.49
11/28/2006	01/02/2007	$0.075	1.34%	1.3%	$23.12
08/29/2006	10/02/2006	$0.075	1.5%	1.38%	$21.79
05/26/2006	07/03/2006	$0.075	1.29%	1.3%	$23.06
03/06/2006	04/03/2006	$0.075	1.36%	1.27%	$23.67
12/12/2005	01/02/2006	$0.075	1.59%	1.5%	$20.04
09/12/2005	10/03/2005	$0.075	1.77%	1.68%	$17.91
06/06/2005	07/01/2005	$0.075	1.82%	1.85%	$16.25
03/07/2005	04/01/2005	$0.075	1.82%	1.75%	$17.17
12/06/2004	01/03/2005	$0.075	1.89%	1.78%	$16.86
09/03/2004	10/01/2004	$0.075	2.1%	2.02%	$14.87
06/07/2004	07/01/2004	$0.075	2%	2.03%	$14.77
03/08/2004	04/01/2004	$0.075	1.94%	2.01%	$14.94
12/08/2003	01/02/2004	$0.075	1.84%	1.74%	$17.27
09/08/2003	10/01/2003	$0.058	1.51%	1.56%	$14.72
06/09/2003	07/01/2003	$0.058	1.53%	1.58%	$14.54
03/10/2003	04/01/2003	$0.058	1.74%	1.65%	$13.98
12/09/2002	01/02/2003	$0.058	1.55%	1.5%	$15.30
09/09/2002	10/01/2002	$0.050	1.35%	1.33%	$15.07
06/10/2002	07/01/2002	$0.050	1.27%	1.24%	$16.15
03/11/2002	04/01/2002	$0.050	1.29%	1.32%	$15.19
12/10/2001	01/02/2002	$0.050	1.45%	1.41%	$14.15
09/10/2001	10/01/2001	$0.050	1.53%	1.76%	$11.36
06/11/2001	07/02/2001	$0.050	1.44%	1.45%	$13.75
03/12/2001	04/02/2001	$0.050	1.42%	1.4%	$14.31
12/11/2000	01/02/2001	$0.050	1.71%	1.58%	$12.66
09/11/2000	10/02/2000	$0.050	2.09%	2.09%	$9.58
06/12/2000	07/03/2000	$0.050	1.88%	2.09%	$9.56
03/13/2000	04/03/2000	$0.050	2.27%	2.06%	$9.69
12/06/1999	01/03/2000	$0.050	1.71%	1.86%	$10.77
09/03/1999	10/01/1999	$0.050	1.64%	1.73%	$11.58
06/07/1999	07/01/1999	$0.050	1.34%	1.35%	$14.80
03/08/1999	04/01/1999	$0.050	1.65%	1.52%	$13.16
12/07/1998	01/04/1999	$0.050	1.64%	1.78%	$11.23
09/04/1998	10/01/1998	$0.050	2.01%	1.87%	$10.69
06/08/1998	07/01/1998	$0.050	1.73%	1.84%	$10.89
03/09/1998	04/01/1998	$0.050	1.59%	1.42%	$14.06
12/08/1997	01/02/1998	$0.108	2.73%	2.76%	$15.56
09/08/1997	10/01/1997	$0.108	2.73%	2.72%	$15.81
06/09/1997	07/01/1997	$0.108	2.54%	2.45%	$17.56
03/10/1997	04/01/1997	$0.108	2.79%	3.03%	$14.19
12/16/1996	01/02/1997	$0.108	3.02%	2.9%	$14.84
09/06/1996	10/01/1996	$0.072	2.42%	2.36%	$12.25
06/10/1996	07/01/1996	$0.072	2.44%	2.38%	$12.17
03/11/1996	04/01/1996	$0.072	2.5%	2.54%	$11.37
12/20/1995	01/02/1996	$0.072	2.65%	2.56%	$11.30
09/11/1995	10/02/1995	$0.072	2.53%	2.61%	$11.09
06/12/1995	07/03/1995	$0.072	3.29%	3.08%	$9.39
03/09/1995	04/03/1995	$0.072	3.43%	3.09%	$9.35
12/08/1994	01/03/1995	$0.072	3.82%	3.67%	$7.88
09/08/1994	10/03/1994	$0.072	3.01%	3.22%	$8.97
06/09/1994	07/01/1994	$0.067	2.77%	2.86%	$9.41
03/10/1994	04/01/1994	$0.067	2.75%	2.83%	$9.50
12/02/1993	01/03/1994	$0.067	2.59%	2.56%	$10.51
09/01/1993	10/01/1993	$0.067	2.46%	2.53%	$10.63
06/03/1993	07/01/1993	$0.062	2.43%	2.44%	$10.19
03/04/1993	04/01/1993	$0.062	2.47%	2.41%	$10.34
12/03/1992	01/04/1993	$0.062	2.51%	2.49%	$9.98
09/02/1992	10/01/1992	$0.062	2.85%	2.73%	$9.10
06/04/1992	07/01/1992	$0.057	2.53%	2.67%	$8.57
03/05/1992	04/01/1992	$0.057	2.88%	2.87%	$7.96
11/27/1991	01/02/1992	$0.014	0.76%	0.68%	$8.45
09/10/1991	10/01/1991	$0.057	3.1%	2.86%	$7.98
06/06/1991	07/01/1991	$0.053	2.79%	2.93%	$7.18
03/07/1991	04/01/1991	$0.053	3.23%	3.47%	$6.06
12/06/1990	01/02/1991	$0.053	3.64%	3.57%	$5.88
08/29/1990	10/01/1990	$0.049	3.24%	3.46%	$5.64
06/07/1990	07/02/1990	$0.049	3.15%	3.32%	$5.87
03/01/1990	04/02/1990	$0.049	3.06%	3.22%	$6.06
12/07/1989	01/02/1990	$0.049	3.18%	2.91%	$6.70
09/07/1989	10/02/1989	$0.046	2.82%	2.82%	$6.55
06/05/1989	07/03/1989	$0.046	3.04%	3.09%	$5.98
03/02/1989	04/03/1989	$0.046	3.26%	3.33%	$5.55
11/23/1988	01/03/1989	$0.046	3.57%	3.45%	$5.36
09/08/1988	10/03/1988	$0.046	3.92%	3.76%	$4.92
06/02/1988	06/06/1988	$0.042	3.02%	3.03%	$5.55
02/23/1988	04/01/1988	$0.042	3.4%	3.2%	$5.26
11/25/1987	01/04/1988	$0.042	3.79%	3.49%	$4.82
09/02/1987	10/01/1987	$0.042	2.59%	2.51%	$6.70
08/06/1987	08/10/1987	$0.017	0.96%	0.95%	$7.05
06/04/1987	07/01/1987	$0.042	2.72%	2.59%	$6.49
03/05/1987	04/01/1987	$0.042	2.65%	2.66%	$6.32
11/26/1986	01/02/1987	$0.042	3.17%	3.16%	$5.32
09/04/1986	09/08/1986	$0.038	2.91%	3%	$5.04
06/05/1986	07/01/1986	$0.038	3.34%	3.16%	$4.79
03/06/1986	04/01/1986	$0.038	3.53%	3.34%	$4.53
11/27/1985	01/02/1986	$0.038	3.57%	3.32%	$4.56
09/05/1985	10/01/1985	$0.038	3.73%	3.75%	$4.03
06/06/1985	07/01/1985	$0.038	3.64%	3.76%	$4.02
03/07/1985	04/01/1985	$0.038	3.75%	3.61%	$4.19
12/06/1984	01/02/1985	$0.038	4.66%	4.49%	$3.37
09/06/1984	10/01/1984	$0.038	4.57%	4.48%	$3.38
05/03/1984	07/02/1984	$0.038	3.75%	4.74%	$3.19
03/01/1984	03/05/1984	$0.038	3.87%	3.88%	$3.90
11/23/1983	11/25/1983	$0.038	0%	3.52%	$4.30
08/31/1983	09/02/1983	$0.038	0%	3.52%	$4.30
06/02/1983	06/06/1983	$0.038	0%	3.52%	$4.30
03/03/1983	03/07/1983	$0.038	0%	3.52%	$4.30
11/24/1982	11/26/1982	$0.038	0%	3.52%	$4.30
09/01/1982	09/03/1982	$0.038	0%	3.52%	$4.30
06/03/1982	06/07/1982	$0.038	0%	3.52%	$4.30
03/04/1982	03/08/1982	$0.038	0%	3.52%	$4.30
11/25/1981	11/27/1981	$0.038	0%	3.52%	$4.30
06/04/1981	06/08/1981	$0.034	0%	3.13%	$4.30
03/05/1981	03/09/1981	$0.034	0%	3.13%	$4.30
11/26/1980	11/28/1980	$0.034	0%	3.13%	$4.30
09/04/1980	09/08/1980	$0.029	0%	2.74%	$4.30
06/05/1980	06/09/1980	$0.029	0%	2.74%	$4.30
03/06/1980	03/10/1980	$0.029	0%	2.74%	$4.30

Projected Future Returns & Dividends for UNP

Based on past 10-year performance, here are UNP growth metrics:

Share price CAGR of +10.86%
Dividend CAGR of +10.03%

Using UNP CAGR metrics, we can estimate that your initial $10000 investment, over the next 10 years, should grow as follows:

	UNP (DRIP)	UNP - No DRIP
Current Price	$275.07	$275.07
Start Shares	36.35	36.35
Start Value	$10,000	$10,000

After 10 years:
Final Share Count	44.37	36.35
Dividends Payment	$3.69	$3.69
Annual Dividends	$655	$537
Yield on cost	6.55%	5.37%
Share Price	$771.53	$771.53
Total Dividends	$3,699	$3,296
Final Value	$34,229	$31,344

Estimated Future Value + Dividends - UNP

NOTE: Above numbers are our estimate based on UNP's Dividend and Price CAGR over past 10 years. These numbers should only be considered as "potential future returns"! DRIP assumes reinvesting dividends; No-DRIP assumes collecting dividends as cash.

We cannot guarantee that your actual returns will meet these estimates.

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Company Info

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) had its IPO on 1980-01-02, and is traded on NYSE stock exchange.

Union Pacific Corporation, a prominent American railway enterprise, conducts its primary operations through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company. The company provides extensive freight transportation services for a wide array of commodities. Its diverse cargo includes agricultural products like grain, fertilizers, and refrigerated foods; energy resources such as coal, renewables, petroleum, and liquid petroleum gases; and industrial materials encompassing construction products, chemicals, plastics, forest products, metals, ores, soda ash, and sand. Union Pacific also facilitates the movement of finished automobiles, automotive parts, and general merchandise in intermodal containers, serving a varied clientele that spans agricultural processors, energy producers, and industrial manufacturers. As of December 31, 2021, the company's vast rail network stretched 32,452 route miles, strategically connecting major ports along the Pacific and Gulf Coasts with crucial gateways throughout the Midwestern and Eastern United States. Established in 1862, Union Pacific Corporation is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

UNP website: https://www.up.com

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DCF Model — UNP

Value from:

EPS (TTM)icompany profit per share over the last 12 months

EPS Growth %ihow fast profit per share grows each of the next 5 years — prefilled with what analysts expect

EPS growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slower pace once the fast 5 years are over — only drives years 6-10 of the price path below

Exit multiple (PE in 5 yrs)iwhat buyers pay per $1 of profit in 2031 — prefilled with today’s forward PE

Desired return %/yrithe yearly return you want from buying today — the S&P has done ~14%/yr, ask for more from a single stock

FCF growth %/yr (next 5 yrs)ihow fast free cash flow grows while the company is still expanding fast

Years of fast FCF growthihow many years the fast growth lasts before the business settles down

FCF growth after year 5 (forever)ithe slow, steady pace once the company is mature — usually 2-3%, near inflation. Must stay below your target return

Risk-free rate %iwhat a 10-yr US treasury pays with zero risk — the floor any risky stock must beat

Your target return %/yrithe yearly return you want for taking this risk — rule of thumb: risk-free rate + extra for risk

FCF base ($M, TTM)ilast 12 months of free cash flow, added up from reported quarters

Include dividends in returnidividends hand you part of the return in cash, so the share price needs to climb less

Pay up to today

—

vs current price $275.07

—

Cash flow & implied price by year

FCF is negative or missing for this company (common for banks) — the model discounts EPS instead.

EPS is negative or missing for this company — Simple mode uses free cash flow per share instead.

Free cash flow today

—

grows for the next years

Then mature

—

every future dollar counted back to today

Pile of today-dollars

—

÷ shares

Implied price path

Year	FCF	Implied price

Sensitivity — fair value: growth ↓ × target return →

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